Today's Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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Euler
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I normally don't do Sunday's but waiting for my daughter at the moment so we can go out. Nice little bonus today!
Krystian
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Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2016 6:50 am

Pete why you was trade on BETDAQ what's the difference between BETFAIR ???
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Euler
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Krystian wrote:Pete why you was trade on BETDAQ what's the difference between BETFAIR ???
Lower commission
Samo154
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Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2015 11:44 am

Poor day today for me :(
weemac
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Joined: Mon Sep 16, 2013 8:16 pm

Is the frequency of bombs getting dropped, both backs and lays, getting ever greater? Someone just smashed the 1.63 fav at Yarmouth from 1.63 out to 1.85 with one bet.

Seems we're getting these smash bets moving prices 4-10 ticks several times a day now. Anyone else noticing it?
weemac
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Another Prescott odds-on fav very heavily laid late on and finishes unplaced.
steven1976
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weemac wrote:Is the frequency of bombs getting dropped, both backs and lays, getting ever greater? Someone just smashed the 1.63 fav at Yarmouth from 1.63 out to 1.85 with one bet.

Seems we're getting these smash bets moving prices 4-10 ticks several times a day now. Anyone else noticing it?
Probably less and less money in the markets, so the market just smashing in and against its own money to put some poor punter into a loosing position. If you can spot the barrier of money, you can position yourself nicely.
steven1976
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Not sure if this is allowed as it's not BA but just to show how 16 quid in a weak market can influence money in the market.

As soon as I take the front 4 positions it turns off the chunks of money. These chunks of money can match up and down against money as they enter the market to hold people in loosing positions. It's what they do! X MATCHING will be blamed but I can't see how 16 quid can influence 1000s

https://youtu.be/Bnwv5afu_NU

The bombs you see are likely the market setting up 3-4 chunks of money and smashing against it as someone enters a back or lay to put them in a loosing position short term or as long as necessary?
weemac
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No Steven, I'm not talking about a football match's in-play O/U 5.5 goals featuring 2 teams no-one's heard of with £2.5k matched where time decay and market illiquidity play a major part.

I'm talking about a high profile mature market with half a million matched 4 minutes before the off, trading at 1.62-1.63, where someone takes out every single price in one 22-tick swoop up to 1.85.

These 2 markets are a million miles apart in every respect.
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Euler
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In two runner markets, that sort of activity is almost certainly XM.

I've not doubt there are a lot of manipulators out there, but that is typically a side effect of virtuals bets. You can test it on BA but switching it on and off and seeing what is actually underneath the market. If it's gappy XM kicks in and a lot of API display phantom positions.
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Euler
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Markets are a bit trashy today
steven1976
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I use BA as well. Nothing against the virtual bets. Can be very helpful knowing how predictable it is with virtual bet's as you can often see the next move coming.

Weemac I think sometimes in the weaker markets you can sometimes learn how the money matches easier than trying to understand the horses 3 mins before the off. Take from it what you want.
weemac
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I was actually the 158th person to join betfair, on June the 8th 2000 to be precise, so I've had over 16 years to figure out what's going on.

I'll bear your comments in mind steven- there's always something new to learn.
steven1976
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How do you know you were 158 th out of interest?
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jimibt
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hey, what's happened here - deep breaths everyone, all for one and one for all etc!!
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