what is survival analysis in terms of football ? > it is the ability of a team to hold onto a lead / recover from a deficit > what I am going to show you below is
1. New York RB 0-1 at 20 minutes elapsed data < in general you will see acceleration of goal production
2. I am also going to show you 0-1 HT MLS data with the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band added to the home fightback in the 46-70 minutes time band ( 1-1 ) and you will see in general lowered expectation of a draw because 1-1 FT in that profile in MLS is a rare event
key points to consider >
1. how did the opening goal in the game effect expectation of accuracy for the rest of the game ?
2. how does the 2nd half fightback metric ( > 1-1 with the 2nd goal 46-70 minutes ) in an individual league effect expectation of a game ending a draw ?
Effect of Early Goal
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
9' L. Nguyen (PG)
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
1 - 1
D. Royer 74'
2 - 1
New York RB
3 - 2
Philadelphia Union
0 - 1
15' F. Herbers
S. Klještan 44'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
2 - 1
2 - 2
55' C. Pontius
D. McCarty 66'
3 - 2
New York RB
3 - 2
Orlando City
0 - 1
3' C. Larin
M. Grella 65'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 69'
2 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 75'
3 - 1
3 - 2
84' K. Ouimette (OG)
New York RB
0 - 2
Sporting KC
0 - 1
17' B. Feilhaber
0 - 2
60' D. Dwyer
New York RB
3 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
14' J. Larentowicz (PG)
0 - 2
26' D. Accam
B. Wright-Phillips 28'
1 - 2
M. Grella 38'
2 - 2
S. Klještan (PG) 71'
3 - 2
New York RB
1 - 2
Vancouver Whit…
0 - 1
15' K. Manneh
0 - 2
77' K. Froese
A. Abang 82'
1 - 2
New York RB
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
9' B. Jamieson
Felipe Martins 58'
1 - 1
New York RB
1 - 3
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
17' A. Schoenfeld
0 - 2
34' E. Finlay
L. Sam 58'
1 - 2
1 - 3
80' A. Schoenfeld
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
20' C. Davies
D. McCarty 47'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 63'
2 - 1
New York RB
5 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
6' M. Magee
T. Henry 24'
1 - 1
I. Sekagya 50'
2 - 1
L. Sam 56'
3 - 1
E. Alexander 77'
4 - 1
J. Steele 84'
5 - 1
5 - 2
90' Q. Amarikwa
New York RB
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
2' D. Oduro
T. Henry 31'
1 - 1
1 - 2
74' F. Higuaín (PG)
J. Olave 90'
2 - 2
New York RB
0 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
13' A. Collin
New York RB
3 - 2
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
8' B. Dike
0 - 2
32' D. Nagbe
K. Cooper 43'
1 - 2
T. Cahill 45'
2 - 2
H. Pearce 83'
3 - 2
New York RB
2 - 2
Seattle Sounders
0 - 1
15' Á. Fernández
S. Le Toux 24'
1 - 1
J. Lindpere 60'
2 - 1
2 - 2
67' F. Montero
New York RB
3 - 2
DC United
0 - 1
1' C. Pontius
B. Barklage 20'
1 - 1
B. Barklage 45'
2 - 1
J. Solli 55'
3 - 1
3 - 2
66' C. Pontius
New York RB
5 - 2
Montreal Impact
0 - 1
18' Sanna Nyassi
T. Henry 28'
1 - 1
1 - 2
38' J. Mapp
K. Cooper (PG) 45'
2 - 2
T. Henry 57'
3 - 2
M. Ballouchy 72'
4 - 2
T. Henry 89'
5 - 2
New York RB
0 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
15' M. Magee
New York RB
2 - 3
Chivas USA
0 - 1
6' J. Braun
T. Henry 21'
1 - 1
1 - 2
31' J. Braun
D. De Rosario (PG) 35'
2 - 2
2 - 3
56' J. Braun
New York RB
1 - 3
SJ Earthquakes
0 - 1
6' B. Convey
0 - 2
76' B. Convey
J. Ángel 78'
1 - 2
1 - 3
81' C. Wondolowski
New York RB
0 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
10' E. Buddle
New York RB
2 - 1
Dallas
0 - 1
9' D. McCarty
J. Ángel 55'
1 - 1
J. Ángel (PG) 90'
2 - 1
New York RB
1 - 1
New England
0 - 1
13' Sainey Nyassi
J. Wolyniec 69'
1 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
10' J. Wolff
New York RB
0 - 2
Chivas USA
0 - 1
15' M. Galindo
0 - 2
90' E. Lillingston
New York RB
1 - 3
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
3' A. Eskandarian
0 - 2
31' L. Donovan
0 - 3
45' E. Lewis
J. Ángel 87'
1 - 3
New York RB
4 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
16' J. Moreno
J. Ángel 27'
1 - 1
M. Magee 45'
2 - 1
J. Ángel 50'
3 - 1
S. Ubiparipović 87'
4 - 1
New York RB
1 - 5
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
8' C. Barrett
0 - 2
47' C. Rolfe
0 - 3
53' C. Blanco (PG)
0 - 4
60' C. Barrett
0 - 5
63' G. Segares
J. Altidore 73'
1 - 5
New York RB
1 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
19' J. Conrad
D. Borman 82'
1 - 1
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
9' L. Nguyen (PG)
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
1 - 1
D. Royer 74'
2 - 1
New York RB
3 - 2
Philadelphia Union
0 - 1
15' F. Herbers
S. Klještan 44'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
2 - 1
2 - 2
55' C. Pontius
D. McCarty 66'
3 - 2
New York RB
3 - 2
Orlando City
0 - 1
3' C. Larin
M. Grella 65'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 69'
2 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 75'
3 - 1
3 - 2
84' K. Ouimette (OG)
New York RB
0 - 2
Sporting KC
0 - 1
17' B. Feilhaber
0 - 2
60' D. Dwyer
New York RB
3 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
14' J. Larentowicz (PG)
0 - 2
26' D. Accam
B. Wright-Phillips 28'
1 - 2
M. Grella 38'
2 - 2
S. Klještan (PG) 71'
3 - 2
New York RB
1 - 2
Vancouver Whit…
0 - 1
15' K. Manneh
0 - 2
77' K. Froese
A. Abang 82'
1 - 2
New York RB
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
9' B. Jamieson
Felipe Martins 58'
1 - 1
New York RB
1 - 3
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
17' A. Schoenfeld
0 - 2
34' E. Finlay
L. Sam 58'
1 - 2
1 - 3
80' A. Schoenfeld
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
20' C. Davies
D. McCarty 47'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 63'
2 - 1
New York RB
5 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
6' M. Magee
T. Henry 24'
1 - 1
I. Sekagya 50'
2 - 1
L. Sam 56'
3 - 1
E. Alexander 77'
4 - 1
J. Steele 84'
5 - 1
5 - 2
90' Q. Amarikwa
New York RB
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
2' D. Oduro
T. Henry 31'
1 - 1
1 - 2
74' F. Higuaín (PG)
J. Olave 90'
2 - 2
New York RB
0 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
13' A. Collin
New York RB
3 - 2
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
8' B. Dike
0 - 2
32' D. Nagbe
K. Cooper 43'
1 - 2
T. Cahill 45'
2 - 2
H. Pearce 83'
3 - 2
New York RB
2 - 2
Seattle Sounders
0 - 1
15' Á. Fernández
S. Le Toux 24'
1 - 1
J. Lindpere 60'
2 - 1
2 - 2
67' F. Montero
New York RB
3 - 2
DC United
0 - 1
1' C. Pontius
B. Barklage 20'
1 - 1
B. Barklage 45'
2 - 1
J. Solli 55'
3 - 1
3 - 2
66' C. Pontius
New York RB
5 - 2
Montreal Impact
0 - 1
18' Sanna Nyassi
T. Henry 28'
1 - 1
1 - 2
38' J. Mapp
K. Cooper (PG) 45'
2 - 2
T. Henry 57'
3 - 2
M. Ballouchy 72'
4 - 2
T. Henry 89'
5 - 2
New York RB
0 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
15' M. Magee
New York RB
2 - 3
Chivas USA
0 - 1
6' J. Braun
T. Henry 21'
1 - 1
1 - 2
31' J. Braun
D. De Rosario (PG) 35'
2 - 2
2 - 3
56' J. Braun
New York RB
1 - 3
SJ Earthquakes
0 - 1
6' B. Convey
0 - 2
76' B. Convey
J. Ángel 78'
1 - 2
1 - 3
81' C. Wondolowski
New York RB
0 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
10' E. Buddle
New York RB
2 - 1
Dallas
0 - 1
9' D. McCarty
J. Ángel 55'
1 - 1
J. Ángel (PG) 90'
2 - 1
New York RB
1 - 1
New England
0 - 1
13' Sainey Nyassi
J. Wolyniec 69'
1 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
10' J. Wolff
New York RB
0 - 2
Chivas USA
0 - 1
15' M. Galindo
0 - 2
90' E. Lillingston
New York RB
1 - 3
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
3' A. Eskandarian
0 - 2
31' L. Donovan
0 - 3
45' E. Lewis
J. Ángel 87'
1 - 3
New York RB
4 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
16' J. Moreno
J. Ángel 27'
1 - 1
M. Magee 45'
2 - 1
J. Ángel 50'
3 - 1
S. Ubiparipović 87'
4 - 1
New York RB
1 - 5
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
8' C. Barrett
0 - 2
47' C. Rolfe
0 - 3
53' C. Blanco (PG)
0 - 4
60' C. Barrett
0 - 5
63' G. Segares
J. Altidore 73'
1 - 5
New York RB
1 - 1
Sporting KC
0 - 1
19' J. Conrad
D. Borman 82'
1 - 1
above is last 28 games in the MLS where New York RB were at home and it was 0-1 with 19 minutes elapsed >
11-5-12 < your focus on the sample of 28 games should be that there was only 5/28 that ended a draw < the reason is 2 fold <
1. expectation of acceleration of goal production as a result of the early away goal metric in the MLS
2. 0-1 Half Time MLS added to the early away goal metric and a draw is not common < if the games go to > 1-1 pathway with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band then in general 1-1 FT will be a rare event
68% ended over 2.5 goals = 1.47 >
54% ended over 3.5 goals = 4/5
11-5-12 < your focus on the sample of 28 games should be that there was only 5/28 that ended a draw < the reason is 2 fold <
1. expectation of acceleration of goal production as a result of the early away goal metric in the MLS
2. 0-1 Half Time MLS added to the early away goal metric and a draw is not common < if the games go to > 1-1 pathway with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 time band then in general 1-1 FT will be a rare event
68% ended over 2.5 goals = 1.47 >
54% ended over 3.5 goals = 4/5
Last edited by jonnyg on Sun May 28, 2017 8:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
we can now look at 0-1 half time in the MLS added to the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band added to the home fightback in the 2nd half > 1-1 with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band < you will see that 1-1 FT is a rare event which you can exploit by laying the draw at 1-1 / backing over 2.5 goals and then at 2-1/1-2 trading out of the DRAW
