Impossible

The sport of kings.
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Euler
Posts: 26453
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Obviously paranoia, but so far today I have lost on every single Kempton and Lingfield race. Three each. Been up on most of them but have plunged to a loss in the dying seconds on each occasion. Very weird.
freddy
Posts: 1132
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 8:22 pm

i been thinking for a while now that something funny is going on with betfair markets in general they seem so odd compaired to what they used too ,

whether it's cross matching or lack of money about,
i really don't know, but it's very difficult job these days :evil: .
James1st
Posts: 318
Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 10:28 am

Apart from a dropped connection about 2.45, I have had a great day. Every race working out well and just one scratch so far.
hgodden
Posts: 1759
Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 2:13 pm

Feels to me like someone is massively manipulating pretty much every runner, pushing them one way, then the other and at times bailing with some large stakes producing some big spikes. Hard to trust any of the money coming in when its like this
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SpikeyBob
Posts: 451
Joined: Thu May 14, 2009 12:31 pm

For once, I have been more consistent than Peter ... as I have managed to lose at each racecourse, I'm not selective where I lose money. :)
RideTheLightning
Posts: 136
Joined: Fri Jul 03, 2009 1:08 am

Kempton, I have found ok, but Lingfield have only traded 1 race and got spanked. When there is a gap of 15 mins or more between 2 races and the preceding race is short it makes the following race very tricky, so tricky in fact I have given up trading those types of markets.
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Euler
Posts: 26453
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

I wouldn't normally say much, as every now and again you have good and bad runs / days. But losing all six I estimate is around a once a year chance or 1/15625 trails. Very unlikely, but not impossible.
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Euler
Posts: 26453
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Hurrah, just won at Kempton. Not convinced with this big gap to Lingfield though!
pt9091
Posts: 200
Joined: Thu Apr 16, 2009 4:07 pm

getting done today by the table tennis effect of the man with the deep wallet, really frustrating, a punch bag would come in handy
manonthemoon
Posts: 37
Joined: Mon May 04, 2009 4:48 pm

For me, that Goodwood 4.20 was a fine example of how tricky the markets are today, just not quite going the way it reads.
PeterLe
Posts: 3727
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 3:19 pm

Hi
If it's any consolation, a similar pattern has been developing in the in running too.
I posted something on here a few weeks ago about them potentially taking a big hit. I think they must of as it went back to normal and the cycle started again.
I cant see mathematically how they can be net positive, so sometime it is a case of waiting and sitting tight till they have tried a strategy and determined that it doesn't work.
Or maybe I'm being paranoid!! :)
Regards
Peter
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Euler
Posts: 26453
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

It's nice to be able to share frustrations on a tough day! 8-)

I have picked up five winners in a row so pulling it together a bit now. But did a lot of damage at the start. :(

Hoping for a better second half of the session.
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JollyGreen
Posts: 2047
Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am

I had a real roller coaster ride on the 3:00 Lingfield. I was trading Circus Act and there was some merit in that name. I was in a +ve position and then got caught on my next 3 trades. There were several bets of £4K that hit the market which drove the price down. SOmeone was keen to get the price down because when the price moved away from their money they dropped it down 2 ticks.

Then on the way back up, another £4K appeared only this time it was pulled. I got in at the basement and it moved 6 ticks in my favour so I turned around a potential loss to scrape a small profit.
Totty2457
Posts: 60
Joined: Tue Apr 13, 2010 1:55 pm

There's defiintely someone doing something weird, I have noticed several times today on horses around 4/1 to 8/1 mark someones putting a back bet into the market of at least 3k and taking it out again and it's doing my nut in!!!!
manonthemoon
Posts: 37
Joined: Mon May 04, 2009 4:48 pm

Finally a decent trading window at Lingfield! I am overcome with emotion.
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