in play football betting.
normally i take a position in the match odds and then hedge in the correct score market.
i suspect that i am reducing by too much my profit by continuing to hedge after my initial moves,because the higher prices permit this.
as a guide my roi falls between 6-15%, averaging approximately 8%.
now after 400+ matches, i have reviewed and realised that i have never needed to indulge in additional hedging and my roi would be somewhere on the 10% mark.
so the question is - do i start to trust my judgement more or do i need a lot more data before i even consider this?
maths versus judgement
I do not understand exactly your strategy - but it would seem to me very akward if you could discover a statistically significant deviation of 2% roi in the CS market already after 400 matches. Depends also on which average quotes you bet on in the CS market ...
Cheers, F
Cheers, F