Football Correct Score Lays - After 6 Weeks This Is How I Am Doing

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

As a large part of my strategy and progress is on Football Correct Score lays I thought that this may sit better here rather than where I originally started it off over on the Horse Strategy section : although I will still be continuing with that as well...…

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It's been a while so here is an update after all 13th Oct activity :

LAY OF CORRECT SCORES : TOTAL : UP 650.20 (ROI +126%) (Continually increasing the liability used as my bank grows. Up to £750 liability now. This is accounted for in ROI calculation.) so ROI is steadily increasing, now +126%

LAY OF HIGH PRICE UK HORSES : Overall now total is UP 121.05 (ROI +24%)….still going in the right direction....

LAY OF Golf : Total now 93.88 (ROI +30%)

TOTAL OVERALL PROFIT IN CIRCA 6 WEEKS IS...…………….£865.13

@slowandsteadyp1 on Twitter for screenshots [all followers appreciated]
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Kai
Posts: 7109
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Have no further comment on your betting strategy, but why are you promoting your Twitter so much and collecting followers? Do you plan on opening a laying service or something later?
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

No Kai, never the intention - as my strategy is for my use.

It can always be critiqued though by others on here or suggestions for improvements or tweaks or pitfalls to look out for are always welcomed. I was hoping that was what a forum is for exchanging thoughts.

I just wanted to show proof of my account screenshots as so many people state of making profits but rarely show evidence.

No harm if you are no-one else follows.

:D
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

Hi Aiden,

I have tried Correct scores a few times. I had one the other day where I backed both teams to win 2-1. After 40 minutes it was 0-0 so I traded out for around a 20% but it did finish 1-2.

Do you have a specific strategy, for example do you back Both Teams to score and 2-0. I might try the England game tonight at 3-1 to England.
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 10497
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

JustLukeYou wrote:
Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:04 pm
do you back Both Teams to score and 2-0.
See the title. LAYS.

Aiden might explain, but please don't start with 'do you back?'.
Slow down and THINK!!!! You've got two ears, two eyes, and one mouth for a reason.
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:
Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:17 pm
JustLukeYou wrote:
Mon Oct 14, 2019 5:04 pm
do you back Both Teams to score and 2-0.
See the title. LAYS.

Aiden might explain, but please don't start with 'do you back?'.
Slow down and THINK!!!! You've got two ears, two eyes, and one mouth for a reason.
Oh yeah sorry, laying high odds seems risky to me unless you are laying lot's of low odd scores or am I barking up the wrong tree?
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

No backing, just lays. Examples of my last 3 games where I have layed a combination of 0-3, 1-3, 3-3 and Any Other Away Win.

Selecting the game is obviously the crucial aspect, as well as being able to track it --- not necessarily watching a live broadcast --- so set up some goal alerts and be available to consider trading out if necessary.

No friendlies or obscure leagues and also liquidity is important.

Happy to hear thoughts on possible games to fit this strategy or other thoughts in general.

Screenshots just uploaded to @slowandsteadyp1
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

Sounds interesting. I have looked into but I'm concerned the profit margin is low which makes it difficult to work. Is that the case?
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

The profits I've been getting per game over my first month have been about 2.5% (so circa average £12 with a £500 liability)

By recycling some of my profit for month 2 I will now be using £750 liability in some instances, so even though the % per game is constant the £'s increase up nicely as my bank starts to build. Plus having a bigger balance to trade with I can do more than 1 game at a time in certain busy kick-off periods (Sat/Sun afternoons and Tues/Wed evenings)

@slowandsteadyp1 for exactly this reason.

Poor looking football games today, with only the late Brazilian game of Gremio v Bahia potentially taking my interest.
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Kai
Posts: 7109
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Aiden you seem to be disciplined and meticulous enough that you could probably make any betting approach work, to some extent at least, and that is a rare quality. But I hope you're treating this approach as a stepping stone approach and as a good learning experience and not the finished product, until you discover a more sensible betting approach, maybe even a trading approach. I'm pretty sure that soon as you find a better approach that you will drop this in a heartbeat.

In reality it's very easy to scale up your stakes, because basic understanding of math is needed. But maybe you don't realize that you also need to increase your comfort zone as well, to maintain your hitrate ratios, and that is the difficult part imho. Once the liabilities go too far outside of your comfort zone your selection process might start becoming increasingly difficult and it could all easily snowball into something that could potentially destroy all your bank growing progress thus far, that is what happened to me and many others.

No matter how @slowandsteady you plan on going, it could all be pointless if you're going in the wrong direction. Just something to be aware of.
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

I get exactly what you mean Kai, and yes other different trading thoughts may be the longer term aim as well --- but for now things seem to be going really well on the football, horses and golf LAY selections.

Bit more winning time on the horses again earlier.

UP 37.63 for 16th Oct activity.

Screenshot as always at @slowandsteadp1
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

Summary on progress. I've now broken the £1000 profit barrier........

GOLF lays. UP 119.65 ROI +36%

HORSE lays. UP 158.68 ROI +31%

Football CS's. UP 796.97 ROI +155%

(£250 starting bank) after a few days is at £272.34 ROI 9%

All around very pleased with my "slowandsteady" progress.

4 other CS's tonight and some HT/FT lays. Focussing more on these for a while rather than the horses --- considering your feedback Kai.....

@slowandsteadyp1
aidenrn810
Posts: 68
Joined: Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:10 pm

Time for another update.

Overall total profit now at over £1500

GOLF lays. UP 161.50 ROI +46%

HORSE lays. UP 158.68 ROI +31% (no activity since mid-Oct)

Football CS's. UP 1,214.73 ROI +225% (lots of activity across BF & Smarkets)

(£250 starting bank) is at £313.03 ROI 25%

Excellent "slowandsteady" progress

screenshots at @slowandsteadyp1
JustLukeYou
Posts: 518
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:51 pm

aidenrn810 wrote:
Tue Oct 29, 2019 3:02 pm
Time for another update.

Overall total profit now at over £1500

GOLF lays. UP 161.50 ROI +46%

HORSE lays. UP 158.68 ROI +31% (no activity since mid-Oct)

Football CS's. UP 1,214.73 ROI +225% (lots of activity across BF & Smarkets)

(£250 starting bank) is at £313.03 ROI 25%

Excellent "slowandsteady" progress

screenshots at @slowandsteadyp1
Good to see you are doing well. I am pleased with how I am progressing but I am confused how I can really make it work long term. For example, last night I back two matches for Under 5.5 goals and made 7% and 8% profit. To make a good income from theses trades I would have to place £1,000 on each trade so I would make a £150.00 profit. The problem is to do that I would need a bank of around £40-50k.

Any suggestions please. Seems like climbing a mountain to get to that point.
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

JustLukeYou wrote:
Tue Oct 29, 2019 4:59 pm

I am pleased with how I am progressing but I am confused how I can really make it work long term. For example, last night I back two matches for Under 5.5 goals and made 7% and 8% profit. To make a good income from theses trades I would have to place £1,000 on each trade so I would make a £150.00 profit. The problem is to do that I would need a bank of around £40-50k.

Any suggestions please. Seems like climbing a mountain to get to that point.
Luke,
I'm not sure where else you will be able to get a 7% return on your investment so easily.

With just £10 at a 7% return for one night you would turn that £10 into £1000 in just 70 nights!
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