French Open 2025 - RG25

[Euler]

The only time of year it's good to see red!

Here are a few of the previous year's threads for anyone wanting a recap

2024 - viewtopic.php?t=29278
2023 - viewtopic.php?t=27500
2022 - viewtopic.php?f=7&t=25714
2021 - viewtopic.php?f=7&t=23791
2020 - viewtopic.php?f=7&t=22064
2019 - viewtopic.php?f=7&t=18926
2018 - viewtopic.php?f=7&t=16502

[ODPaul82]

Looking like a wet start, meant to clear up 1-2pm, checking webcam it's not raining at moment but bit overcast.

paris rain.PNG

[ODPaul82]

Not too shabby day 1. Green on 3 red on 1
Decent green on Navone/Nakashima was good for breaks. Did donate back some looking for break backs in 3rd & 4th, momentum appeared to be with Nak before rain delay.

Red on Tirante/Dzumhur, messed up as felt Dzum was going to throw 1st set after a temper-tantrum so hedged on lay @ 0-30 when already a break down in 1st. Did lose it but loss was worse then it should have due to position I put myself into with the 1st hedge.

Small green Michelsen/Cerundolo, nothing worth writing home about.

Decent green Kostyk/Bejlek, Kostyk had down as poor predicted hold.

Liquidity I felt was ok, the gaps mid-point are bigger for the non-TV games bit like rest of season has been, seems to tie in with where BF introduced the no time-delay for bets not at current price.

[Euler]

Sinner struggling to close out his match at the moment.

[ODPaul82]

Medvedev in fair bit of trouble vs Norrie.

[Euler]

Medvedev in fair bit of trouble vs Norrie.

Norrie wins - 7-5 6-3 4-6 1-6 7-5 in just under four hours. Medvedev went off at 1.28

[Dallas]

Medvedev in fair bit of trouble vs Norrie.

Norrie wins - 7-5 6-3 4-6 1-6 7-5 in just under four hours. Medvedev went off at 1.28

Wasn't even on my radar that match

[Nero Tulip]

Money into these markets just seems so incredibly fast now. There's one particular punter that is well ahead of the rest too, doesn't make much sense. Interesting also how confident it was in some of the challenged calls yesterday evening. not offering any conspiratorial theory here.. more of a 'things are different aren't they?' post..

[Euler]

Losers with an SP of <=1.50 so far: -

Karolina Muchova - 1.12
Francisco Cerundolo - 1.14
Marta Kostyuk - 1.22
Emma Navarro - 1.25
Maria Sakkari - 1.27
Elise Mertens - 1.28
Daniil Medvedev - 1.28
Moyuka Uchijima - 1.34
Taylor Fritz - 1.34
Moyuka Uchijima - 1.34
Katie Volynets - 1.36
Maximilian Marterer - 1.36
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - 1.41
Tomas Machac - 1.44
Maya Joint - 1.47
Diane Parry - 1.47
Ons Jabeur - 1.48
Grigor Dimitrov - 1.48
Elina Avanesyan - 1.5

[Euler]

Money into these markets just seems so incredibly fast now. There's one particular punter that is well ahead of the rest too, doesn't make much sense. Interesting also how confident it was in some of the challenged calls yesterday evening. not offering any conspiratorial theory here.. more of a 'things are different aren't they?' post..

I've always suspected that if you have access to the Hawk-Eye feed, you would know within milliseconds as to whether a shot is in or not. So the temptation to use that data must be overwhelming.

Similar issue on Golf.

[Nero Tulip]

Money into these markets just seems so incredibly fast now. There's one particular punter that is well ahead of the rest too, doesn't make much sense. Interesting also how confident it was in some of the challenged calls yesterday evening. not offering any conspiratorial theory here.. more of a 'things are different aren't they?' post..

I've always suspected that if you have access to the Hawk-Eye feed, you would know within milliseconds as to whether a shot is in or not. So the temptation to use that data must be overwhelming.

Similar issue on Golf.

yes i think that what I was hinting at. particularly if you're that confident on a line call, kind of gives the game away a bit. scary stuff.

[aperson]

Always seems to be someone faster than the feed through tennis trader even if it's only fractions of a second.

I am quite liking this no delay on unmatched bets though. Makes it easier to dip in and out quickly.

[Euler]

Favourites have won 70.25% of the time so far, against an implied probability of 72.13%

[Euler]

Jakub Mensik gubbed at 1.08

[Euler]

A tournament not favouring favourites.