US Presidential Election 2020

[Nero Tulip]

What's going on with my trump ladder here? overlapping volumes..

[aperson]

Was just about to post the same. Maybe the size of the market causing problems?

[Emmson]

What's going on with my trump ladder here? overlapping volumes..

I see this sometimes when I'm trading on my not very powerful backup laptop and CPU is maxing out.

[Kafkaesque]

Reports in Australia that corporate bookies face huge payouts if Trump wins. Very uneven books for them and they can’t attract sufficient bets on Biden.

That extremely interestering, because much of what we do here is conjecture (in as far as 2016 put serious question marks over the value of polls).

This is also conjecture but of a different variety imo. Does your information, especially if it's true outside of Australia also which I personally find more likely than not, mean that A) the betting people are correct and the value is on Trump (and has been for months) or B) The value is on Biden, because bookies are propping up Biden's price in a desperate to even the book somewhat.

Either way, if - IF - that's the case beyond Australia, somebody on one the two sides are dead wrong on this election for the second time in a row.

[Emmson]

I remember seeing this tweet too on the same theme.

[jamesg46]

Ok...Florida is counting votes as we speak.

On Sky...If Biden takes Florida, it's game over, if Trump holds, it's game on....

Trumps price currently steaming...


7.53am.jpg

These are the key states I have noted & the earliest expected time of those states result. The other table is a mock of 2016 minus the key states, if he loses Florida he's in the shit for sure but not beat.

[NickH]

Very interested to see how things will play out today!

[Trader Pat]

People getting desperate if they're quoting managers from Paddy Powers!

I've said all along I expected Trump's price to come in by election day. Took a little longer than I thought but I hope it continues!

[LeTiss]

Biden drifting

This looks like it could be close

[Zenyatta]

Biden drifting

This looks like it could be close

The turnout is breaking all records according to CNN. This is either a Biden landslide victory, by a greater than 12% margin in the popular vote, or else it's a very close election. But which is it?

[Derek27]

Biden drifting

This looks like it could be close

Bugger!!

[Emmson]

Biden is not drifting now, he has been at least 1.65 today

[Trader Pat]

Looks like the market is correcting itself after that big order overnight

[Emmson]

[Derek27]

Biden is not drifting now, he has been at least 1.65 today

Is there one market for Trump supporters and another for Democrats?