US Presidential Election 2024

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Derek27
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Brainless bitch Kari Lake thought Mark Stone from Sky News was Australian. :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Naffman
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Derek27 wrote:
Mon Jun 12, 2023 9:06 pm
Brainless bitch Kari Lake thought Mark Stone from Sky News was Australian. :lol: :lol: :lol:
She is a brainless turd I agree but when I went to the US people thought I was Australian, apparently a broad Yorkshire accent sounds Aussie :lol:
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Derek27
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More media turned up to see Trump return home than supporters. :lol: :lol:
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Derek27
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flipping patronising bitch. "When you learn a bit about history then I'll have a conversation with you".

Even I don't belittle people like that. And this is coming from a woman who can't tell an Aussie from a Brit. :lol:
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Naffman
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Derek27 wrote:
Tue Jun 13, 2023 12:10 am
More media turned up to see Trump return home than supporters. :lol: :lol:
I think his support is so overrated nowadays, it’ll be interesting to see how many go to the courthouse, he also hasn’t said how much he’s fundraised this time (was $2M after the NY indictment), I reckon it’s well down from that.

Also, rumours circling that Vivek is going to announce his departure from the race, he’s been polling about 2-4%
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Derek27
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Put some handcuffs on that flipping idiot. He still thinks he's a celebrity rather than a man charged with 37 and counting criminal offences, to which he's obviously guilty of some, if not all!
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Naffman
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Derek27 wrote:
Tue Jun 13, 2023 9:15 pm
Put some handcuffs on that flipping idiot. He still thinks he's a celebrity rather than a man charged with 37 and counting criminal offences, to which he's obviously guilty of some, if not all!
The Miami mayor was apparently going to run for President in the next couple of days, can't imagine he will now if he can't even control his own city with people running everywhere
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Derek27
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None of the so-called experts are willing to give an opinion on the likelihood of Trump going to Prison, but I think there is a serious chance.

And that Kari Lake may be a brainless cow, but she is a very nice-looking bird. I'll give her credit for that. :)

Just heard somebody on Sky say, if Trump absconds, I don't think a mug shot will help identify him. :lol:
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Derek27
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Bad news. Dave Aronberg, state attorney for Palm Beach County says Trump has to be found guilty by a unanimous jury, a majority verdict isn't good enough, if I understood correctly. He's confident Trump will be found guilty with the overwhelming evidence against him but can't see him in an orange jumpsuit, and Witch Cannon who he appointed as judge could be very lenient in sentencing.
Archery1969
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Derek27 wrote:
Tue Jun 13, 2023 9:55 pm
Bad news. Dave Aronberg, state attorney for Palm Beach County says Trump has to be found guilty by a unanimous jury, a majority verdict isn't good enough, if I understood correctly. He's confident Trump will be found guilty with the overwhelming evidence against him but can't see him in an orange jumpsuit, and Witch Cannon who he appointed as judge could be very lenient in sentencing.
The Sixth Amendment requires unanimity.

There is an article on the 'San Francisco Chronicle' who are saying Trump is as guilty as sin. Their not his best friends to say the least.

But they point out the bar is very high for him to be found guilty by a unanimous jury and therefore the only thing stopping him from becoming president again is the ballot box.

For a prosecutor to obtain a conviction, six to 12 jurors (depending on the jurisdiction) must all agree that a defendant is not only guilty but guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. This is a good standard for the broader population: There should be a high bar to convict someone of a crime. But it’s quite a loophole for a politician with a historically loyal base and a 40% favorability rating. The likelihood, in any trial, that Trump can’t nab a single holdout juror — even in the face of obvious guilt — is extremely low.

Sure, jury selection has some safeguards to eliminate biased jurors. Each side, for example, can strike a limited number of potential jurors for any reason. And the judge might exclude those with partisan paper trails on social media. But neither a prosecutor nor a judge can enter the minds of potential jurors and confidently eliminate loyal Trump supporters.

You can read the full article here:

https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/ope ... 849841.php
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Derek27
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Archery1969 wrote:
Tue Jun 13, 2023 10:22 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Tue Jun 13, 2023 9:55 pm
Bad news. Dave Aronberg, state attorney for Palm Beach County says Trump has to be found guilty by a unanimous jury, a majority verdict isn't good enough, if I understood correctly. He's confident Trump will be found guilty with the overwhelming evidence against him but can't see him in an orange jumpsuit, and Witch Cannon who he appointed as judge could be very lenient in sentencing.
The Sixth Amendment requires unanimity.

There is an article on the 'San Francisco Chronicle' who are saying Trump is as guilty as sin. Their not his best friends to say the least.

But they point out the bar is very high for him to be found guilty by a unanimous jury and therefore the only thing stopping him from becoming president again is the ballot box.

For a prosecutor to obtain a conviction, six to 12 jurors (depending on the jurisdiction) must all agree that a defendant is not only guilty but guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. This is a good standard for the broader population: There should be a high bar to convict someone of a crime. But it’s quite a loophole for a politician with a historically loyal base and a 40% favorability rating. The likelihood, in any trial, that Trump can’t nab a single holdout juror — even in the face of obvious guilt — is extremely low.

Sure, jury selection has some safeguards to eliminate biased jurors. Each side, for example, can strike a limited number of potential jurors for any reason. And the judge might exclude those with partisan paper trails on social media. But neither a prosecutor nor a judge can enter the minds of potential jurors and confidently eliminate loyal Trump supporters.

You can read the full article here:

https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/ope ... 849841.php
Mafia bosses don't get tried by jury, they get tried by judges to stop them from intimidating witnesses. Whatever law allows a judge to make that decision should be applicable in this case.

Either way, I think he's toast as far as the next election is concerned. :D

It was a grand jury that indicted him in the first place, but they say you can indict a ham sandwich but it's much harder to convict it. :)
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Derek27
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If Trump becomes president while in prison, can he pardon himself and get out of jail?
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Derek27
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It's really mind-boggling how crowds gather just to see this idiot get home. They don't gather around my flat when I get back from the supermarket! :roll:
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Derek27
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Trump claims all those boxes contained personal possessions, shirts and shoes, newspapers and photographs. He didn't have time to go through all the boxes because he has a busy life. All the top secret documents that were photographed in his house, the FBI placed them there. :lol:
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Derek27
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Trump's now arguing that Hillary Clinton took furniture and china [perhaps towels as well] from the white house when the term ended and she was never prosecuted. :lol: :lol: :lol:

If I were her, I'd sue him for libel. :lol:

"Joe Biden will forever be remembered not only as the most corrupt president in the history of our country but perhaps even more importantly the president who together with the band of his closest thugs, misfits and Marxists try to destroy democracy". :lol: :lol: :lol:
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