Premier League conceding the opening goal data Home and Away

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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

n the table below I have added the last 20 games where the teams in the Premier League conceded the opening goal in an away game

W D L Points
Chelsea 2 0 1 3 3 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 0 3 0 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 2 1 0 7 2 11 23
Spurs 2 2 1 4 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 0 1 3 1 1 1 5 2 2 1 0 3 0 2 2 3 0 3 2 3 0 1 2 4 8 8 20
Liverpool 1 2 2 0 3 4 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 3 0 2 0 1 3 3 1 6 1 1 1 1 0 4 1 3 0 1 3 1 0 3 1 5 2 13 17
Man City 4 0 1 0 4 2 1 2 2 0 4 2 3 0 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 4 3 13 15
Arsenal 3 3 1 1 2 2 3 2 3 3 4 0 2 5 2 0 1 1 2 0 2 2 3 2 2 0 2 2 3 0 6 0 1 0 5 1 2 2 1 3 2 8 10 14
Leicester 3 0 2 2 1 0 2 1 2 1 1 1 3 0 4 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 4 3 2 0 2 7 11 13
Everton 2 2 1 0 5 0 2 1 1 0 1 2 3 0 3 1 4 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 3 2 15 11
Palace 3 0 2 0 3 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 4 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 2 3 2 1 1 4 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 5 13 11
WHU 1 0 2 2 2 0 4 2 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 3 4 1 2 0 2 2 2 0 1 0 2 0 2 1 3 0 2 4 14 10
Man UTD 1 1 4 0 3 1 3 2 3 0 1 0 2 1 2 0 2 1 1 1 3 0 2 3 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 1 1 7 12 10
WBA 4 0 1 2 2 2 2 0 4 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 0 2 2 1 0 2 2 1 1 2 0 2 0 4 1 3 0 2 1 1 6 13 9
Southampton 1 0 3 0 3 0 2 0 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 3 1 1 1 1 3 2 0 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 15 9
Stoke 4 2 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 0 1 1 4 0 4 1 1 1 3 0 3 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 6 13 9
Swansea 3 0 3 1 5 0 3 1 3 2 1 0 2 1 4 0 3 0 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 1 1 0 2 2 2 2 16 8
Hull 2 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 6 1 5 1 1 1 2 0 2 0 3 1 1 0 3 0 1 0 1 3 2 0 1 1 3 0 1 0 1 2 17 5
Sunderland 2 0 4 1 3 1 3 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 4 1 3 1 3 1 6 2 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 2 17 5
Watford 2 0 1 0 2 0 3 1 6 1 2 0 2 4 2 0 3 1 4 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 1 1 2 17 5
Boro 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 2 0 4 1 1 0 4 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 3 0 1 1 4 1 0 4 16 4
Burnley 2 1 2 1 1 0 2 0 4 0 3 1 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 3 1 2 0 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 0 3 0 0 3 17 3


Stoke last 30 home games in the Premier League when conceding the opening goal and 2/30 ended a DRAW

In the table below I have added the last 20 games where the teams in the Premier League conceded the opening goal of the game at home.

W D L Points
Spurs 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 4 1 0 1 4 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 2 1 5 3 2 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 5 1 3 2 0 1 10 3 7 33
Chelsea 2 1 1 2 2 2 0 3 2 2 1 1 3 3 0 1 1 2 3 1 4 2 2 1 3 1 4 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 1 0 2 2 1 9 4 7 31
Arsenal 3 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 5 1 0 2 0 2 5 2 8 6 6 30
Man City 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 6 1 1 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 2 3 6 4 10 22
Man UTD 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 4 2 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 4 1 0 3 0 3 2 2 1 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 4 4 12 16
Watford 1 4 1 1 3 2 0 1 2 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 1 2 0 3 0 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 0 1 0 3 3 6 11 15
Swansea 0 4 0 3 1 4 5 4 1 3 1 3 2 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 0 3 2 2 0 3 0 1 2 1 2 4 1 1 0 1 2 1 3 4 13 13
Leicester 0 3 0 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 1 5 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 5 0 4 2 7 11 13
WHU 0 2 1 5 1 1 0 3 1 4 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 4 1 2 0 1 1 3 1 2 3 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 3 1 3 4 13 13
Everton 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 4 2 3 1 1 0 3 1 1 0 2 2 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 3 6 2 6 12 12
Liverpool 2 3 4 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 3 1 2 0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 0 1 2 2 0 2 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 5 13 11
Stoke 0 1 0 4 1 4 2 1 0 4 1 2 0 3 1 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 0 2 1 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 16 10
South. 0 2 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 3 0 1 0 3 0 3 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 7 12 10
WBA 3 1 0 2 0 4 0 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 3 0 3 1 4 0 3 1 3 0 1 0 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 4 14 10
Burnley 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 3 1 3 4 2 0 4 1 6 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 14 8
Palace 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 1 2 2 4 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 3 5 1 0 1 1 3 0 1 1 2 1 2 0 2 2 1 17 7
Sunderland 1 3 2 2 0 1 1 4 1 1 0 3 1 2 3 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 3 1 4 0 4 0 2 1 4 15 7
Hull 3 1 0 3 1 1 2 1 0 2 0 2 1 4 0 1 0 1 1 3 2 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 4 0 2 0 3 0 2 1 4 2 1 17 7
Boro 1 3 0 3 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 0 5 1 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 2 0 3 1 1 0 6 14 6


