Hi all
Very quickly.
Eddy in this race is a long standing maiden but he doesn't need to win for this to be profitable. He is in my notebook because he's tumbled down the weights and was travelling like a dream LTO. He was bumped slightly three out and his young jockey was unseated, the horse remained upright.
My concern is the owner/trainer has a habit of withdrawing horses and I am not privy to the reasons, perhaps legit? The course and the going aren't ideal but he's so low in the weights he should be okay.
The price is around 16-17 so I have taken an interest at 16-18 and will look to lay in running. You may wish to just halve the odds but the stats show he has traded =>70% lower than his BSP in his last 12 runs. EDIT That should read 8 of his last 12 runs!I am going to watch and may well trade out at 8 if he's not travelling too well. If I like what I see then I will aiming for 3.5 ish maybe lower who knows. Play it as you see fit.
Small stakes and enjoy!
JG
Wincanton 13:50 Back To Lay horse
-
JollyGreen
- Posts: 2047
- Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am
Glad you made some money.
The ground and course didn't help today but he is one I will be keeping an eye on.
The ground and course didn't help today but he is one I will be keeping an eye on.