US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3320
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Trader Pat wrote:
Sat Oct 31, 2020 5:27 pm
We have a proportional representation system so when we vote we can choose to give a 2nd, 3rd, 4th etc... preference to another candidate on the ballot. It means if our number 1 choice doesn't need our vote ( because they've been elected with a surplus of votes or eliminated from the count) then your vote goes to your second choice and so on down the ballot paper.
Pat, on a technical issue I think you will find that, as described, is an "alternative vote" system (also known as an Instant-runoff voting system https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting) and not "proportional representation"! Proportional representation is how the MEP's are elected (nominated).
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Naffman wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 5:55 am
Big move on Trump after the polls last night
Are you trading with your head or your heart? ;)
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Derek27 wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 6:28 am
Naffman wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 5:55 am
Big move on Trump after the polls last night
Are you trading with your head or your heart? ;)
I'm not trading ;)
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Some believe the USA is heading for some kind of civil war regardless of who wins the election.

Gun sales are through the roof with Smith & Wesson shares increasing by 159% this year.
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3557
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

Derek27 wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 12:28 am
Joe Biden just demonstrated his physical fitness by sprinting 10 metres to get to the microphone. Taking into account WFA, I'd assess him as fit. :)
That's cos the Democrats remember that Hilary Clinton's poor health was a key factor to her loss, as she stumbled to her car at an event. (around the 0.40 mark)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqMlZ1LxYpI

Also If Biden tripped arse over tit, then that might increase his popular vote even more...

Always worth a reminder of the result of the 2016 by US states and turnover....

2016Res.jpg
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gazuty
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Funny green outcome - 538 - :lol:

FEF5D929-D0A1-4CEE-8E08-14DBDF66BF86.jpeg
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

firlandsfarm wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 6:09 am
Trader Pat wrote:
Sat Oct 31, 2020 5:27 pm
We have a proportional representation system so when we vote we can choose to give a 2nd, 3rd, 4th etc... preference to another candidate on the ballot. It means if our number 1 choice doesn't need our vote ( because they've been elected with a surplus of votes or eliminated from the count) then your vote goes to your second choice and so on down the ballot paper.
Pat, on a technical issue I think you will find that, as described, is an "alternative vote" system (also known as an Instant-runoff voting system https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting) and not "proportional representation"! Proportional representation is how the MEP's are elected (nominated).
I just looked it up and didn't realise I didn't give it its full title, I should have said 'proportional representation with a single transferrable vote'

https://www.citizensinformation.ie/en/g ... ation.html
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3320
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Trader Pat wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 12:12 pm
I just looked it up and didn't realise I didn't give it its full title, I should have said 'proportional representation with a single transferrable vote'

https://www.citizensinformation.ie/en/g ... ation.html
:lol: :lol: :lol: the definition seems more complicated than any of the issues are likely to be! :lol: :lol: :lol:
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

firlandsfarm wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 12:51 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Sun Nov 01, 2020 12:12 pm
I just looked it up and didn't realise I didn't give it its full title, I should have said 'proportional representation with a single transferrable vote'

https://www.citizensinformation.ie/en/g ... ation.html
:lol: :lol: :lol: the definition seems more complicated than any of the issues are likely to be! :lol: :lol: :lol:
:D
eightbo
Posts: 2263
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 8:19 pm

Hi guys. How will everyone be trading this on election day?

Is there a good time window anyone can recommend and/or some feed for when the results start coming through?
Rabbs
Posts: 8
Joined: Wed Sep 11, 2019 2:26 am

Trump wins popular vote too
Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

I'm no longer in the presidential, market, decided the pain threshold of a Trump win with me being camped out on Joe Biden is too much to contemplate, pick your battles carefully on trading and I no longer like this one.
Anbell
Posts: 2382
Joined: Fri Apr 05, 2019 2:31 am

Nearly half a billion traded.
Korattt
Posts: 2405
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

personally I can’t see Biden winning this, then again I couldn’t see Clinton losing last time round
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Korattt wrote:
Mon Nov 02, 2020 8:50 am
personally I can’t see Biden winning this, then again I couldn’t see Clinton losing last time round
It's not often you can't see a 2/1 shot losing. :)
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