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
9' L. Nguyen (PG)
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
1 - 1
D. Royer 74'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 1
Colorado Rapids
0 - 1
15' C. Calvert
C. Sapong (PG) 67'
1 - 1
H. Medunjanin 75'
2 - 1
Colorado Rapids
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
20' A. Wenger
S. Gashi 67'
1 - 1
Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
13' A. Jahn
M. Parkhurst (OG) 53'
1 - 1
M. de Leeuw 57'
2 - 1
2 - 2
80' A. Jahn
Vancouver Whit…
3 - 3
Colorado Rapids
0 - 1
8' D. Badji
K. Waston 51'
1 - 1
1 - 2
57' S. Gashi (PG)
P. Morales 70'
2 - 2
2 - 3
75' S. Gashi
E. Hurtado 90'
3 - 3
Sporting KC
2 - 2
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
7' A. Gordon
J. Peterson 50'
1 - 1
D. Dwyer 69'
2 - 1
2 - 2
76' L. Donovan
Real Salt Lake
3 - 3
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
6' E. Boateng
J. Plata (PG) 53'
1 - 1
1 - 2
57' G. dos Santos
1 - 3
64' G. dos Santos
J. Plata 67'
2 - 3
J. Martínez 90'
3 - 3
Orlando City
1 - 2
Toronto
0 - 1
7' T. Ricketts
C. Larin 56'
1 - 1
1 - 2
86' J. Altidore
Orlando City
3 - 1
New England
0 - 1
19' K. Kamara
C. Larin 46'
1 - 1
K. Molino 64'
2 - 1
K. Molino 83'
3 - 1
Real Salt Lake
1 - 1
SJ Earthquakes
0 - 1
9' C. Wondolowski
L. Mulholland 64'
1 - 1
Real Salt Lake
2 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
7' G. Baah
Y. Movsisyan 65'
1 - 1
J. Allen 87'
2 - 1
Vancouver Whit…
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
20' D. Beasley
O. Rivero 52'
1 - 1
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
New York City
0 - 1
12' David Villa
F. Adi 55'
1 - 1
1 - 2
65' T. McNamara
Dallas
2 - 1
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
3' D. Váleri
R. Hollingshead 55'
1 - 1
W. Zimmerman 57'
2 - 1
Orlando City
1 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
19' B. Wright-Phillips
K. Molino 67'
1 - 1
New York RB
3 - 2
Orlando City
0 - 1
3' C. Larin
M. Grella 65'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 69'
2 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 75'
3 - 1
3 - 2
84' K. Ouimette (OG)
Seattle Sounders
1 - 2
Vancouver Whit…
0 - 1
10' P. Morales (PG)
A. Ivanschitz 52'
1 - 1
1 - 2
74' P. Morales (PG)
LA Galaxy
4 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
5' L. Neagle
D. Steres 54'
1 - 1
M. Magee 64'
2 - 1
R. Keane (PG) 83'
3 - 1
M. Magee 87'
4 - 1
DC United
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
10' C. Davies
C. Rolfe 70'
1 - 1
C. Rolfe (PG) 81'
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
14' S. Lletget
F. Higuaín 66'
1 - 1
DC United
2 - 1
Orlando City
0 - 1
11' C. Larin
K. Opare 70'
1 - 1
C. Rolfe 79'
2 - 1
New York RB
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
9' B. Jamieson
Felipe Martins 58'
1 - 1
Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
18' O. Cummings
J. Larentowicz (PG) 66'
1 - 1
F. Sinama-Pongolle 90'
2 - 1
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
20' C. Davies
D. McCarty 47'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 63'
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Dallas
0 - 1
16' Michel (PG)
L. Neagle 62'
1 - 1
K. Cooper 88'
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
0 - 1
13' B. Evans (OG)
O. Martins 61'
1 - 1
C. Marshall 84'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
Real Salt Lake
0 - 1
6' L. Mulholland
A. Wenger 55'
1 - 1
1 - 2
85' K. Beckerman
M. Edu 90'
2 - 2
New England
2 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
11' S. Caldwell (OG)
D. Fagúndez 58'
1 - 1
L. Nguyen (PG) 83'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
1 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
9' P. Nyarko
S. Williams 60'
1 - 1
1 - 2
75' M. Magee
Colorado Rapids
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
15' J. Toja
N. LaBrocca 62'
1 - 1
José Gonçalves (OG) 68'
2 - 1
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
9' L. Nguyen (PG)
B. Wright-Phillips 47'
1 - 1
D. Royer 74'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 1
Colorado Rapids
0 - 1
15' C. Calvert
C. Sapong (PG) 67'
1 - 1
H. Medunjanin 75'
2 - 1
Colorado Rapids
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
20' A. Wenger
S. Gashi 67'
1 - 1
Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
0 - 1
13' A. Jahn
M. Parkhurst (OG) 53'
1 - 1
M. de Leeuw 57'
2 - 1
2 - 2
80' A. Jahn
Vancouver Whit…
3 - 3
Colorado Rapids
0 - 1
8' D. Badji
K. Waston 51'
1 - 1
1 - 2
57' S. Gashi (PG)
P. Morales 70'
2 - 2
2 - 3
75' S. Gashi
E. Hurtado 90'
3 - 3
Sporting KC
2 - 2
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
7' A. Gordon
J. Peterson 50'
1 - 1
D. Dwyer 69'
2 - 1
2 - 2
76' L. Donovan
Real Salt Lake
3 - 3
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
6' E. Boateng
J. Plata (PG) 53'
1 - 1
1 - 2
57' G. dos Santos
1 - 3
64' G. dos Santos
J. Plata 67'
2 - 3
J. Martínez 90'
3 - 3
Orlando City
1 - 2
Toronto
0 - 1
7' T. Ricketts
C. Larin 56'
1 - 1
1 - 2
86' J. Altidore
Orlando City
3 - 1
New England
0 - 1
19' K. Kamara
C. Larin 46'
1 - 1
K. Molino 64'
2 - 1
K. Molino 83'
3 - 1
Real Salt Lake
1 - 1
SJ Earthquakes
0 - 1
9' C. Wondolowski
L. Mulholland 64'
1 - 1
Real Salt Lake
2 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
7' G. Baah
Y. Movsisyan 65'
1 - 1
J. Allen 87'
2 - 1
Vancouver Whit…
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
20' D. Beasley
O. Rivero 52'
1 - 1
Portland Timbers
1 - 2
New York City
0 - 1
12' David Villa
F. Adi 55'
1 - 1
1 - 2
65' T. McNamara
Dallas
2 - 1
Portland Timbers
0 - 1
3' D. Váleri
R. Hollingshead 55'
1 - 1
W. Zimmerman 57'
2 - 1
Orlando City
1 - 1
New York RB
0 - 1
19' B. Wright-Phillips
K. Molino 67'
1 - 1
New York RB
3 - 2
Orlando City
0 - 1
3' C. Larin
M. Grella 65'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 69'
2 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 75'
3 - 1
3 - 2
84' K. Ouimette (OG)
Seattle Sounders
1 - 2
Vancouver Whit…
0 - 1
10' P. Morales (PG)
A. Ivanschitz 52'
1 - 1
1 - 2
74' P. Morales (PG)
LA Galaxy
4 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
5' L. Neagle
D. Steres 54'
1 - 1
M. Magee 64'
2 - 1
R. Keane (PG) 83'
3 - 1
M. Magee 87'
4 - 1
DC United
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
10' C. Davies
C. Rolfe 70'
1 - 1
C. Rolfe (PG) 81'
2 - 1
Columbus Crew
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
14' S. Lletget
F. Higuaín 66'
1 - 1
DC United
2 - 1
Orlando City
0 - 1
11' C. Larin
K. Opare 70'
1 - 1
C. Rolfe 79'
2 - 1
New York RB
1 - 1
LA Galaxy
0 - 1
9' B. Jamieson
Felipe Martins 58'
1 - 1
Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
0 - 1
18' O. Cummings
J. Larentowicz (PG) 66'
1 - 1
F. Sinama-Pongolle 90'
2 - 1
New York RB
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
20' C. Davies
D. McCarty 47'
1 - 1
B. Wright-Phillips 63'
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Dallas
0 - 1
16' Michel (PG)
L. Neagle 62'
1 - 1
K. Cooper 88'
2 - 1
Seattle Sounders
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
0 - 1
13' B. Evans (OG)
O. Martins 61'
1 - 1
C. Marshall 84'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
2 - 2
Real Salt Lake
0 - 1
6' L. Mulholland
A. Wenger 55'
1 - 1
1 - 2
85' K. Beckerman
M. Edu 90'
2 - 2
New England
2 - 1
DC United
0 - 1
11' S. Caldwell (OG)
D. Fagúndez 58'
1 - 1
L. Nguyen (PG) 83'
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
1 - 2
Chicago Fire
0 - 1
9' P. Nyarko
S. Williams 60'
1 - 1
1 - 2
75' M. Magee
Colorado Rapids
2 - 1
New England
0 - 1
15' J. Toja
N. LaBrocca 62'
1 - 1
José Gonçalves (OG) 68'
2 - 1
If we look above at the last 30 games in MLS 0-1 HT added to the early away goal metric ( opening goal in 0-20 minutes time band ) and the home fightback in the 46-70 minutes time band >
80% ended over 2.5 goals
15-11-4 <
80% ended over 2.5 goals
15-11-4 <
Last edited by jonnyg on Sun May 28, 2017 9:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
Using Survival Analysis to make in play Soccer Betting Decisions
Posted on: September 16th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
Survival analysis is generally defined as a set of methods for analyzing data where the outcome variable is the time until the occurrence of an event of interest. The event can be death, occurrence of a disease, marriage, divorce, etc.
If we look at Survival analysis in terms of Soccer the question we need to ask is how likely are a team to a hold a lead ?
“Survival Analysis of the Timing of Goals in Soccer Games”
Submitted by
LAM CHUNG SANG
for the degree of Master of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong
in September 2005
https://hub.hku.hk/bitstream/10722/40969/6/FullText.pdf
Conclusion
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
opta pro Forum 2015
Conclusion
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
If the above conclusion is correct then in effect there is no in play betting edge because in play market prices would be spot on in terms of expectation of the other team fighting back .
Nape response >
I looked at the effect of the time of the opening goal with attention to the early goal which I define as the opening goal by the home team 0-10 minutes / opening goal by the away team 0-20 minutes in individual leagues added to the major half time game states ( 1-0 /0-1 1-1 0-1 ) to understand if teams that are leading are likely to face a fightback from the other team .
Many football betting blogs will discuss the strength of teams but I have never seen any other blogs looking to see if there may be variables in play that can weaken the perceived strength of a team .
