US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Naffman wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 9:10 am
BF still suspended 24 hours later, bets still stand if one/everyone dies but suspended over this.

C'mon maaaan!
They should suspend all markets when a trader dies. ;)

I'm just wondering if the exchange would be a better place if they stopped managing all markets or putting them in-play and made it a free for all. Not ideal, but traders can manage their own bets better than Betfair can manage markets and put them in-play, and also have complete control over their bets.
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gazuty
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Derek27 wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 9:11 am
... not take the virus seriously, catch it, recover and continue to claim it's just the flu.
Well we need the data. Edit. Found this https://newseu.cgtn.com/news/2020-09-26 ... index.html

It certainly looks like it’s quite problematic for the 80+ with comorbidities of smoking, type 2 diabetes, heart disease or compromised immunity.

Below 80 looks a very different proposition.

The news and analysis on virulence, morbidity by age etc seems to have dropped away? We are in hyper vigilance mode as if this is SARS-cov1 which is reasonably lethal or Ebola which is 90% lethal.

Last data I saw showed it’s about three times as lethal as the flu. But that was months ago. Surely there is way more data now? Overall mortality in Australia is down (coz we are restricting activity).

And why can’t we develop much better responses now, prioritising the elderly and those with high risk conditions. As one public servant in Australia (who resigned over the incompetence of the government response said) “we are waving around a hammer at a swarm of flies”.
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Derek27
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gazuty wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:14 pm
We are in hyper vigilance mode as if this is SARS-cov1 which is reasonably lethal or Ebola which is 90% lethal.
Covid is far more dangerous than Ebola (they're the words of a scientist) because of the ease of transmission. Ebola had a much higher mortality rate but didn't spread so easily, I don't think it was an airborne virus.
Archery1969
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Derek27 wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:35 pm
gazuty wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:14 pm
We are in hyper vigilance mode as if this is SARS-cov1 which is reasonably lethal or Ebola which is 90% lethal.
Covid is far more dangerous than Ebola (they're the words of a scientist) because of the ease of transmission. Ebola had a much higher mortality rate but didn't spread so easily, I don't think it was an airborne virus.
Ebola ? Isn’t one of the symptoms that you basically bleed out of all your holes and eyes. That must be pretty painful. Think I would rather have COVID-19.
greenmark
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My understanding of Ebola is that you are not infectious until you are symptomatic. Thats a massive advantage containment-wise.
God help us if a lethal virus with the R-rate of measles ever emerges.
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Derek27
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Archery1969 wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 2:24 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:35 pm
gazuty wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:14 pm
We are in hyper vigilance mode as if this is SARS-cov1 which is reasonably lethal or Ebola which is 90% lethal.
Covid is far more dangerous than Ebola (they're the words of a scientist) because of the ease of transmission. Ebola had a much higher mortality rate but didn't spread so easily, I don't think it was an airborne virus.
Ebola ? Isn’t one of the symptoms that you basically bleed out of all your holes and eyes. That must be pretty painful. Think I would rather have COVID-19.
I said dangerous, not painful. And obviously I was referring of danger to society (i.e. catching it and dying) and not to the person who's already caught it.
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Dallas
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Can't even begin to image the damage a super virus would cause to humanity with the infection rate of measles/chickenpox and fatality rate of Ebola/Bird Flu was let loose - and people were asymptomatic for the first several days!
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Derek27
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Dallas wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 4:59 pm
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Can't even begin to image the damage a super virus would cause to humanity with the infection rate of measles/chickenpox and fatality rate of Ebola/Bird Flu was let loose - and people were asymptomatic for the first several days!
That graphic's not accurate. I've often come close to death when I had the common cold. :)
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:10 pm
Dallas wrote:
Sun Oct 04, 2020 4:59 pm
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Capture2.JPG


Can't even begin to image the damage a super virus would cause to humanity with the infection rate of measles/chickenpox and fatality rate of Ebola/Bird Flu was let loose - and people were asymptomatic for the first several days!
That graphic's not accurate. I've often come close to death when I had the common cold. :)
LOL Yeah Where's the deadly Man Flu ?
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Derek27
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The steroid Trump's been given can cause agitation, paranoia, mania and sycosis, but nothing that Trump doesn't already suffer from. :)
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Euler
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Opinion, Trump could have infected Biden: -

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... en/616591/
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Naffman
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Euler wrote:
Mon Oct 05, 2020 11:42 am
Opinion, Trump could have infected Biden: -

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... en/616591/
If Biden got covid he will no doubt blame Trump (he may well have done but doubtful) as if he got it from someone else he was obviously not taking precautions like he's telling everyone else to do.

Everyone talking about that 'A rated' poll that gives Biden a 14 point lead which has caused his price to come in about 8 ticks - the same poll that gave Clinton a 9 pt lead on Oct.10th 2016 and Clinton an 11pt lead 3 days later.
Trader Pat
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Naffman wrote:
Mon Oct 05, 2020 11:55 am
Euler wrote:
Mon Oct 05, 2020 11:42 am
Opinion, Trump could have infected Biden: -

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... en/616591/
If Biden got covid he will no doubt blame Trump
With some justification
Rabbs
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Joined: Wed Sep 11, 2019 2:26 am

Trump Wins
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