Today's Horse Racing
good idea about Fav SP I'll factor it in, after some thought, this will get me most of the way there:Morrid4 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 08, 2026 9:13 amTrack maybe but I would have thought volume and ideally liquidity in previous 10 mins would be better indicators than anything. Markets can trade differently at different times of the day/week but it doesn't always hold true. Clashes with the previous race on a Saturday being an obvious example.eightbo wrote: ↑Thu Oct 08, 2026 3:16 amWhat would be a good approach to define a max. stake size based on the specific race which is about to go in-play?
I was thinking some combination of Track + 1st Place Prize Money [win] — thoughts/ideas/suggestions?
I could calibrate based on the first 10% of the race for the remaining 90% but ideally i'd set the value @ the jump and have it fixed across the entire race
I think the volume on the favourite and its overall impact on the rest of them (depending on your strategy) can also be key. A 1.7 fav getting a slow start is very different to 3 co favs trading around 4.5 and one of them is slow away.
1) Avg. 1s market vol. increase [logged 60s to 15s before off time] → 2) factor in Fav SP to output a normalised value for use
GPS data track list would be a good 3) but the list would need updating which is my only hesitation in adding that
Today's Arab Hcap @ Bath is a good example — it had a tiny fraction of the rest of the cards 1+2 values but in-play was still pretty busy IP due to being a TPD track. I did observe a marked reduction in avg. stake size in-play so ultimately i'll just run a min-max system to my stake size and use 1+2 above, should be about-right ty
put together a 1-click file this morning to quickly see upcoming cards + prize money for today/tomorrow for UK/IRE to ensure big races aren't missed manually. I did try to include AUS too but the API provider wants £25/mo for the privilege.
May have another API which can do it all for free so I'll try that soon, with end goal of importing the prize money values into BA for automation use, will share if I can reach that stage
May have another API which can do it all for free so I'll try that soon, with end goal of importing the prize money values into BA for automation use, will share if I can reach that stage
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