hidden in plain view ...

[kingsmark]

Finding an edge can take a lot of time and effort. followed by testing for possible returns and pitfalls. It is a well trodden
path, made easier by learning from the experience of others. Thankfully, there are some clever and helpful people on this board.

In my quest for the elusive formula I recently found an easy way to try what is manually a challenging method. This led me to another (simple) approach, which by most accounts would be doomed to failure. As a default method this is undoubtedly true. However, much to my surprise, existing parameters were a successful starting point, and now improving.

Assuming similar results continue, and over time the markets are accurate, there must be a reason for the repeated discrepancy. Anticipating the behaviour or response of people in the market can be a significant advantage. To me, this aspect is more interesting and offers more potential than careful study of form on popular sports/selections.

There is no substitute for experience, ability and perseverance. "The more I practice, the luckier I get". Sports trading or disciplined betting, offer great opportunity with a low barrier to entry. And sometimes a solution can be much closer and easier than you expect.