Italian serie A

[giulio2010]

This is one of the biggest swing I have seen in years in the Serie A...
It's easy to predict from now on that even a draw will make a big change in the odds! I think it is favourable laying Rome.
Rome won 9 games out 9, they are 5 points ahead of Juventus and Napoli, both won 7 games, draw 1 and lost 1! So as you can see all 3 teams have an outstanding running! I am not saying Rome cannot win the Serie A but, obviously is a cracking shot to lay them. In my opinion it is just a matter of time, even if I am wrong it's just too big of a value not to consider!
I would personally be more caution about the real market. Here the graphs..I leave it to financial experts!

[JohnVanger]

23-1 goals in 9 matches, winning against Udinese with just 10 players. If someone is willing to lay them please tell us

[giulio2010]

23-1 goals in 9 matches, winning against Udinese with just 10 players. If someone is willing to lay them please tell us

As I said, I am not predicting that Roma will not win the title but, I predict that in the long term laying this odds or lower may be a big oppurtunity of making a long term profit!
I am someone willing to lay AS Roma at this odds!

[giulio2010]

As Roma already drifted a few ticks since this post.
It's a green opportunity. Bare in mind you have this little window before Roma play again tomorrow..

[giulio2010]

Roma won 10 games out 10 games, it's the Italian serie A record. Congrats.
It's now traded between 2,8 to 2,92 so it is throwing some new trading opportunitys!
I am concetrating on this market for a simple fact, If Roma had some negative impact in their run for the title, the odds will shoot up quite a lot ticks. Also prior each game the odds may drift between 3-6 ticks, depending on the result of Juventus and Napoli and how many people are laying them prior each game, exactly same as me!
Juventus and Napoli are currently second with 25 points, so what Roma is achieving is just exceptional which is more likely to end then NOT

[giulio2010]

Roma is now traded between 2,94 to 3,1 before playing against Torino.

[giulio2010]

Roma is now traded at 3,55 but there is little money available to close a bit of position.
Be aware that Roma may swing again after Roma vs Sassuolo and Juventus vs Napoli.
I will be caution this weekend..

[giulio2010]

Roma is now paid 4,9...It happened before I have predicted.....

[Naffman]

Well done giulio2010, I don't follow Serie A but surely their unbeaten run was unsustainable. Great call.

[giulio2010]

Juventus won la seria A, with 102 points. It's a new European record. They won all 19 home games.
As Roma was a great contender but, 102 points is a rare achievement and almost impossible to beat.
Congratulation Juventus!

[Euler]

Did Dani Osvaldo play many games?

[burdo77]

Hi Guilio,

What is the mf risk and mf rating on your graph?

Cheers burdo.

[giulio2010]

Did Dani Osvaldo play many games?

Osvaldo did not play many games. He started often from the bench. He scored a cracking goal at the 94' minute against Roma though, the last second of the game.
With Tevez and llorente top form this year, all other strikers had less chanche to play.

Hi Guilio,

What is the mf risk and mf rating on your graph?

Cheers burdo.

If you are talking about the financial graph, I said on my previous post that, it' s something to leave to financial experts.
If you are talking about the Betfair graph, I have noticed some overreaction on backing Rome to win the title back then. It was an almost free risk trade as Rome and Juventus were playing on different dates for several weeks. I am still waiting the win though as Betfair closed my account last april. I wrote them, I hope they will transfer my win to my bank account soon. Lets be positive.