For example if we look at Manchester City in the League when losing 1-0 at half time AWAY , they last one a game in that profile in 1992
Manchester City away in the Premier league since 2008-2009 when losing 1-0 half time >
0 1415 2015-04-06 Crystal Palace Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1415 2014-10-25 West Ham Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1314 2013-11-10 Sunderland Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 1314 2013-10-27 Chelsea Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1213 2013-03-16 Everton Man City 1-0 2-0
E0 1213 2012-08-26 Liverpool Man City 1-0 2-2
E0 1011 2011-02-12 Man United Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1011 2011-01-22 Aston Villa Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0910 2010-03-14 Sunderland Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0910 2010-02-06 Hull Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 0910 2009-12-16 Tottenham Man City 1-0 3-0
E0 0910 2009-10-18 Wigan Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0910 2009-10-05 Aston Villa Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0809 2009-05-16 Tottenham Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 0809 2009-04-04 Arsenal Man City 1-0 2-0
E0 0809 2009-03-15 Chelsea Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0809 2009-01-31 Stoke Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0809 2008-12-28 Blackburn Man City 1-0 2-2
In the majority of the above games , the betting industry and the in play punters had some expectation of Manchester City fighting back > why ? < well <
they are seduced by >
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
We can look at Survival analysis in Soccer on a league level by looking at the early goal and expectation of the game going to 1-1 or 0-2 /2-0 or staying at 1-0.
In the Premier League last season in games where the home team opened the scoring 0-10 minutes ,
GAME PATHWAY
3/41 1-0 FT
26/41 > 2-0 24-2-0 <> home teams won 92%
12/41 > 1-1 5-4-3 home teams won 42%
We can see from above that the pathway > 2-0 is more likely then > 1-1 .
If we look at the pathway in ligue 2 in games where the away team open the scoring 0-20 last season ;
GAME PATHWAY
8/59 0-1 FT
36/59 > 1-1 15-16-5 <> away team won 14%
15/59 > 0-2 0-3-12 <> away team won 80%
and we can see that the team that concede are more likely to score the 2nd goal
Summary
If you look at individual leagues around the globe added to the time of the opening goal and the game state ( current score ) you will find which has been noted in several blogs that the team that concedes will have more shots , but they failed to notice that the shots in general will be of a low accuracy Wall which is one reason why a team does not always score more goals when they are behind and the other main reason which has never been developed is that the perceived strength of a team can be weakened by variables that may occur such as the game state ( current score )
footnote : the away team opening the scoring late in a game is more likely to score the 2nd goal then > 1-1 pathway
Posted on: September 16th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
Survival analysis is generally defined as a set of methods for analyzing data where the outcome variable is the time until the occurrence of an event of interest. The event can be death, occurrence of a disease, marriage, divorce, etc.
If we look at Survival analysis in terms of Soccer the question we need to ask is how likely are a team to a hold a lead ?
“Survival Analysis of the Timing of Goals in Soccer Games”
Submitted by
LAM CHUNG SANG
for the degree of Master of Philosophy at The University of Hong Kong
in September 2005
https://hub.hku.hk/bitstream/10722/40969/6/FullText.pdf
Conclusion
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
opta pro Forum 2015
Conclusion
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
If the above conclusion is correct then in effect there is no in play betting edge because in play market prices would be spot on in terms of expectation of the other team fighting back .
Nape response >
I looked at the effect of the time of the opening goal with attention to the early goal which I define as the opening goal by the home team 0-10 minutes / opening goal by the away team 0-20 minutes in individual leagues added to the major half time game states ( 1-0 /0-1 1-1 0-1 ) to understand if teams that are leading are likely to face a fightback from the other team .
Many football betting blogs will discuss the strength of teams but I have never seen any other blogs looking to see if there may be variables in play that can weaken the perceived strength of a team .
For example if we look at Manchester City in the League when losing 1-0 at half time AWAY , they last one a game in that profile in 1992
Manchester City away in the Premier league since 2008-2009 when losing 1-0 half time >
0 1415 2015-04-06 Crystal Palace Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1415 2014-10-25 West Ham Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1314 2013-11-10 Sunderland Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 1314 2013-10-27 Chelsea Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1213 2013-03-16 Everton Man City 1-0 2-0
E0 1213 2012-08-26 Liverpool Man City 1-0 2-2
E0 1011 2011-02-12 Man United Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 1011 2011-01-22 Aston Villa Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0910 2010-03-14 Sunderland Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0910 2010-02-06 Hull Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 0910 2009-12-16 Tottenham Man City 1-0 3-0
E0 0910 2009-10-18 Wigan Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0910 2009-10-05 Aston Villa Man City 1-0 1-1
E0 0809 2009-05-16 Tottenham Man City 1-0 2-1
E0 0809 2009-04-04 Arsenal Man City 1-0 2-0
E0 0809 2009-03-15 Chelsea Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0809 2009-01-31 Stoke Man City 1-0 1-0
E0 0809 2008-12-28 Blackburn Man City 1-0 2-2
In the majority of the above games , the betting industry and the in play punters had some expectation of Manchester City fighting back > why ? < well <
they are seduced by >
” teams score more goals when they are being led but fewer goals when they are leading,”
We can look at Survival analysis in Soccer on a league level by looking at the early goal and expectation of the game going to 1-1 or 0-2 /2-0 or staying at 1-0.
In the Premier League last season in games where the home team opened the scoring 0-10 minutes ,
GAME PATHWAY
3/41 1-0 FT
26/41 > 2-0 24-2-0 <> home teams won 92%
12/41 > 1-1 5-4-3 home teams won 42%
We can see from above that the pathway > 2-0 is more likely then > 1-1 .
If we look at the pathway in ligue 2 in games where the away team open the scoring 0-20 last season ;
GAME PATHWAY
8/59 0-1 FT
36/59 > 1-1 15-16-5 <> away team won 14%
15/59 > 0-2 0-3-12 <> away team won 80%
and we can see that the team that concede are more likely to score the 2nd goal
Summary
If you look at individual leagues around the globe added to the time of the opening goal and the game state ( current score ) you will find which has been noted in several blogs that the team that concedes will have more shots , but they failed to notice that the shots in general will be of a low accuracy Wall which is one reason why a team does not always score more goals when they are behind and the other main reason which has never been developed is that the perceived strength of a team can be weakened by variables that may occur such as the game state ( current score )
footnote : the away team opening the scoring late in a game is more likely to score the 2nd goal then > 1-1 pathway
“In this masterwork Pullein explains how you can work out what is likely to happen …. Kevin Pullein is the leading football commentator for the Racing Post. … for instance, a team which is losing by 0-1 is 6% more likely to score the next goal “
the above comment is flawed if you look at the time of the opening goal in an individual league < you can exploit this by betting on the next goal in running > in games where the prices are out of line with expectation
the above comment is flawed if you look at the time of the opening goal in an individual league < you can exploit this by betting on the next goal in running >
in games where the prices are out of line with expectationdo you mean Walter Cassini Mitty ?
The Effect of the Early Home goal and 1-1 Pathway in the First Half in the MLS
Posted on: March 26th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark
If you have read the book The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Football Is Wrong , you may have discovered that there were a number of errors in the book and one key theme that was offered ;
“TEAMS ARE NOT VULNERABLE WHEN THEY OPEN THE SCORING TO A QUICK RESPONSE” < the authors failed to understand that it is an early goal metric that is far more likely to produce a quick response so when they backed up their thought process with games in the Premier League that ended 1-1 at full time , your response would be to ask the % of early goal games that are likely to end 1-1 ?
In the table below I have added the last 35 games in MLS where the home team opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minute time band and 43% produced a response T + 10 minutes or within T + 10 minutes of the opening goal. ( consider how many of the games ended 1-1 in that sample ? )
15-13-7 <> 37% ended a draw
86% ended over 2.5 goals, 63% ended over 3.5 goals and 26% ended over 4.5 goals
Summary
How does the time of the opening goal in an individual league effect expectation of the other team fighting back ? ( game pathway analysis )
In effect you should be looking to trade around the draw in games that produce an early goal metric and if we look at the table below , and you should consider backing against the draw ( laying the draw at 1-1 ) because of the lowered expectation of the games ending 1-1 , which would mean at 2-1/1-2 that you would trade out of your position on the draw to lock in a profit.
Sample size is the biggest red herring in football data and analysis .
I could produce a sample of 70 000 games that ended 1-1 at full time to show that teams are not vulnerable to a quick response but very few of the 70 000 games would include early goal games so that would be as useful as a chocolate teapot.
T T+1 HT FT
New E Min 4 A15 4 1 5 2
Seattle Real 3 A4 2 1 2 1
Chicago New E 9 A43 1 1 2 1
New YC Dallas 8 A20 1 1 2 2
Mont Orlando 2 A4 1 2 1 4
Houston Toronto 8 A24 1 1 1 1
Chicago Orlando 6 A9 1 2 2 2
Orlando Seattle 7 A14 1 2 1 3
Sporting New YC 8 A14 2 1 3 1
Mont Phil 3 A24 1 1 1 1
SJ Houston 3 A43 1 1 3 1
Phil LA Galaxy 4 A15 1 1 2 2
New E Orlando 7 A30 1 1 2 2
Orlando New E. 2 A37 1 1 2 2
Columbus New C. 7 A15 1 1 3 2
Houston LA Galaxy 1 A4 1 3 1 4
Phil Orlando 2 A43 1 1 2 1
New C New E 10 A38 1 1 1 1
Orlando Chicago 4 A14 1 1 1 1
Portland Colorado 5 A13 2 1 4 1
Houston Colorado 3 A8 2 2 3 2
New E New RB 2 A6 1 1 2 1
Columbus Chicago 2 A9 2 1 3 1
Colorado Whietcaps 2 A20 1 1 2 1
Phil Montreal 8 A28 1 1 2 2
Chicago Orlando 9 A40 1 1 2 3
DC Toronto 6 A34 1 1 1 2
New E LA Galaxy 5 A18 2 2 2 2
Columbus Seattle 10 A24 1 1 3 2
Whitecaps DC UTD 2 A9 1 1 1 2
La Sporting 9 A22 1 1 2 1
La Houston 3 A11 1 1 1 1
Seattle SJ 1 A13 1 1 2 3
Real Montreal 3 A32 1 1 3 1
Houston New RB 1 A13 1 1 2 2
Posted on: March 26th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark
If you have read the book The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Football Is Wrong , you may have discovered that there were a number of errors in the book and one key theme that was offered ;
“TEAMS ARE NOT VULNERABLE WHEN THEY OPEN THE SCORING TO A QUICK RESPONSE” < the authors failed to understand that it is an early goal metric that is far more likely to produce a quick response so when they backed up their thought process with games in the Premier League that ended 1-1 at full time , your response would be to ask the % of early goal games that are likely to end 1-1 ?
In the table below I have added the last 35 games in MLS where the home team opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minute time band and 43% produced a response T + 10 minutes or within T + 10 minutes of the opening goal. ( consider how many of the games ended 1-1 in that sample ? )
15-13-7 <> 37% ended a draw
86% ended over 2.5 goals, 63% ended over 3.5 goals and 26% ended over 4.5 goals
Summary
How does the time of the opening goal in an individual league effect expectation of the other team fighting back ? ( game pathway analysis )
In effect you should be looking to trade around the draw in games that produce an early goal metric and if we look at the table below , and you should consider backing against the draw ( laying the draw at 1-1 ) because of the lowered expectation of the games ending 1-1 , which would mean at 2-1/1-2 that you would trade out of your position on the draw to lock in a profit.
Sample size is the biggest red herring in football data and analysis .
I could produce a sample of 70 000 games that ended 1-1 at full time to show that teams are not vulnerable to a quick response but very few of the 70 000 games would include early goal games so that would be as useful as a chocolate teapot.