http://www.socdoc.co.uk/premier-league- ... -table-15/


http://www.socdoc.co.uk/premier-league- ... -table-14/
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

In the table below I have added the games since 2013-2014 in the Premier League where Crystal Palace conceded the opening goal at home in the 0-20 minutes time band and 63% ended over 2.5 goals

Both teams scored in 63% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 42%

2-3-14 <> Palace lost 74%

47% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

T HT FT Goal 80 +
Palace Burnley 7 0 1 0 2 85
Palace Leicester 6 0 1 2 2
Palace Sunderland 9 0 4 0 4
Palace Liverpool 16 2 3 2 4
Palace WHU 19 0 1 0 1
Palace Bourne 11 0 1 1 1 90
Palace Watford 16 1 1 1 2 82
Palace Newcastle 10 3 1 5 1 90
Palace Arsenal 16 1 1 1 2
Palace Man UTD 19 0 1 1 2
Palace WBA 2 0 1 0 2
Palace Arsenal 8 0 2 1 2 90
Palace Everton 2 0 1 0 1
Palace Southampton 17 0 1 1 3 86
Palace Liverpool 2 1 1 3 1 81
Palace Chelsea 6 0 1 1 2 90
Palace Liverpool 18 0 1 3 3 81 88
Palace Man City 4 0 2 0 2
Palace Swansea 2 0 1 0 2

:idea:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

at HT Burnley were offered at 5/6 :P

Does the early away goal in the Premier League which I define as a game where the away team opens the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band accelerate goal production ?


.
last season in the Premier League in games where the away teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band , 76% ended over 2.5 and 46% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 73% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 75%

The home teams won 13%, 25% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 62%

0-1 half time added to the early away goal metric in the Premier League and in general lowered expectation of the home teams fighting back and winning even if they are the perceived stronger team.

The early away goal in the Premier League and 1-1 half time game state and in general lowered expectation of the away teams winning the second half even if they are the perceived stronger team.



GAME PATHWAY

6/63 0-1 FT

29/63 > 1-1 <> 7-13-9 away teams won 31%

28/63 > 0-2 <> 1-3-24 away teams won 86%








2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
Games 45 54 69 62 69 65 59 63
Over 2.5 % 73% 69% 71% 69% 81% 74% 75% 76%
Over3.5% 40% 41% 41% 42% 61% 55% 42% 46%
0-1 HT % Over 2.5 53% 30% 54% 38.50% 61% 55% 48% 50%
0-1 HT Away W% 58% 65% 58% 81% 48% 69% 95% 69%
0-1 HT Draw % 26% 22% 29% 11% 35% 21% 0% 19%
0-1 HT Home % 16% 13% 13% 8% 17% 10% 5% 12%
1-1 HT Away W% 27% 8% 15% 33% 30% 25% 13% 31%
Goal 80+ 42% 46% 45% 50% 33% 46% 44% 38%
Home Win 20% 33% 22% 13% 23% 25% 22% 13%
Draw 27% 24% 29% 15% 28% 18% 17% 25%
Away Win 53% 43% 49% 72% 49% 57% 61% 62%
BTTS YES 69% 78% 78% 68% 85.50% 69% 71% 73%
over 1.5 FH 58% 57% 65% 58% 67% 55% 66% 75%


above data is 2008-2009 to 2015-2016 in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minute time band
max_usted
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 6:07 pm

last season in the Premier League in games where the away teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band , 76% ended over 2.5 and 46% ended over 3.5 goals.

Both teams scored in 73% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 75%

The home teams won 13%, 25% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 62%

0-1 half time added to the early away goal metric in the Premier League and in general lowered expectation of the home teams fighting back and winning even if they are the perceived stronger team.
Gold - these kinds of stats really help with confidence, thanks again Cassini
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