Buying money

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Some of these international matches are practically buying money. I am amazed some people are laying some of these big countries against teams that have no hope of winning.
chrishorne
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 5:29 pm

Hi merry terry,
You probably right, most of the time, but with that attitude you will 1 day really get your arse well & truly kicked. Be careful
Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Sweden vs San Marino - 1.01 to back
Germany vs Azerbaijan - 1.02
Italy vs Faroe island - 1.02
Rep Ireland vs Andorra - 1.03

Germany look certain winners.
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Posts: 4031
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 3:47 pm

Always wanting to be contrary, I would fancy laying somebody like Italy in the hope they don't score in the first 5-10 minutes. Would be a nice trade.
Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Merry Terry wrote:Sweden vs San Marino - 1.01 to back
Germany vs Azerbaijan - 1.02
Italy vs Faroe island - 1.02
Rep Ireland vs Andorra - 1.03

Germany look certain winners.
I know there is risk but it seems to be very rare that these results are turned over. I'd be interested to see the stats.
Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Merry Terry wrote:Sweden vs San Marino - 1.01 to back
Germany vs Azerbaijan - 1.02
Italy vs Faroe island - 1.02
Rep Ireland vs Andorra - 1.03

Germany look certain winners.
6-0
6-1
5-0
3-1

20-2 in total

Quite close in the end :lol:

I managed to get filled on Germany at 1.04
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Posts: 4031
Joined: Tue Apr 14, 2009 3:47 pm

Merry Terry wrote:I'd be interested to see the stats.
We had a look at our database. We identified 36 recent international matches where the favourite was 1.10 or less. Of those 36 only two failed, one draw one shock defeat. Backing all with £100 each time would have returned £181 in profit.
SilentDave
Posts: 199
Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 11:30 am

Hmmm, not a strategy for me.
You only have to look at games such as a full strength Portugal with Ronaldo et al getting held to a goalless draw by Cape Verde Islands to see that you could get well and truly spanked at some point!

Having said that maybe it's just a Portugese thing what with them losing to Norway tonight :)
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
Bet Angel
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SilentDave wrote:Having said that maybe it's just a Portugese thing what with them losing to Norway tonight :)
Portugal are going through turmoil at the moment, picking and choosing your targets always makes a lot of sense.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2010 ... s-portugal

This thread caught my interest so I thought I would re-run the numbers but for 1.20 or lower. Just over 88% of matches were wins, 8% draws and 3% losers. Luxemborg overturned short odds twice in that lot. Celtic vs Ross County, a cup match, was in there as well as Portugal and Cape Verde.

Overall the odds averaged out to 1.14 so the actual was pretty close at 88%
Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Do you have a list of the matches?
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CaerMyrddin
Posts: 1271
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am

Couldn't let this one uncommented:

Queirós is really a very bad coach and there is an absolute lack of trust on his skills in the moment.

Ronaldo is out with an injured foot. This is the same foot that was injured when he played for Man Utd.

I have an injured foot myself too, and my physio told me there is a rumour that Ronaldo won't be 100% from his foot ever. He is still an awesome player, but he must avoid contact, so he tries keep dribling to a minimum. But, it's just a rumour ;)
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CaerMyrddin
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Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:47 am

Queirós out at last :)
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

I'd be interested to know how many teams under 1.20 'in play' went wrong

I imagine that figure is considerably higher
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Add Barcelona tonight to the list

1.08 Pre-Match Lost 2-0
Merry Terry
Posts: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2010 2:37 pm

Playing again tonight at 1.14, surely not another slip up by barca?
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