T T+1 HT FT
New E Min 4 A15 4 1 5 2
Seattle Real 3 A4 2 1 2 1
Chicago New E 9 A43 1 1 2 1
New YC Dallas 8 A20 1 1 2 2
Mont Orlando 2 A4 1 2 1 4
Houston Toronto 8 A24 1 1 1 1
Chicago Orlando 6 A9 1 2 2 2
Orlando Seattle 7 A14 1 2 1 3
Sporting New YC 8 A14 2 1 3 1
Mont Phil 3 A24 1 1 1 1
SJ Houston 3 A43 1 1 3 1
Phil LA Galaxy 4 A15 1 1 2 2
New E Orlando 7 A30 1 1 2 2
Orlando New E. 2 A37 1 1 2 2
Columbus New C. 7 A15 1 1 3 2
Houston LA Galaxy 1 A4 1 3 1 4
Phil Orlando 2 A43 1 1 2 1
New C New E 10 A38 1 1 1 1
Orlando Chicago 4 A14 1 1 1 1
Portland Colorado 5 A13 2 1 4 1
Houston Colorado 3 A8 2 2 3 2
New E New RB 2 A6 1 1 2 1
Columbus Chicago 2 A9 2 1 3 1
Colorado Whietcaps 2 A20 1 1 2 1
Phil Montreal 8 A28 1 1 2 2
Chicago Orlando 9 A40 1 1 2 3
DC Toronto 6 A34 1 1 1 2
New E LA Galaxy 5 A18 2 2 2 2
Columbus Seattle 10 A24 1 1 3 2
Whitecaps DC UTD 2 A9 1 1 1 2
La Sporting 9 A22 1 1 2 1
La Houston 3 A11 1 1 1 1
Seattle SJ 1 A13 1 1 2 3
Real Montreal 3 A32 1 1 3 1
Houston New RB 1 A13 1 1 2 2
as a basic summary > football data and analysis is very weak and has not developed over the last 10 years +
expected goal totals analysis dominate the mainstream > this metric has been used for a number of years and is not a strong metric in terms of expectation of goal production as time decays in a game
one key point is that the betting industry dominate the flow of football data and analysis < the aim is to appeal to the lowest common denominator
I am hoping that the next generation of football data analysts will not be weakened by the power of the betting industry
I am over 50
a very interesting story < I had a meeting with a betting industry person who said " people are not interested in football analysis from middle aged men "
this is spot on < and this is why you see WALTER MITTY types creating characters on social media to give the inference that they are young and wealthy etc > e.g. Nape ( ANDY NAPIER ) >
expected goal totals analysis dominate the mainstream > this metric has been used for a number of years and is not a strong metric in terms of expectation of goal production as time decays in a game
one key point is that the betting industry dominate the flow of football data and analysis < the aim is to appeal to the lowest common denominator
I am hoping that the next generation of football data analysts will not be weakened by the power of the betting industry
I am over 50
a very interesting story < I had a meeting with a betting industry person who said " people are not interested in football analysis from middle aged men "
this is spot on < and this is why you see WALTER MITTY types creating characters on social media to give the inference that they are young and wealthy etc > e.g. Nape ( ANDY NAPIER ) >
Last season in League 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 minutes, 71% ended over 2.5 goals and 44% over 3.5 goals.
Both teams scored in 72% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 56%
46% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
GAME PATHWAY
11/98 0-1 FT
47/98 > 1-1 16-13-18 <> away teams won 38%
40/98 > 0-2 4-5-31 <> away teams won 78%
20-18-60 > away teams won 61%
This season in league 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band ;
66% ended over 2.5 goals and 46% ended over 3.5 goals
Both teams scored in 71% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 55%
33% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
GAME PATHWAY
7/93 0-1 FT
45/93 > 1-1 14-23-8 > away teams won 18%
41/93 > 0-2 2-3-36 > away teams won 88%
16-26-51 < away teams won 55%
Last 191 games in League 1 where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
GAME PATHWAY
18/191 0-1 FT
92/191 > 1-1 30-36-26 > away teams won 28%
81/191 > 0-2 6-8-67 > away teams won 83%
36-44-111 away teams won 58% > 1/0.58 = 8/11
Bristol Rovers
3 – 4
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ L. Gregory
0 – 2
25′ T. Craig
J. Easter 33′
1 – 2
1 – 3
35′ L. Gregory
C. Lines 42′
2 – 3
B. Bodin 74′
3 – 3
3 – 4
85′ S. Hutchinson
Rochdale
1 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
9′ A. Jones
M. Lund 66′
1 – 1
Walsall
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
11′ R. Muirhead
0 – 2
32′ B. Reeves
0 – 3
71′ S. O’Keefe
E. Oztumer 84′
1 – 3
1 – 4
85′ H. Barnes
Oldham Athletic
1 – 1
Rochdale
0 – 1
13′ C. Camps
P. Clarke 67′
1 – 1
Swindon Town
1 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
0 – 2
71′ S. Mantom
R. Ince 85′
1 – 2
Millwall
0 – 3
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ C. McAleny
0 – 2
9′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
71′ J. Ruffles
Chesterfield
0 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
15′ S. Cox (PG)
0 – 2
57′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
67′ S. Cox
0 – 4
71′ M. Fortuné
Port Vale
0 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
2′ J. O’Shea
0 – 2
30′ L. Clarke
0 – 3
90′ M. Done
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
1′ B. Moore
Oxford United
1 – 3
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
6′ B. Grant (PG)
C. Nelson 8′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ A. Eastham
1 – 3
87′ D. Ball
Charlton Athletic
0 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
7′ S. O’Keefe
0 – 2
57′ H. Barnes
Chesterfield
1 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
16′ I. Henderson
0 – 2
40′ C. Camps
0 – 3
42′ J. Allen
K. Dennis 51′
1 – 3
Oxford United
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
4′ Filipe Morais
0 – 2
23′ M. Beevers
K. Hemmings 42′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ C. Dunkley (OG)
C. Maguire 75′
2 – 3
2 – 4
90′ J. Vela
Rochdale
3 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
14′ L. Gregory (PG)
0 – 2
25′ A. O’Brien
N. Mendez-Laing 33′
1 – 2
I. Henderson 44′
2 – 2
C. Camps 54′
3 – 2
3 – 3
77′ J. Wallace
Oxford United
2 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
12′ P. Madden
J. Lundstram 52′
1 – 1
P. Edwards 90′
2 – 1
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
11′ L. Erwin
J. Morias 73′
1 – 1
Sheffield United
2 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
3′ R. Holmes
J. O’Connell 14′
1 – 1
D. Lafferty 48′
2 – 1
Southend United
3 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
18′ F. Moussa
0 – 2
25′ F. Moussa
N. Ranger 63′
1 – 2
A. Ferdinand 76′
2 – 2
S. Cox 83′
3 – 2
Coventry City
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
23′ R. Leonard
Gillingham
0 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ D. Wheater
0 – 2
15′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 3
45′ M. Beevers
0 – 4
49′ J. Vela
Chesterfield
1 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
3′ T. Roberts
I. Evatt 42′
1 – 1
Fleetwood Town
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
17′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 2
20′ D. Wheater
K. Dempsey 22′
1 – 2
1 – 3
48′ M. Beevers
1 – 4
78′ A. Le Fondre
B. Grant 87′
2 – 4
Gillingham
3 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
4′ P. Madden
0 – 2
73′ H. Toffolo
J. Wright (PG) 77′
1 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 82′
2 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 86′
3 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ S. Davies
K. Agard 70′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ N. Mendez-Laing
B. Reeves 90′
2 – 2
Bury
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ B. Dack
0 – 2
47′ C. McDonald
J. Vaughan 75′
1 – 2
Oxford United
0 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
16′ O. Clarke
0 – 2
36′ S. Sinclair
Rochdale
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
5′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
11′ D. Lafferty
S. Davies 20′
1 – 2
M. Lund 46′
2 – 2
2 – 3
68′ B. Sharp
N. Mendez-Laing 78′
3 – 3
Bradford City
2 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
4′ S. O’Keefe
A. McMahon (PG) 22′
1 – 1
1 – 2
35′ George Benjamin Williams
C. Wyke 43′
2 – 2
Swindon Town
3 – 1
Gillingham
0 – 1
10′ C. McDonald
R. Ince 56′
1 – 1
J. Obika 61′
2 – 1
Raphael Branco 75′
3 – 1
Chesterfield
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
17′ R. Hall
0 – 2
35′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
60′ C. McAleny
0 – 4
69′ C. McAleny
Gillingham
2 – 2
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
17′ L. Taylor
B. Dack 19′
1 – 1
J. Wright 36′
2 – 1
2 – 2
69′ A. Barcham
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
12′ C. McAleny
AFC Wimbledon
1 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
8′ R. Holmes
T. Elliott 90′
1 – 1
Bolton Wanderers
4 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
4′ E. Oztumer
G. Madine 15′
1 – 1
J. O’Connor (OG) 26′
2 – 1
L. Trotter 30′
3 – 1
C. Long 87′
4 – 1
Bradford City
2 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ J. Wright
C. Wyke 15′
1 – 1
A. McMahon 38′
2 – 1
2 – 2
49′ A. Oshilaja
Port Vale
0 – 3
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
20′ M. Maddison
0 – 2
90′ J. Morias
0 – 3
90′ J. Morias
Southend United
3 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
M. Fortuné 39′
1 – 1
S. Cox 76′
2 – 1
R. Leonard 81′
3 – 1
Oldham Athletic
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
14′ R. Vincelot
B. Wilson 44′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ R. McArdle
Sheffield United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
20′ C. McLaughlin
0 – 2
66′ D. Cole
Rochdale
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
18′ M. Johnson
0 – 2
29′ R. Hall
0 – 3
53′ R. Taylor
0 – 4
73′ R. Ledson
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ R. Hall
D. Parrett 12′
1 – 1
S. Kelly 28′
2 – 1
Bury
5 – 1
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
4′ T. Nichols
J. Vaughan 7′
1 – 1
J. Vaughan 16′
2 – 1
