Hi guys I'm going to start a betting strategy by accumulating my profit from backing 0.5 goals and rolling over the profits to my next selected match.
So my question is, what is an achievable streak without blowing the lot?
Over 0.5 goal accumulator
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If I had a £ for every one of these crazy ideas I would be a millionaire Rodney, it will fail so save your money 
Ok so I'll do the math, however I I'm prob wrong.
Ok a game at 1.05 = 0.95 prob
So 0.95 to the power of 20 = 0.36, so I have 36% chance of 20 in a row.
Secondly I'm considering a delayed entry point of 1.2.
Feel free to tear me apart as I am sure sure this will occur....
Ok a game at 1.05 = 0.95 prob
So 0.95 to the power of 20 = 0.36, so I have 36% chance of 20 in a row.
Secondly I'm considering a delayed entry point of 1.2.
Feel free to tear me apart as I am sure sure this will occur....
Indeed. 20th on average I was meaning, although on my back of the envelope I budget for every tenth game throwing up a blank sheetEuler wrote:It will often happen much soonerkelpie wrote:if you buy at 1.05 the book reckons he'll wipe you every 20th game
And if it's Series A or other poofball leagues it's every other game, right
burdo> if you wait until 1.2 you will miss profit on all the games where a goal is scored between 1.05 and 1.19. And meanwhile you're buying into markets where a draw is that much more likely. The book will be happy, you less so... !!
And odds are not probablility as you've framed it, sadly they are how much the book has to offer to tempt investment. Different thing
burdo - also, if you want to snowball on yes/no goals, those strategies have to work out where and when to protect your positions. eg, do you exit on 2.0, or wait for 1.3 on the other side (ie, no looks most likely) but then you need 3x your stake and are exposed to late goals
it's not easy in isolation from other markets
good luck!!
it's not easy in isolation from other markets
good luck!!
Thanks kelpie u have been helpful, I have been looking at sno balling high prob bets and this was the first market I have looked at . I haven't actually employed it yet...
One could argue that the odds don't reduce with a new game, therefore you have 95% chance at every game.
One could argue that the odds don't reduce with a new game, therefore you have 95% chance at every game.
Welcome. Hope you find something right for you.burdo77 wrote:Thanks kelpie u have been helpful, I have been looking at sno balling high prob bets and this was the first market I have looked at . I haven't actually employed it yet...
One could argue that the odds don't reduce with a new game, therefore you have 95% chance at every game.
snowballing is absolutely the way to go, once you have an edge
Why go for 20 in a row? you need to have an edge.
I would look at the whole market and pick 5 games that have a great chance of scoring, going for twenty will lead you to taking risks not only for not winning but your bank could take a heavy loss.
I would look at the whole market and pick 5 games that have a great chance of scoring, going for twenty will lead you to taking risks not only for not winning but your bank could take a heavy loss.
Just running through some numbers there.
To get 5 in a row right you need a win ratio of about 8 to 1.
Going for 20 in a row haven't worked it out but sod that, no way would i try it.
To get 5 in a row right you need a win ratio of about 8 to 1.
Going for 20 in a row haven't worked it out but sod that, no way would i try it.
Last edited by marko236 on Sun Feb 09, 2014 3:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
