Albert Edwards (SocGen strategist)

Long, short, Bitcoin, forex - Plenty of alternate market disuccsion.
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superfrank
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Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

Albert Edwards: "The Eurozone Crisis Will Get Much, Much Worse" And "The ECB Will Print"
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/albert-ed ... will-print
The increasingly frenzied attempts of eurozone governments to persuade financial markets that they can draw a line under this crisis will ultimately fail – even if this week’s measures bring some short-term relief
"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved".
- Ludwig Von Mises, 1949.
Iron
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Joined: Fri Dec 11, 2009 10:51 pm

S&P 500 Extends Best Month Since ’74, Euro Rises - http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-10-2 ... rally.html

Wow! I wasn't even born when the S&P last had this good a month!

What a difference a day makes... :?

Jeff
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superfrank
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Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

Yep asset prices tend to rise when the system is flooded with new money!

But the problem for the stimulators and printers is that the price of everything rises (US crude back above $90) which limits the chances of any real terms growth. The inflation then impacts disposable incomes and we're back where we started (except with bigger debts and devalued currencies).

There is now an acceptance with in the mainstream media that the solution is to get banks lending again. Madness. There is no demand for more debt from people and companies. There is also an acceptance that deflation is an evil - also madness (the price of consumer electronics has been falling for years but it didn't stop people buying).

The solution is for indebted countries (and their populations) to live within their means... but that would mean less borrowing and smaller bonuses for bankers (and that's why it won't happen).

We hit the limits of credit expansion (which is why the credit crunch happened). The road we're now on is increasing the chances of the end game being hyperinflation imho. Get prepared!!!
Like Rothschild said, “Buy when there’s blood on the streets.” The thing to do to prepare for hyperinflation would be to invest in a diversified hard-metal basket before the event—no equities, no ETF’s, no derivatives. If and when hyperinflation happens, and things get bad (and I mean really bad), take that hard-metal basket and—right in the teeth of the crisis—buy residential property, as well as equities in long-lasting industries; mining, pharma and chemicals especially, but no value-added companies, like tech, aerospace or industrials. The reason is, at the peak of hyperinflation, the most valuable assets will be dirt-cheap—especially equities—especially real estate.
I disagree with the above slightly in that you can now invest in EFTs that hold metals in physical form (e.g. PHAU, PHAG). Good insurance in case the worst does happen.
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