J. Vaughan 24′
3 – 1
J. Vaughan 27′
4 – 1
G. Miller 71′
5 – 1
Southend United
2 – 4
Sheffield United
0 – 1
3′ E. Ebanks-Landell
S. Cox 19′
1 – 1
1 – 2
42′ J. O’Connell
1 – 3
72′ C. Lavery
1 – 4
76′ K. Freeman
J. McGlashan 88′
2 – 4
Charlton Athletic
4 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
12′ J. Easter
J. Magennis 41′
1 – 1
J. Magennis 50′
2 – 1
Jorge Teixeira 61′
3 – 1
J. Magennis 73′
4 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
9′ D. Cole
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ A. O’Brien
L. Taylor 12′
1 – 1
1 – 2
40′ S. Morison
T. Elliott 51′
2 – 2
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
19′ J. Willis
M. Bostwick 90′
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
18′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
76′ J. McGlashan
Millwall
0 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
17′ L. Dodds
Oxford United
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ C. Burgess
R. Hall 54′
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
12′ C. Bolger
D. Poleon 47′
1 – 1
D. Parrett (PG) 75′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ C. McLaughlin
Chesterfield
3 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
3′ P. Hartley
I. Evatt 28′
1 – 1
J. O’Shea 37′
2 – 1
J. O’Shea 50′
3 – 1
3 – 2
76′ B. Bodin
Walsall
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
2′ C. McDonald
J. McCarthy 9′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ M. Ehmer
Bury
1 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
9′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
12′ S. Cox
J. Vaughan (PG) 20′
1 – 2
1 – 3
61′ N. Ranger
1 – 4
76′ S. McLaughlin
Bristol Rovers
2 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
4′ A. Hunter
M. Taylor 61′
1 – 1
C. Montaño 73′
2 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Bradford City
0 – 1
3′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
T. Elliott 18′
1 – 1
L. Taylor (PG) 68′
2 – 1
2 – 2
78′ J. Hanson (PG)
2 – 3
90′ J. Hanson
Bury
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
13′ Z. Clough (PG)
0 – 2
56′ Z. Clough (PG)
Bradford City
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
18′ B. Sharp
B. Clarke 35′
1 – 1
1 – 2
51′ B. Sharp
J. Hiwula-Mayifuila 60′
2 – 2
T. Dieng 68′
3 – 2
3 – 3
72′ C. Basham
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ S. Cox
0 – 2
24′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
90′ A. Wordsworth
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
10′ T. Elliott
Port Vale
2 – 2
Oxford United
0 – 1
11′ C. Dunkley
0 – 2
19′ D. Crowley
R. Cicilia 54′
1 – 2
R. Taylor (PG) 59′
2 – 2
Swindon Town
0 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ E. Oztumer
0 – 2
51′ E. Oztumer
Millwall
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ Sammy Ameobi
0 – 2
86′ D. Wheater
Oxford United
1 – 3
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
20′ T. Elliott
0 – 2
42′ D. Charles
0 – 3
45′ A. Barcham
D. Charles (OG) 49′
1 – 3
Peterborough U…
3 – 1
Bury
0 – 1
2′ H. White (OG)
C. Forrester 38′
1 – 1
M. Maddison 48′
2 – 1
A. Kay (OG) 52′
3 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
1 – 1
Swindon Town
0 – 1
9′ J. Goddard
I. Toney 44′
1 – 1
Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 3
Bury
0 – 1
8′ J. Vaughan
B. Reeves 63′
1 – 1
1 – 2
68′ J. Vaughan
1 – 3
90′ Z. Ismail
Swindon Town
1 – 3
Northampton Town
0 – 1
7′ H. Beautyman
S. Murray 67′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ J. O’Toole
1 – 3
82′ K. Gorré
Walsall
1 – 4
S****horpe United
0 – 1
11′ J. Morris (PG)
0 – 2
13′ J. Morris
E. Oztumer 45′
1 – 2
1 – 3
47′ N. Bishop
1 – 4
82′ J. Morris
Fleetwood Town
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
9′ R. Colclough
0 – 2
61′ D. Bowditch (PG)
0 – 3
68′ R. Colclough
B. Grant 70′
1 – 3
1 – 4
90′ R. Colclough (PG)
Millwall
2 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
9′ C. Camps
A. O’Brien 11′
1 – 1
L. Gregory (PG) 18′
2 – 1
2 – 2
67′ C. Andrew
2 – 3
90′ I. Henderson (PG)
Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Swindon Town
0 – 1
18′ J. Obika
0 – 2
55′ B. Ormonde-Ottewill
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ S. Jackson
M. Maddison 27′
1 – 1
Swindon Town
1 – 2
Bury
0 – 1
13′ H. Hope
0 – 2
45′ H. Hope
J. Obika 64′
1 – 2
Bristol Rovers
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
16′ E. Oztumer
M. Taylor (PG) 27′
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
20′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
26′ B. Sharp
D. Poleon 37′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ M. Done
T. Elliott 72′
2 – 3
Bristol Rovers
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ C. Camps
M. Taylor 21′
1 – 1
1 – 2
22′ I. Henderson
M. Taylor 49′
2 – 2
Peterborough U…
2 – 2
Port Vale
0 – 1
6′ A. Jones
G. Moncur 8′
1 – 1
G. Moncur 84′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ A. Jones (PG)
Bolton Wanderers
1 – 1
Southend United
0 – 1
3′ H. Kyprianou
K. Anderson 48′
1 – 1
Bradford City
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
5′ P. Clarke
B. Clarke (PG) 57′
1 – 1
Chesterfield
1 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
13′ S. Ferguson
0 – 2
38′ S. Morison
0 – 3
41′ S. Morison
S. Hird 65′
1 – 3
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 2
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
2′ A. Hughes
0 – 2
71′ M. Bostwick
Rochdale
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
12′ A. Barcham
J. Allen 90′
1 – 1
Sheffield United
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
16′ K. Hemmings
B. Sharp 65′
1 – 1
J. Wilson 73′
2 – 1
Southend United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
18′ C. Long
0 – 2
77′ A. Hunter
Bradford City
3 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
13′ D. Agyei
A. McMahon (PG) 67′
1 – 1
M. Marshall 69′
2 – 1
A. McMahon (PG) 75′
3 – 1
Bury
0 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ L. Barnett (OG)
Shrewsbury Town
2 – 1
Chesterfield
0 – 1
14′ J. O’Shea
J. Brown 24′
1 – 1
Adam El-Abd 84′
2 – 1
Bristol Rovers
1 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
6′ J. Vela
0 – 2
26′ J. Spearing
E. Harrison 57′
1 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
12′ J. Cullen
0 – 2
17′ B. Clarke
E. Upson 90′
1 – 2
Sheffield United
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
5′ J. O’Connell (OG)
0 – 2
13′ S. McLaughlin
0 – 3
15′ S. Cox
Charlton Athletic
1 – 1
Northampton Town
0 – 1
16′ A. Revell
J. Jackson 57′
1 – 1
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
11′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
Both teams scored in 72% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 56%
46% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
GAME PATHWAY
11/98 0-1 FT
47/98 > 1-1 16-13-18 <> away teams won 38%
40/98 > 0-2 4-5-31 <> away teams won 78%
20-18-60 > away teams won 61%
This season in league 1 in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band ;
66% ended over 2.5 goals and 46% ended over 3.5 goals
Both teams scored in 71% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 55%
33% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
GAME PATHWAY
7/93 0-1 FT
45/93 > 1-1 14-23-8 > away teams won 18%
41/93 > 0-2 2-3-36 > away teams won 88%
16-26-51 < away teams won 55%
Last 191 games in League 1 where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band
GAME PATHWAY
18/191 0-1 FT
92/191 > 1-1 30-36-26 > away teams won 28%
81/191 > 0-2 6-8-67 > away teams won 83%
36-44-111 away teams won 58% > 1/0.58 = 8/11
Bristol Rovers
3 – 4
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ L. Gregory
0 – 2
25′ T. Craig
J. Easter 33′
1 – 2
1 – 3
35′ L. Gregory
C. Lines 42′
2 – 3
B. Bodin 74′
3 – 3
3 – 4
85′ S. Hutchinson
Rochdale
1 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
9′ A. Jones
M. Lund 66′
1 – 1
Walsall
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
11′ R. Muirhead
0 – 2
32′ B. Reeves
0 – 3
71′ S. O’Keefe
E. Oztumer 84′
1 – 3
1 – 4
85′ H. Barnes
Oldham Athletic
1 – 1
Rochdale
0 – 1
13′ C. Camps
P. Clarke 67′
1 – 1
Swindon Town
1 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
0 – 2
71′ S. Mantom
R. Ince 85′
1 – 2
Millwall
0 – 3
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ C. McAleny
0 – 2
9′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
71′ J. Ruffles
Chesterfield
0 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
15′ S. Cox (PG)
0 – 2
57′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
67′ S. Cox
0 – 4
71′ M. Fortuné
Port Vale
0 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
2′ J. O’Shea
0 – 2
30′ L. Clarke
0 – 3
90′ M. Done
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
1′ B. Moore
Oxford United
1 – 3
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
6′ B. Grant (PG)
C. Nelson 8′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ A. Eastham
1 – 3
87′ D. Ball
Charlton Athletic
0 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
7′ S. O’Keefe
0 – 2
57′ H. Barnes
Chesterfield
1 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
16′ I. Henderson
0 – 2
40′ C. Camps
0 – 3
42′ J. Allen
K. Dennis 51′
1 – 3
Oxford United
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
4′ Filipe Morais
0 – 2
23′ M. Beevers
K. Hemmings 42′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ C. Dunkley (OG)
C. Maguire 75′
2 – 3
2 – 4
90′ J. Vela
Rochdale
3 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
14′ L. Gregory (PG)
0 – 2
25′ A. O’Brien
N. Mendez-Laing 33′
1 – 2
I. Henderson 44′
2 – 2
C. Camps 54′
3 – 2
3 – 3
77′ J. Wallace
Oxford United
2 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
12′ P. Madden
J. Lundstram 52′
1 – 1
P. Edwards 90′
2 – 1
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
11′ L. Erwin
J. Morias 73′
1 – 1
