The effect of the early away goal in La Liga

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jonnyg
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Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

LAST season in La Liga in games where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 76% ended over 2.5 goals and 41% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 63% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 67%

The home teams won 27%, 17% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 56%

40% of the games in the table below produced a goal(s) 80+ minutes



GAME PATHWAY
4/63 0-1 FT

> 1-1 30/63 16-8-6 <> away teams won 20%

> 0-2 29/63 1-3-25 <> away teams won 86%





In La Liga in 2013-2014 there were 59 games that had an early away goal event ( first goal of the game 0-20 minutes by the away team ) , 71% ended over 2.5 goals, 51% ended over 3.5 goals and 59% ended over 1,5 goals in the first half with both teams scoring in 66%.

The away teams won 56%, 22% ended a DRAW and the home teams won 22%

In La Liga 2014-2015 season there were 59 games ( SNAP ) that had an early away goal event ( first goal of the game 0-20 minutes by the away team ) 78% ended over 2.5 goals, 52.5% ended over 3.5 goals and 73% ended over 1.5 goals in the first half with both teams scoring in 78%.

The away teams won 49%, 24% ended a draw and the home teams won 27%
Last edited by jonnyg on Tue Feb 21, 2017 8:16 am, edited 1 time in total.
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Malaga at home in La liga when conceding the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band


2-1 0-1 4-3 3-2 2-1 1-1 1-2 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-1 0-5 1-1 1-1 1-2 2-1 4-2 3-1 0-4 3-1

9-3-8

Malaga won a whopping 45%


Mon 20/02/17 PRD Málaga
2 - 1
Las Palmas View events More info
0 - 1
19' M. Lemos
Pablo Fornals 27'
1 - 1
Charles 35'
2 - 1


key point >



La Liga in games where away team open scoring 0-20 = lowered expectation of the game ending a draw because of expectation of acceleration of goal production


If you are wondering why sites are not offering early goal data around the globe > they have not worked out how to scrape the data :shock:
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jonnyg
Posts: 691
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2017 8:11 pm

Valencia
2 - 1
Real Madrid View events More info
S. Zaza 4'
1 - 0
F. Orellana 9'
2 - 0
2 - 1
44' Cristiano Ronaldo



How many tipsters were advising that a 2-0 lead is precarious ? :lol:




LAST season in La Liga where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 59% ended over 2.5 goals and 47% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 51% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in only 57%

The home teams won 72.5%, 23.5% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 4%

41% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes





GAME PATHWAY

5/51 1-0 FT

29/51 goal > 2-0 <> 28-0-1 Home teams won 97 8-) %

17/51 > 1-1 <> 4-12-1 home teams won 24%
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