Dynamic staking automation advice needed

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Jossy_79
Posts: 52
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:43 am

Hi all. I currently trade quite a few tennis markets a day where I lay the server when they are a break up and green up on a break back or at the end of a set. I have various rules that differ in their staking amounts based on my perceived liquidity of the respective markets. This is so that when I green up I can do so without having to take too much money at low odds. So for a 1st round challenger event I might risk x in liability but an ATP final I might risk 10x. The issue I have is that a lot of the time my estimates are off and I either don't get matched quickly or I miss out on some liquidity I wasn't anticipating. To play it safe I've taken to going with the lowest likely liquidity but this means I'm missing out when there's more available.

So... I'd like to try and build a dynamic staking system that looks at how much liquidity there is on the back side over a period of time and if a player goes up by a break then I lay a stake in proportion to the average I've been measuring. I've built an automation rule that measures the average liquidity across 3 time points with each one 5 seconds apart. Rule works fine but as expected liquidity bounces around quite a bit and I wouldn't want to trust it in its current form. Before I get stuck into trialling a bunch of scenarios, e.g. more points, higher or lower time intervals, I thought I'd ask around and see if anyone else did anything like this and had some tips OR someone does something different that might be easier/more reliable?
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Dallas
Posts: 23523
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

You could store the value of the traded amount on selection/market and make whatever adjustments you want to that
Then use the 'Stored Value Stake' method
Jossy_79
Posts: 52
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:43 am

Thanks Dallas - Stored Value Stake is a great tip.

Any advice on those adjustments? For example if the traded amount has been X over Y time period then the stake should be Z?
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Dallas
Posts: 23523
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Jossy_79 wrote:
Fri Oct 04, 2019 3:20 pm
Thanks Dallas - Stored Value Stake is a great tip.

Any advice on those adjustments? For example if the traded amount has been X over Y time period then the stake should be Z?
I guess it would just depend on your strategy and the staking level that suits you.
Jossy_79
Posts: 52
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:43 am

I was thinking in ratios, for example if traded volume over 5 mins = x then can lay stake up to 75% of x?
Jossy_79
Posts: 52
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:43 am

Apologies for bugging you Dallas... do you have any idea on ratios? Thinking about this I got something like:

Traded volume over last 30 seconds = x then can lay a stake of 33% of x

Theory here is that if the same trading volume holds firm then I would have to wait circa 10 seconds to get matched. I realise there are an incredible amount of variables that will throw this assumption off course but I figured it would be a place to start.

I thought about extending the time window for traded volume measurement but things change so much I decided against it.

How do you manage variable staking in your strategies?
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