Sheffield United
2 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
3′ R. Holmes
J. O’Connell 14′
1 – 1
D. Lafferty 48′
2 – 1
Southend United
3 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
18′ F. Moussa
0 – 2
25′ F. Moussa
N. Ranger 63′
1 – 2
A. Ferdinand 76′
2 – 2
S. Cox 83′
3 – 2
Coventry City
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
23′ R. Leonard
Gillingham
0 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ D. Wheater
0 – 2
15′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 3
45′ M. Beevers
0 – 4
49′ J. Vela
Chesterfield
1 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
3′ T. Roberts
I. Evatt 42′
1 – 1
Fleetwood Town
2 – 4
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
17′ A. Le Fondre
0 – 2
20′ D. Wheater
K. Dempsey 22′
1 – 2
1 – 3
48′ M. Beevers
1 – 4
78′ A. Le Fondre
B. Grant 87′
2 – 4
Gillingham
3 – 2
S****horpe United
0 – 1
4′ P. Madden
0 – 2
73′ H. Toffolo
J. Wright (PG) 77′
1 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 82′
2 – 2
J. Wright (PG) 86′
3 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ S. Davies
K. Agard 70′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ N. Mendez-Laing
B. Reeves 90′
2 – 2
Bury
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ B. Dack
0 – 2
47′ C. McDonald
J. Vaughan 75′
1 – 2
Oxford United
0 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
16′ O. Clarke
0 – 2
36′ S. Sinclair
Rochdale
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
5′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
11′ D. Lafferty
S. Davies 20′
1 – 2
M. Lund 46′
2 – 2
2 – 3
68′ B. Sharp
N. Mendez-Laing 78′
3 – 3
Bradford City
2 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
4′ S. O’Keefe
A. McMahon (PG) 22′
1 – 1
1 – 2
35′ George Benjamin Williams
C. Wyke 43′
2 – 2
Swindon Town
3 – 1
Gillingham
0 – 1
10′ C. McDonald
R. Ince 56′
1 – 1
J. Obika 61′
2 – 1
Raphael Branco 75′
3 – 1
Chesterfield
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
17′ R. Hall
0 – 2
35′ C. McAleny
0 – 3
60′ C. McAleny
0 – 4
69′ C. McAleny
Gillingham
2 – 2
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
17′ L. Taylor
B. Dack 19′
1 – 1
J. Wright 36′
2 – 1
2 – 2
69′ A. Barcham
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
12′ C. McAleny
AFC Wimbledon
1 – 1
Charlton Athletic
0 – 1
8′ R. Holmes
T. Elliott 90′
1 – 1
Bolton Wanderers
4 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
4′ E. Oztumer
G. Madine 15′
1 – 1
J. O’Connor (OG) 26′
2 – 1
L. Trotter 30′
3 – 1
C. Long 87′
4 – 1
Bradford City
2 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
14′ J. Wright
C. Wyke 15′
1 – 1
A. McMahon 38′
2 – 1
2 – 2
49′ A. Oshilaja
Port Vale
0 – 3
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
20′ M. Maddison
0 – 2
90′ J. Morias
0 – 3
90′ J. Morias
Southend United
3 – 1
S****horpe United
0 – 1
5′ M. Wallace
M. Fortuné 39′
1 – 1
S. Cox 76′
2 – 1
R. Leonard 81′
3 – 1
Oldham Athletic
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
14′ R. Vincelot
B. Wilson 44′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ R. McArdle
Sheffield United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
20′ C. McLaughlin
0 – 2
66′ D. Cole
Rochdale
0 – 4
Oxford United
0 – 1
18′ M. Johnson
0 – 2
29′ R. Hall
0 – 3
53′ R. Taylor
0 – 4
73′ R. Ledson
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
6′ R. Hall
D. Parrett 12′
1 – 1
S. Kelly 28′
2 – 1
Bury
5 – 1
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
4′ T. Nichols
J. Vaughan 7′
1 – 1
J. Vaughan 16′
2 – 1
J. Vaughan 24′
3 – 1
J. Vaughan 27′
4 – 1
G. Miller 71′
5 – 1
Southend United
2 – 4
Sheffield United
0 – 1
3′ E. Ebanks-Landell
S. Cox 19′
1 – 1
1 – 2
42′ J. O’Connell
1 – 3
72′ C. Lavery
1 – 4
76′ K. Freeman
J. McGlashan 88′
2 – 4
Charlton Athletic
4 – 1
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
12′ J. Easter
J. Magennis 41′
1 – 1
J. Magennis 50′
2 – 1
Jorge Teixeira 61′
3 – 1
J. Magennis 73′
4 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
9′ D. Cole
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Millwall
0 – 1
5′ A. O’Brien
L. Taylor 12′
1 – 1
1 – 2
40′ S. Morison
T. Elliott 51′
2 – 2
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
19′ J. Willis
M. Bostwick 90′
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Southend United
0 – 1
18′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
76′ J. McGlashan
Millwall
0 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
0 – 1
17′ L. Dodds
Oxford United
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ C. Burgess
R. Hall 54′
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
12′ C. Bolger
D. Poleon 47′
1 – 1
D. Parrett (PG) 75′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ C. McLaughlin
Chesterfield
3 – 2
Bristol Rovers
0 – 1
3′ P. Hartley
I. Evatt 28′
1 – 1
J. O’Shea 37′
2 – 1
J. O’Shea 50′
3 – 1
3 – 2
76′ B. Bodin
Walsall
1 – 2
Gillingham
0 – 1
2′ C. McDonald
J. McCarthy 9′
1 – 1
1 – 2
84′ M. Ehmer
Bury
1 – 4
Southend United
0 – 1
9′ N. Ranger
0 – 2
12′ S. Cox
J. Vaughan (PG) 20′
1 – 2
1 – 3
61′ N. Ranger
1 – 4
76′ S. McLaughlin
Bristol Rovers
2 – 1
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
4′ A. Hunter
M. Taylor 61′
1 – 1
C. Montaño 73′
2 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Bradford City
0 – 1
3′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
T. Elliott 18′
1 – 1
L. Taylor (PG) 68′
2 – 1
2 – 2
78′ J. Hanson (PG)
2 – 3
90′ J. Hanson
Bury
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
13′ Z. Clough (PG)
0 – 2
56′ Z. Clough (PG)
Bradford City
3 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
18′ B. Sharp
B. Clarke 35′
1 – 1
1 – 2
51′ B. Sharp
J. Hiwula-Mayifuila 60′
2 – 2
T. Dieng 68′
3 – 2
3 – 3
72′ C. Basham
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
2′ S. Cox
0 – 2
24′ A. Wordsworth
0 – 3
90′ A. Wordsworth
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
10′ T. Elliott
Port Vale
2 – 2
Oxford United
0 – 1
11′ C. Dunkley
0 – 2
19′ D. Crowley
R. Cicilia 54′
1 – 2
R. Taylor (PG) 59′
2 – 2
Swindon Town
0 – 2
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ E. Oztumer
0 – 2
51′ E. Oztumer
Millwall
0 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
3′ Sammy Ameobi
0 – 2
86′ D. Wheater
Oxford United
1 – 3
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
20′ T. Elliott
0 – 2
42′ D. Charles
0 – 3
45′ A. Barcham
D. Charles (OG) 49′
1 – 3
Peterborough U…
3 – 1
Bury
0 – 1
2′ H. White (OG)
C. Forrester 38′
1 – 1
M. Maddison 48′
2 – 1
A. Kay (OG) 52′
3 – 1
Shrewsbury Town
1 – 1
Swindon Town
0 – 1
9′ J. Goddard
I. Toney 44′
1 – 1
Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 3
Bury
0 – 1
8′ J. Vaughan
B. Reeves 63′
1 – 1
1 – 2
68′ J. Vaughan
1 – 3
90′ Z. Ismail
Swindon Town
1 – 3
Northampton Town
0 – 1
7′ H. Beautyman
S. Murray 67′
1 – 1
1 – 2
76′ J. O’Toole
1 – 3
82′ K. Gorré
Walsall
1 – 4
S****horpe United
0 – 1
11′ J. Morris (PG)
0 – 2
13′ J. Morris
E. Oztumer 45′
1 – 2
1 – 3
47′ N. Bishop
1 – 4
82′ J. Morris
Fleetwood Town
1 – 4
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 1
9′ R. Colclough
0 – 2
61′ D. Bowditch (PG)
0 – 3
68′ R. Colclough
B. Grant 70′
1 – 3
1 – 4
90′ R. Colclough (PG)
Millwall
2 – 3
Rochdale
0 – 1
9′ C. Camps
A. O’Brien 11′
1 – 1
L. Gregory (PG) 18′
2 – 1
2 – 2
67′ C. Andrew
2 – 3
90′ I. Henderson (PG)
Oldham Athletic
0 – 2
Swindon Town
0 – 1
18′ J. Obika
0 – 2
55′ B. Ormonde-Ottewill
Peterborough U…
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
17′ S. Jackson
M. Maddison 27′
1 – 1
Swindon Town
1 – 2
Bury
0 – 1
13′ H. Hope
0 – 2
45′ H. Hope
J. Obika 64′
1 – 2
Bristol Rovers
1 – 1
Walsall
0 – 1
16′ E. Oztumer
M. Taylor (PG) 27′
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 3
Sheffield United
0 – 1
20′ M. Duffy
0 – 2
26′ B. Sharp
D. Poleon 37′
1 – 2
1 – 3
60′ M. Done
T. Elliott 72′
2 – 3
Bristol Rovers
2 – 2
Rochdale
0 – 1
17′ C. Camps
M. Taylor 21′
1 – 1
1 – 2
22′ I. Henderson
M. Taylor 49′
2 – 2
Peterborough U…
2 – 2
Port Vale
0 – 1
6′ A. Jones
G. Moncur 8′
1 – 1
G. Moncur 84′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ A. Jones (PG)
Bolton Wanderers
1 – 1
Southend United
0 – 1
3′ H. Kyprianou
K. Anderson 48′
1 – 1
Bradford City
1 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
5′ P. Clarke
B. Clarke (PG) 57′
1 – 1
Chesterfield
1 – 3
Millwall
0 – 1
13′ S. Ferguson
0 – 2
38′ S. Morison
0 – 3
41′ S. Morison
S. Hird 65′
1 – 3
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 2
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
2′ A. Hughes
0 – 2
71′ M. Bostwick
Rochdale
1 – 1
AFC Wimbledon
0 – 1
12′ A. Barcham
J. Allen 90′
1 – 1
Sheffield United
2 – 1
Oxford United
0 – 1
16′ K. Hemmings
B. Sharp 65′
1 – 1
J. Wilson 73′
2 – 1
Southend United
0 – 2
Fleetwood Town
0 – 1
18′ C. Long
0 – 2
77′ A. Hunter
Bradford City
3 – 1
Coventry City
0 – 1
13′ D. Agyei
A. McMahon (PG) 67′
1 – 1
M. Marshall 69′
2 – 1
A. McMahon (PG) 75′
3 – 1
Bury
0 – 1
Oldham Athletic
0 – 1
10′ L. Barnett (OG)
Shrewsbury Town
2 – 1
Chesterfield
0 – 1
14′ J. O’Shea
J. Brown 24′
1 – 1
Adam El-Abd 84′
2 – 1
Bristol Rovers
1 – 2
Bolton Wanderers
0 – 1
6′ J. Vela
0 – 2
26′ J. Spearing
E. Harrison 57′
1 – 2
Milton Keynes Dons
1 – 2
Bradford City
0 – 1
12′ J. Cullen
0 – 2
17′ B. Clarke
E. Upson 90′
1 – 2
Sheffield United
0 – 3
Southend United
0 – 1
5′ J. O’Connell (OG)
0 – 2
13′ S. McLaughlin
0 – 3
15′ S. Cox
Charlton Athletic
1 – 1
Northampton Town
0 – 1
16′ A. Revell
J. Jackson 57′
1 – 1
Peterborough U…
0 – 1
Bradford City
0 – 1
11′ J. Hiwula-Mayifuila
In the Championship last season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band , 70% ended over 2.5 goals and 38% ended over 3.5 goals
The home teams won 68%, 20% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 12% < lowered expectation of the away teams fighting back .
