Peter's Blog

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RafterP
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Apr 21, 2009 10:41 am

I am a keen follower of Peters blog and am consistently amazed at how he can predict the future odds of an in-play market if A happens or B happens...

For example in yesterdays post about the French Open final he was able to predict that if Nadal won the 1st set his odds would shorten to 1.13!

He is able to do this time after time! Anybody know how he does this?
Wanna shed some light Peter :)

P
Online Trader
Posts: 211
Joined: Wed Apr 21, 2010 7:13 am

Download the lastest BETA version of BA and use the Tennis Trader function........ simples ;)
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SpikeyBob
Posts: 451
Joined: Thu May 14, 2009 12:31 pm

I think you will find that it's all to do with statistics and in particular probability theories.

Check out:

http://www.probabilitytheory.info/

You may recognise the copyright owner of the site :).
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Posts: 4031
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 3:47 pm

Nah, I'm just very lucky.
Mug
Posts: 182
Joined: Wed Mar 31, 2010 9:53 am

:lol:
Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Peter is undoubtedly the 'main man' of trading, a power-house trader and a very tricky customer, I wouldn't want to take him on.

It's all done with extensive databases and statistics I think. Peter's probably got reams of data he's keeping to himself, and remember, the data from everyone using BetAngel could potentially be looked at.

10 years from now he'll be working on the world's first artifical intelligence.
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Posts: 4031
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 3:47 pm

Zenyatta wrote: the data from everyone using BetAngel could potentially be looked at.
Not sure what you are saying there, but to clarify to all readers we do not have access to any data that users of Bet Angel produce. Obviously Betfair have access to what ever they want. But they make sure that we are not able to do that. Just wanted to make sure people are clear on that, in case there is any other interpretation.
andyfuller
Posts: 4619
Joined: Wed Mar 25, 2009 12:23 pm

Zenyatta wrote:It's all done with extensive databases and statistics I think. Peter's probably got reams of data he's keeping to himself
I am sure he has lots of data but to be fair he has put the hard work in gathering it all. We all could do it if we could be bothered but I would say most can't - myself included.

If I had put in the amount of effort he must have done into collecting it in order to gain an edge you can hardly blame him for keeping it to himself as the edge will disappear. After all we are all trying to win money from each other ;)
RafterP
Posts: 133
Joined: Tue Apr 21, 2009 10:41 am

Very true Andy!

Thanks for the responses guys...

And Peter, have u ever considered taking up poker? I think you'd be a natural!
hgodden
Posts: 1759
Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 2:13 pm

I think it's clear that Peter has a genuine interest in markets, which makes it a lot easier and more enjoyable when it comes to putting in the work. Anyone who is not really facinated by the markets and who is only looking for a way to make some money will be at a huge disadvantage. Same as in anything really, the more truely engaged you are in the process the more you'll get out of it
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