Champions league

[evertonian]

Peter Webb - How do you come up with your ratings ?

For Champions League games do you look at past games between teams from the same nation ?
Do you look at average goals scored / conceded in teams domestic leagues and weight them according to the team they're playing ?
Or do you do other things ?

Would be grateful for some information as to what you do ? I find league games are much easier to work out some kind of goal average than Champions league games, and as for Europa Cup games ! Well that's another story altogether !!

[Merry Terry]

I fancy backing overs in the spurs game and back unders in man u. Lots of action in one not much in the other.

[Bet Angel]

Peter Webb - How do you come up with your ratings ?

This helps: -

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_coefficients

There is some good research on cross europe teams and national teams. But on lower leagues and cups less so.

[Bet Angel]

A whole bundle of goals already this evening. Could turn out to be an interesting night.

[Bet Angel]

3-0 Inter Milan after 13 mins.

[Bet Angel]

After that third Inter goal the odds on Spurs shot out way too much, up to 700's, so I nipped in for some value. I've traded out and left the balance on spurs so I just hope them come back into this a little bit now!

[Bet Angel]

101020 - Inter v Spurs - Odds over react.png

[Bet Angel]

Spurs don't look in this, they need to get to half time and have a chat with Harry.

[Bet Angel]

4-0

[Bet Angel]

4-1, After five minutes of the second half. Too much for Spurs to do but it could be interesting if a second goes in.

[LeTiss]

Great goal by Bale, but I think a Spurs comeback is as likely as Elvis in Vegas

[Bet Angel]

I fancy some money against Man U in the final moments. Only 1-0 and a mistake could be on if they keep pushing for this second goal.

[Bet Angel]

What a bloody fantastic finish 4-3, hat trick for bale!

[Bet Angel]

Most goals to least

FC Copenhagen vs Barcelona - Market forecast : 2.88
Valencia vs Rangers - Market forecast : 2.75
Tottenham vs Inter - Market forecast : 2.72
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Schalke - Market forecast : 2.71
Benfica vs Lyon - Market forecast : 2.49
Bursaspor vs Man Utd - Market forecast : 2.43
Rubin Kazan vs Panathinaikos - Market forecast : 2.35

[Bet Angel]

At half time Valencia v Rangers looks value in the over 2.5 goal market. Not watching the match so can't confirm that totally, but the stats speak out. I'm also involved in the Man U and Spurs match which I can see!