Both teams scored in 68% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 64%
44% produced a goal 80 +
GAME PATHWAY
FT 1-0 > 6/50 12%
> 2-0 22/50 <> 20-2-0 <> home teams won 91%
> 1-1 > 22/50 <> 8-8-6 <> home teams won 36%
34-10-6
In the Championship this season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band ,
81.5% ended over 2.5 goals and 52% ended over 3.5 goals
Both teams scored in 74% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 63%
43% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
39-10-5 > the home teams won 72%
GAME PATHWAY
5/54 1-0 FT
21/54 > 2-0 18-2-1 > home teams won 86%
28/54 > 1-1 16-8-4 > home teams won 57%
last 104 games in the Championship where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band
73-20-11 > home teams won 70%
GAME PATHWAY
11/104 1-0 FT
43/104 > 2-0 38-4-1 > home teams won 88%
50/104 > 1-1 24-16-10 > home teams won 48%
Wolverhampton …
1 – 0
Preston North End
D. Batth 1′
1 – 0
Sheffield Wedn…
1 – 2
Fulham
S. Winnall 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
25′ N. Kebano
1 – 2
79′ N. Kebano
Wigan Athletic
1 – 1
Leeds United
R. Tunnicliffe 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
50′ C. Wood (PG)
Fulham
1 – 1
Brentford
T. Cairney 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ N. Yennaris
Reading
1 – 0
Wigan Athletic
Y. Kermorgant 6′
1 – 0
Newcastle United
4 – 1
Preston North End
Ayoze Pérez 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
14′ J. Hugill
C. Atsu 45′
2 – 1
M. Ritchie (PG) 65′
3 – 1
Ayoze Pérez 67′
4 – 1
Norwich City
7 – 1
Reading
Nélson Oliveira (PG) 3′
1 – 0
W. Hoolahan 15′
2 – 0
A. Pritchard 26′
3 – 0
R. Martin 31′
4 – 0
A. Pritchard 35′
5 – 0
5 – 1
39′ Y. Kermorgant
W. Hoolahan 41′
6 – 1
C. Jerome 89′
7 – 1
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Queens Park Ra…
J. Kodjia 5′
1 – 0
Brighton & Hov…
3 – 1
Birmingham City
G. Murray 2′
1 – 0
T. Hemed 48′
2 – 0
U. Hünemeier 54′
3 – 0
3 – 1
85′ Che Adams
Derby County
4 – 2
Fulham
D. Nugent 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
35′ F. Ayité
D. Nugent 42′
2 – 1
D. Nugent 59′
3 – 1
J. Russell 67′
4 – 1
4 – 2
79′ F. Ayité
Wolverhampton …
3 – 1
Cardiff City
D. Batth 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
12′ K. Zohorè
D. Batth 41′
2 – 1
Hélder Costa 82′
3 – 1
Queens Park Ra…
5 – 1
Rotherham United
M. Smith 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
13′ J. Newell
L. Freeman 15′
2 – 1
Y. N’Gbakoto (PG) 49′
3 – 1
M. Luongo 57′
4 – 1
N. Onuoha 90′
5 – 1
Nottingham Forest
2 – 2
Derby County
Z. Clough 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ M. Vydra
1 – 2
53′ D. Nugent
Dani Pinillos 90′
2 – 2
Brighton & Hov…
3 – 0
Derby County
A. Knockaert 5′
1 – 0
S. Baldock 43′
2 – 0
G. Murray 78′
3 – 0
Queens Park Ra…
2 – 1
Barnsley
Idrissa Sylla 7′
1 – 0
A. MacDonald (OG) 66′
2 – 0
2 – 1
79′ T. Bradshaw
Queens Park Ra…
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
M. Smith 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
17′ O. Bogle (PG)
C. Washington 60′
2 – 1
Ipswich Town
1 – 1
Leeds United
F. Sears 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
42′ S. Dallas
Derby County
3 – 4
Cardiff City
J. De Sart 7′
1 – 0
D. Bent 17′
2 – 0
2 – 1
41′ K. Harris
2 – 2
47′ K. Harris
2 – 3
57′ C. Noone
D. Bent 74′
3 – 3
3 – 4
90′ J. Ralls (PG)
Preston North End
2 – 1
Birmingham City
C. Robinson 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ Che Adams
J. Hugill 78′
2 – 1
Norwich City
5 – 1
Nottingham Forest
J. Howson 10′
1 – 0
Josh Murphy 16′
2 – 0
W. Hoolahan 18′
3 – 0
A. Pritchard 61′
4 – 0
4 – 1
75′ R. McCormack
A. Pritchard 89′
5 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
3 – 0
Birmingham City
J. Rhodes 9′
1 – 0
S. Winnall 80′
2 – 0
A. Reach 86′
3 – 0
Huddersfield Town
3 – 1
Brighton & Hov…
T. Smith 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
20′ T. Hemed
N. Wells 36′
2 – 1
E. Kachunga 45′
3 – 1
Newcastle United
2 – 2
Queens Park Ra…
J. Shelvey 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
44′ C. Washington
M. Ritchie 54′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ C. Clark (OG)
Rotherham United
2 – 1
Norwich City
J. Yates 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
51′ C. Jerome
T. Adeyemi 55′
2 – 1
Newcastle United
3 – 1
Nottingham Forest
M. Ritchie 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
29′ N. Dumitru
D. Gayle 63′
2 – 1
D. Gayle 80′
3 – 1
Rotherham United
3 – 2
Wigan Athletic
A. Belaïd 8′
1 – 0
R. Wood 32′
2 – 0
D. Burn (OG) 45′
3 – 0
3 – 1
51′ Y. Wildschut
3 – 2
79′ Jordi Gómez
Wolverhampton …
3 – 2
Bristol City
D. Edwards 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
38′ T. Abraham
1 – 2
44′ A. Flint
Hélder Costa 57′
2 – 2
Ivan Cavaleiro (PG) 84′
3 – 2
Cardiff City
3 – 4
Barnsley
S. Morrison 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
19′ S. Winnall
1 – 2
32′ S. Winnall
1 – 3
43′ J. Scowen
P. Whittingham 79′
2 – 3
A. Pilkington 89′
3 – 3
3 – 4
90′ R. Williams
Huddersfield Town
2 – 1
Bristol City
E. Kachunga 10′
1 – 0
1 – 1
33′ T. Abraham
N. Wells 58′
2 – 1
Norwich City
5 – 0
Brentford
Jacob Murphy 6′
1 – 0
G. Dorrans 16′
2 – 0
R. Brady 59′
3 – 0
Nélson Oliveira 79′
4 – 0
A. Pritchard 88′
5 – 0
Sheffield Wedn…
2 – 1
Preston North End
F. Forestieri 9′
1 – 0
S. Fletcher (PG) 79′
2 – 0
2 – 1
82′ E. Doyle
Barnsley
2 – 5
Nottingham Forest
S. Winnall 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
13′ H. Lansbury
M. Watkins 14′
2 – 1
2 – 2
24′ A. Vellios
2 – 3
45′ H. Lansbury
2 – 4
63′ B. Osborn
2 – 5
82′ H. Lansbury (PG)
Newcastle United
2 – 1
Cardiff City
C. Atsu 3′
1 – 0
Y. Gouffran 45′
2 – 0
2 – 1
77′ P. Whittingham
Brighton & Hov…
5 – 0
Norwich City
G. Murray 6′
1 – 0
G. Murray 60′
2 – 0
L. Dunk 64′
3 – 0
G. Murray 73′
4 – 0
A. Knockaert 84′
5 – 0
Fulham
5 – 0
Huddersfield Town
C. Martin 8′
1 – 0
T. Kalas 34′
2 – 0
Lucas Piazon 42′
3 – 0
C. Martin (PG) 63′
4 – 0
K. McDonald 66′
5 – 0
Ipswich Town
2 – 2
Rotherham United
F. Sears 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
7′ D. Ward
1 – 2
48′ D. Ward
D. McGoldrick 90′
2 – 2
Reading
2 – 0
Nottingham Forest
G. McCleary 10′
1 – 0
C. Gunter 62′
2 – 0
Newcastle United
3 – 0
Ipswich Town
Ayoze Pérez 1′
1 – 0
Ayoze Pérez 73′
2 – 0
M. Ritchie 78′
3 – 0
Cardiff City
1 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
P. Whittingham 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
55′ D. Pudil
Preston North End
3 – 1
Huddersfield Town
T. Clarke 6′
1 – 0
A. Baptiste 42′
2 – 0
P. Gallagher 53′
3 – 0
3 – 1
81′ N. Wells
Barnsley
2 – 4
Fulham
M. Watkins 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
37′ Lucas Piazon
S. Winnall 41′
2 – 1
2 – 2
42′ S. Aluko
2 – 3
46′ S. Malone
2 – 4
65′ C. Martin
Preston North End
2 – 0
Aston Villa
B. Pearson 5′
1 – 0
J. Hugill 39′
2 – 0
Huddersfield Town
2 – 1
Rotherham United
E. Kachunga 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ D. Ward
N. Wells 38′
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
2 – 1
Wolverhampton …
A. Le Fondre 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ P. Oniangué
W. Grigg 88′
2 – 1
Preston North End
1 – 0
Wigan Athletic
J. Hugill 7′
1 – 0
Norwich City
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
Jacob Murphy 3′
1 – 0
Jacob Murphy 11′
2 – 0
2 – 1
72′ Jordi Gómez
Rotherham United
2 – 2
Bristol City
I. Brown 6′
1 – 0
A. Flint (OG) 58′
2 – 0
2 – 1
74′ T. Abraham
2 – 2
83′ B. Reid
Huddersfield Town
1 – 0
Wolverhampton …
R. van La Parra 6′
1 – 0
Nottingham Forest
4 – 3
Wigan Athletic
B. Assombalonga 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
11′ M. Jacobs
O. Burke 53′
2 – 1
2 – 2
65′ W. Grigg
O. Burke 78′
3 – 2
3 – 3
86′ W. Grigg
Reading
2 – 2
Brighton & Hov…
J. Swift 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
8′ S. Baldock
1 – 2
46′ A. Knockaert
P. McShane 59′
2 – 2
Barnsley
3 – 2
Queens Park Ra…
M. Watkins 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ T. Chery (PG)
1 – 2
74′ S. Polter (PG)
C. Hourihane 77′
2 – 2
J. Scowen 89′
3 – 2
Burton Albion
3 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
K. McFadzean 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
12′ G. Hooper (PG)
J. Irvine 45′
2 – 1
L. Dyer 77′
3 – 1
Queens Park Ra…
3 – 0
Leeds United
N. Onuoha 4′
1 – 0
T. Chery (PG) 73′
2 – 0
S. Polter 90′
3 – 0
Rotherham United
2 – 2
Wolverhampton …
D. Ward 9′
1 – 0
W. Vaulks 20′
2 – 0
2 – 1
39′ G. Saville
2 – 2
65′ J. Böðvarsson
The home teams won 68%, 20% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 12% < lowered expectation of the away teams fighting back .
