96% - 98% Strike Rate 1X2 Market. How best to trade this?

[mrdave]

Hi,

I have been working on my own method for a while and have managed to average 96%-98% win rate, certain criteria have had 100% strike rate over a few months but with less bets ofc. This is on the home win market. Both back testing and forward testing was done.

I am new to trading, I was simply testing with pre race odds for the home win.

Is there a better way I could trade with these matches inplay. I was thinking o1.5/u1.5 for example might be a good place to start as goals are frequent for these selections. Do odds move enough in play to trade out of these situations?

Sorry for being such a noob.

Any help or advice is greatly appreciated.

Dave

[Dallas]

If you have subscribed to Bet angel or downloaded a free trial if you load up soccer mystic (football Icon) It will give you the projected odds movement for that match and how they will move as it progresses.
You can also enter a time/s when a goal is scored for either the home or away team and it will display the approx odds the O/U & Match markets etc will move to should that happen.

Very handy tool for knowing what your position is likely to be at any point during the game.

Here is a link for several video's showing it being used on Bet Angels YouTube channel

https://www.youtube.com/results?search_ ... cer+mystic

[mrdave]

Thanks for that. Very helpful, but it seems the tool only works on high liquidity markets. Does this mean I should only concentrate on those markets, or is it safe to assume I can trade o/u1.5 etc on less liquid markets with a similar move in price?

Thanks in advance

[Dallas]

The software gives you the approx movement of the odds regardless of the matches liquidity but you will find it harder to close large positions on Illiquid markets for a decent price.

If your putting large volumes of money through then your better off sticking with those games with higher liquidity or scale down your stakes to reflect that individual market.

But other than getting your orders filled the odds movement is approx the same.

[mrdave]

Ok thanks. I could only get the tool to launch on one match as it said it did not work on the other matches in the market list.

Basically, I wanted to know, if I am 90%+ certain there is going to be a goal which bets are best to trade. I will take a look tomorrow.

Thanks

[Dallas]

When you add the markets to guardian the ones they will cover are indicated by a small football just near the market name so there easy to identify quickly but it does cover a lot of matches - just have a play and see what you think.