US Presidential Election 2020

[Euler]

Breaking: Trump refusing to take part in the next debate.

[Naffman]

Breaking: Trump refusing to take part in the next debate.

Says he's not going to do a virtual debate, this will be interesting

[Trader Pat]

That will suit Biden

[Jukebox]

Breaking: Trump refusing to take part in the next debate.

Says he's not going to do a virtual debate, this will be interesting

You have recently been diagnosed with Covid19 and seem to have come through OK
You might still be contagious.
Your opponent is 77years old
Of course you want to debate in person.

[Derek27]

There's no point in a virtual debate. They'd just switch off Trump's connection when he interrupts.

[Derek27]

I've heard on Sky he's only threatening to call off the debate. If that's the case he'll be there - it's just a childish Kevin the teenager spat.

[Naffman]

Just read this - Democrats had a 2:1 advantage on voter registrations in PA in 2012, GOP slightly ahead of Dems in 2016 but registrations 3:1 in favour of Republicans this year, put up an article not too long ago saying they were far ahead in FL and another battleground state that escapes me atm.

[Derek27]

Trump says catching Covid-19 was a blessing from God, but it's not quite clear whether God was trying to bless him or the rest of the world.

[Emmson]

Wanted to find out what Vegas odds are on Presidential race and discovered even in Vegas you cannot gamble on politics.

[Naffman]

Pence cancelled a rally in Indiana to go back to Washington, guessing because Pelosi puts forward 25th amendment.

Good old Pelosi reminding everyone how much people hate her

[Kafkaesque]

Pence cancelled a rally in Indiana to go back to Washington, guessing because Pelosi puts forward 25th amendment.

Good old Pelosi reminding everyone how much people hate her

LIBERATE MICHIGAN ---> Miltants looking to storm the state capitol building and assasinate the governor.

Stand down and stand by ---> White supremacists take it as an endorsement.

In 2016 block a democratic nomation to SCOTUS because an election is 9 months away ----> Rush in a nomation a few months before an election. A religious extremist, no less; after already putting a potential rapist on the SCOTUS.

Trump might actually lose the election ----> Break decades of tradition by making the DoJ an attack dog and comment on active investigation on mail fraud; presumeably to set up a legal battle for the legitimacy of the election result.

....

And Pelosi is the issue here? For wanting to challenge this man's mental capacity? Got it

For what it's worth - on topic - Trump is clear value. Under the assumption that Betfair will honour bets/trades and the market, regardless of how the next president comes about being put in office. Had the last 12 months been happening in an eastern european country instead, you'd be forgiven for thinking that a coup was in the works.

[Naffman]

Some better polls for Trump yesterday but look at the wild differences:

One poll from FL had Biden up by 5 the other Trump up by 5

The same poll from AZ had Biden up by 6 and another had Trump up by 4

[Naffman]

Trafalgar Group who did v. well on the battleground states in 2016 are polling v. well for Trump this year too citing 'shy Trump voters' for the reason they ask 'who is your neighbour voting for' which they also used in 2016 is finding these particular voters.

Gallup also released a poll:

gallup poll.png

Crazy how some of the other polls have such wide margins, it seems to be they aren't getting what people are really thinking

[Euler]

Trafalgar Group who did v. well on the battleground states in 2016 are polling v. well for Trump this year too citing 'shy Trump voters' for the reason they ask 'who is your neighbour voting for' which they also used in 2016 is finding these particular voters.

That's a very intelligent piece of polling.

[jamesedwards]

What sort of price was Trump in the lead-up to the last election?