Both teams scored in 68% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 64%
44% produced a goal 80 +
GAME PATHWAY
FT 1-0 > 6/50 12%
> 2-0 22/50 <> 20-2-0 <> home teams won 91%
> 1-1 > 22/50 <> 8-8-6 <> home teams won 36%
34-10-6
In the Championship this season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band ,
81.5% ended over 2.5 goals and 52% ended over 3.5 goals
Both teams scored in 74% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 63%
43% produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes
39-10-5 > the home teams won 72%
GAME PATHWAY
5/54 1-0 FT
21/54 > 2-0 18-2-1 > home teams won 86%
28/54 > 1-1 16-8-4 > home teams won 57%
last 104 games in the Championship where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band
73-20-11 > home teams won 70%
GAME PATHWAY
11/104 1-0 FT
43/104 > 2-0 38-4-1 > home teams won 88%
50/104 > 1-1 24-16-10 > home teams won 48%
Wolverhampton …
1 – 0
Preston North End
D. Batth 1′
1 – 0
Sheffield Wedn…
1 – 2
Fulham
S. Winnall 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
25′ N. Kebano
1 – 2
79′ N. Kebano
Wigan Athletic
1 – 1
Leeds United
R. Tunnicliffe 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
50′ C. Wood (PG)
Fulham
1 – 1
Brentford
T. Cairney 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ N. Yennaris
Reading
1 – 0
Wigan Athletic
Y. Kermorgant 6′
1 – 0
Newcastle United
4 – 1
Preston North End
Ayoze Pérez 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
14′ J. Hugill
C. Atsu 45′
2 – 1
M. Ritchie (PG) 65′
3 – 1
Ayoze Pérez 67′
4 – 1
Norwich City
7 – 1
Reading
Nélson Oliveira (PG) 3′
1 – 0
W. Hoolahan 15′
2 – 0
A. Pritchard 26′
3 – 0
R. Martin 31′
4 – 0
A. Pritchard 35′
5 – 0
5 – 1
39′ Y. Kermorgant
W. Hoolahan 41′
6 – 1
C. Jerome 89′
7 – 1
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Queens Park Ra…
J. Kodjia 5′
1 – 0
Brighton & Hov…
3 – 1
Birmingham City
G. Murray 2′
1 – 0
T. Hemed 48′
2 – 0
U. Hünemeier 54′
3 – 0
3 – 1
85′ Che Adams
Derby County
4 – 2
Fulham
D. Nugent 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
35′ F. Ayité
D. Nugent 42′
2 – 1
D. Nugent 59′
3 – 1
J. Russell 67′
4 – 1
4 – 2
79′ F. Ayité
Wolverhampton …
3 – 1
Cardiff City
D. Batth 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
12′ K. Zohorè
D. Batth 41′
2 – 1
Hélder Costa 82′
3 – 1
Queens Park Ra…
5 – 1
Rotherham United
M. Smith 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
13′ J. Newell
L. Freeman 15′
2 – 1
Y. N’Gbakoto (PG) 49′
3 – 1
M. Luongo 57′
4 – 1
N. Onuoha 90′
5 – 1
Nottingham Forest
2 – 2
Derby County
Z. Clough 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ M. Vydra
1 – 2
53′ D. Nugent
Dani Pinillos 90′
2 – 2
Brighton & Hov…
3 – 0
Derby County
A. Knockaert 5′
1 – 0
S. Baldock 43′
2 – 0
G. Murray 78′
3 – 0
Queens Park Ra…
2 – 1
Barnsley
Idrissa Sylla 7′
1 – 0
A. MacDonald (OG) 66′
2 – 0
2 – 1
79′ T. Bradshaw
Queens Park Ra…
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
M. Smith 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
17′ O. Bogle (PG)
C. Washington 60′
2 – 1
Ipswich Town
1 – 1
Leeds United
F. Sears 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
42′ S. Dallas
Derby County
3 – 4
Cardiff City
J. De Sart 7′
1 – 0
D. Bent 17′
2 – 0
2 – 1
41′ K. Harris
2 – 2
47′ K. Harris
2 – 3
57′ C. Noone
D. Bent 74′
3 – 3
3 – 4
90′ J. Ralls (PG)
Preston North End
2 – 1
Birmingham City
C. Robinson 8′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ Che Adams
J. Hugill 78′
2 – 1
Norwich City
5 – 1
Nottingham Forest
J. Howson 10′
1 – 0
Josh Murphy 16′
2 – 0
W. Hoolahan 18′
3 – 0
A. Pritchard 61′
4 – 0
4 – 1
75′ R. McCormack
A. Pritchard 89′
5 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
3 – 0
Birmingham City
J. Rhodes 9′
1 – 0
S. Winnall 80′
2 – 0
A. Reach 86′
3 – 0
Huddersfield Town
3 – 1
Brighton & Hov…
T. Smith 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
20′ T. Hemed
N. Wells 36′
2 – 1
E. Kachunga 45′
3 – 1
Newcastle United
2 – 2
Queens Park Ra…
J. Shelvey 1′
1 – 0
1 – 1
44′ C. Washington
M. Ritchie 54′
2 – 1
2 – 2
90′ C. Clark (OG)
Rotherham United
2 – 1
Norwich City
J. Yates 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
51′ C. Jerome
T. Adeyemi 55′
2 – 1
Newcastle United
3 – 1
Nottingham Forest
M. Ritchie 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
29′ N. Dumitru
D. Gayle 63′
2 – 1
D. Gayle 80′
3 – 1
Rotherham United
3 – 2
Wigan Athletic
A. Belaïd 8′
1 – 0
R. Wood 32′
2 – 0
D. Burn (OG) 45′
3 – 0
3 – 1
51′ Y. Wildschut
3 – 2
79′ Jordi Gómez
Wolverhampton …
3 – 2
Bristol City
D. Edwards 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
38′ T. Abraham
1 – 2
44′ A. Flint
Hélder Costa 57′
2 – 2
Ivan Cavaleiro (PG) 84′
3 – 2
Cardiff City
3 – 4
Barnsley
S. Morrison 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
19′ S. Winnall
1 – 2
32′ S. Winnall
1 – 3
43′ J. Scowen
P. Whittingham 79′
2 – 3
A. Pilkington 89′
3 – 3
3 – 4
90′ R. Williams
Huddersfield Town
2 – 1
Bristol City
E. Kachunga 10′
1 – 0
1 – 1
33′ T. Abraham
N. Wells 58′
2 – 1
Norwich City
5 – 0
Brentford
Jacob Murphy 6′
1 – 0
G. Dorrans 16′
2 – 0
R. Brady 59′
3 – 0
Nélson Oliveira 79′
4 – 0
A. Pritchard 88′
5 – 0
Sheffield Wedn…
2 – 1
Preston North End
F. Forestieri 9′
1 – 0
S. Fletcher (PG) 79′
2 – 0
2 – 1
82′ E. Doyle
Barnsley
2 – 5
Nottingham Forest
S. Winnall 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
13′ H. Lansbury
M. Watkins 14′
2 – 1
2 – 2
24′ A. Vellios
2 – 3
45′ H. Lansbury
2 – 4
63′ B. Osborn
2 – 5
82′ H. Lansbury (PG)
Newcastle United
2 – 1
Cardiff City
C. Atsu 3′
1 – 0
Y. Gouffran 45′
2 – 0
2 – 1
77′ P. Whittingham
Brighton & Hov…
5 – 0
Norwich City
G. Murray 6′
1 – 0
G. Murray 60′
2 – 0
L. Dunk 64′
3 – 0
G. Murray 73′
4 – 0
A. Knockaert 84′
5 – 0
Fulham
5 – 0
Huddersfield Town
C. Martin 8′
1 – 0
T. Kalas 34′
2 – 0
Lucas Piazon 42′
3 – 0
C. Martin (PG) 63′
4 – 0
K. McDonald 66′
5 – 0
Ipswich Town
2 – 2
Rotherham United
F. Sears 3′
1 – 0
1 – 1
7′ D. Ward
1 – 2
48′ D. Ward
D. McGoldrick 90′
2 – 2
Reading
2 – 0
Nottingham Forest
G. McCleary 10′
1 – 0
C. Gunter 62′
2 – 0
Newcastle United
3 – 0
Ipswich Town
Ayoze Pérez 1′
1 – 0
Ayoze Pérez 73′
2 – 0
M. Ritchie 78′
3 – 0
Cardiff City
1 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
P. Whittingham 9′
1 – 0
1 – 1
55′ D. Pudil
Preston North End
3 – 1
Huddersfield Town
T. Clarke 6′
1 – 0
A. Baptiste 42′
2 – 0
P. Gallagher 53′
3 – 0
3 – 1
81′ N. Wells
Barnsley
2 – 4
Fulham
M. Watkins 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
37′ Lucas Piazon
S. Winnall 41′
2 – 1
2 – 2
42′ S. Aluko
2 – 3
46′ S. Malone
2 – 4
65′ C. Martin
Preston North End
2 – 0
Aston Villa
B. Pearson 5′
1 – 0
J. Hugill 39′
2 – 0
Huddersfield Town
2 – 1
Rotherham United
E. Kachunga 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ D. Ward
N. Wells 38′
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
2 – 1
Wolverhampton …
A. Le Fondre 5′
1 – 0
1 – 1
34′ P. Oniangué
W. Grigg 88′
2 – 1
Preston North End
1 – 0
Wigan Athletic
J. Hugill 7′
1 – 0
Norwich City
2 – 1
Wigan Athletic
Jacob Murphy 3′
1 – 0
Jacob Murphy 11′
2 – 0
2 – 1
72′ Jordi Gómez
Rotherham United
2 – 2
Bristol City
I. Brown 6′
1 – 0
A. Flint (OG) 58′
2 – 0
2 – 1
74′ T. Abraham
2 – 2
83′ B. Reid
Huddersfield Town
1 – 0
Wolverhampton …
R. van La Parra 6′
1 – 0
Nottingham Forest
4 – 3
Wigan Athletic
B. Assombalonga 6′
1 – 0
1 – 1
11′ M. Jacobs
O. Burke 53′
2 – 1
2 – 2
65′ W. Grigg
O. Burke 78′
3 – 2
3 – 3
86′ W. Grigg
Reading
2 – 2
Brighton & Hov…
J. Swift 2′
1 – 0
1 – 1
8′ S. Baldock
1 – 2
46′ A. Knockaert
P. McShane 59′
2 – 2
Barnsley
3 – 2
Queens Park Ra…
M. Watkins 4′
1 – 0
1 – 1
47′ T. Chery (PG)
1 – 2
74′ S. Polter (PG)
C. Hourihane 77′
2 – 2
J. Scowen 89′
3 – 2
Burton Albion
3 – 1
Sheffield Wedn…
K. McFadzean 7′
1 – 0
1 – 1
12′ G. Hooper (PG)
J. Irvine 45′
2 – 1
L. Dyer 77′
3 – 1
Queens Park Ra…
3 – 0
Leeds United
N. Onuoha 4′
1 – 0
T. Chery (PG) 73′
2 – 0
S. Polter 90′
3 – 0
Rotherham United
2 – 2
Wolverhampton …
D. Ward 9′
1 – 0
W. Vaulks 20′
2 – 0
2 – 1
39′ G. Saville
2 – 2
65′ J. Böðvarsson
key points > in this profile in the Championship
1. lowered expectation of the away team fighting back even though > 1-1 pathway is just as likely as > 2-0 pathway
2. expectation in general of acceleration of goal production
3.at 1-1 you have an excellent in play entry point in this profile in the Championship which would be backing the home team draw no bet at 1-1 with lowered expectation of the away team winning.
4. note the high BTTS YES % in this profile in the Championship
5. note the high % of goal(s) 80 + minutes > look to "net " the late goal(s)
6. in general a 2-0 lead is NOT PRECARIOUS
1. lowered expectation of the away team fighting back even though > 1-1 pathway is just as likely as > 2-0 pathway
2. expectation in general of acceleration of goal production
3.at 1-1 you have an excellent in play entry point in this profile in the Championship which would be backing the home team draw no bet at 1-1 with lowered expectation of the away team winning.
4. note the high BTTS YES % in this profile in the Championship
5. note the high % of goal(s) 80 + minutes > look to "net " the late goal(s)
6. in general a 2-0 lead is NOT PRECARIOUS