US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Big drift on Trump has started...
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Economist says 97% Biden will win electoral college: -

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020- ... /president
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Derek27
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Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Euler wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:49 pm
 Economist says 97% Biden will win electoral college: -

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020- ... /president
Joe Biden's confidently predicted to get between 259 and 415 electoral college votes!!!

Better start ringing up all the spread betting firms. :lol:
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Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

:lol:

https://www.theargus.co.uk/news/1884364 ... p-urinals/
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rik
Posts: 1583
Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

surely first results cant be announced before all voting is closed on the west coast at 9pm western time???
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Archery1969
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Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

rik wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:23 pm
 surely first results cant be announced before all voting is closed on the west coast at 9pm western time???
They should know electoral college votes around 7.30am UK time on Wednesday
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

State Exp UK Time Electoral Votes
Indiana 11pm 11
Kentucky 11pm 8
Florida 12am 29
Georgia 12am 16
New Hampshire 12am 4
South Carolina 12am 9
Vermont 12am 3
Virginia 12am 13
North Carolina 12:30 AM 15
Ohio 12:30 AM 18
West Virginia 12:30 AM 5
Alabama 1:00 AM 9
Connecticut 1:00 AM 7
Delaware 1:00 AM 3
District Of Columbia 1:00 AM 3
Illinois 1:00 AM 20
Kansas 1:00 AM 6
Maine 1:00 AM 4
Mairyland 1:00 AM 10
Massachusetts 1:00 AM 11
Michigan 1:00 AM 16
Mississippi 1:00 AM 6
Missouri 1:00 AM 10
New Jersey 1:00 AM 14
North Dakota 1:00 AM 3
Oklahoma 1:00 AM 7
Pennsylvania 1:00 AM 20
Rhode Island 1:00 AM 4
Tennessee 1:00 AM 11
Texas 1:00 AM 38
Arkansas 1:30 AM 6
Colorado 2:00 AM 9
Louisiana 2:00 AM 8
Minnesota 2:00 AM 10
Nebraska 2:00 AM 5
New Mexico 2:00 AM 5
New York 2:00 AM 29
South Dakota 2:00 AM 3
Wisconsin 2:00 AM 10
Wyoming 2:00 AM 3
Arizona 3:00 AM 11
Iowa 3:00 AM 6
Montana 3:00 AM 3
Nevada 3:00 AM 6
Utah 3:00 AM 6
California 4:00 AM 55
Hawaii 4:00 AM 4
Idaho 4:00 AM 4
Oregan 4:00 AM 7
Washington 4:00 AM 12
Alaska 6:00 AM 3

I've put together a list of what times earliest expected results come by state followed by how many electoral votes each state has. It will probably be miles off because I took it from some random site and as it says "earliest expected" but hopefully with Indiana, Florida & Georgia expected to be first we may see some good movement with them holding good sized electoral votes.
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rik
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

so they could announce first results with still 4 hours left to vote in new york and other west coast states???
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Kafkaesque
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Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

rik wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:09 pm
 so they could announce first results with still 4 hours left to vote in new york and other west coast states???
They start counting before polls close. And should know the number of votes already cast and the potential remaining votes as people have to be registered (in some states....because you can register on the day at the polling station in a few states).

If still to be counted votes + potential remaining votes is less than one candidates lead, they could announce it.
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megarain
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Contact:
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Biden 1.45

Trump 3.15

322 m traded
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Dallas
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jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:34 pm
 State Exp UK Time Electoral Votes
Indiana 11pm 11
Kentucky 11pm 8
Florida 12am 29
Georgia 12am 16
New Hampshire 12am 4
South Carolina 12am 9
Vermont 12am 3
Virginia 12am 13
North Carolina 12:30 AM 15
Ohio 12:30 AM 18
West Virginia 12:30 AM 5
Alabama 1:00 AM 9
Connecticut 1:00 AM 7
Delaware 1:00 AM 3
District Of Columbia 1:00 AM 3
Illinois 1:00 AM 20
Kansas 1:00 AM 6
Maine 1:00 AM 4
Mairyland 1:00 AM 10
Massachusetts 1:00 AM 11
Michigan 1:00 AM 16
Mississippi 1:00 AM 6
Missouri 1:00 AM 10
New Jersey 1:00 AM 14
North Dakota 1:00 AM 3
Oklahoma 1:00 AM 7
Pennsylvania 1:00 AM 20
Rhode Island 1:00 AM 4
Tennessee 1:00 AM 11
Texas 1:00 AM 38
Arkansas 1:30 AM 6
Colorado 2:00 AM 9
Louisiana 2:00 AM 8
Minnesota 2:00 AM 10
Nebraska 2:00 AM 5
New Mexico 2:00 AM 5
New York 2:00 AM 29
South Dakota 2:00 AM 3
Wisconsin 2:00 AM 10
Wyoming 2:00 AM 3
Arizona 3:00 AM 11
Iowa 3:00 AM 6
Montana 3:00 AM 3
Nevada 3:00 AM 6
Utah 3:00 AM 6
California 4:00 AM 55
Hawaii 4:00 AM 4
Idaho 4:00 AM 4
Oregan 4:00 AM 7
Washington 4:00 AM 12
Alaska 6:00 AM 3

I've put together a list of what times earliest expected results come by state followed by how many electoral votes each state has. It will probably be miles off because I took it from some random site and as it says "earliest expected" but hopefully with Indiana, Florida & Georgia expected to be first we may see some good movement with them holding good sized electoral votes.

Image

Nice one James
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Dallas wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:44 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:34 pm
 State Exp UK Time Electoral Votes
Indiana 11pm 11
Kentucky 11pm 8
Florida 12am 29
Georgia 12am 16
New Hampshire 12am 4
South Carolina 12am 9
Vermont 12am 3
Virginia 12am 13
North Carolina 12:30 AM 15
Ohio 12:30 AM 18
West Virginia 12:30 AM 5
Alabama 1:00 AM 9
Connecticut 1:00 AM 7
Delaware 1:00 AM 3
District Of Columbia 1:00 AM 3
Illinois 1:00 AM 20
Kansas 1:00 AM 6
Maine 1:00 AM 4
Mairyland 1:00 AM 10
Massachusetts 1:00 AM 11
Michigan 1:00 AM 16
Mississippi 1:00 AM 6
Missouri 1:00 AM 10
New Jersey 1:00 AM 14
North Dakota 1:00 AM 3
Oklahoma 1:00 AM 7
Pennsylvania 1:00 AM 20
Rhode Island 1:00 AM 4
Tennessee 1:00 AM 11
Texas 1:00 AM 38
Arkansas 1:30 AM 6
Colorado 2:00 AM 9
Louisiana 2:00 AM 8
Minnesota 2:00 AM 10
Nebraska 2:00 AM 5
New Mexico 2:00 AM 5
New York 2:00 AM 29
South Dakota 2:00 AM 3
Wisconsin 2:00 AM 10
Wyoming 2:00 AM 3
Arizona 3:00 AM 11
Iowa 3:00 AM 6
Montana 3:00 AM 3
Nevada 3:00 AM 6
Utah 3:00 AM 6
California 4:00 AM 55
Hawaii 4:00 AM 4
Idaho 4:00 AM 4
Oregan 4:00 AM 7
Washington 4:00 AM 12
Alaska 6:00 AM 3

I've put together a list of what times earliest expected results come by state followed by how many electoral votes each state has. It will probably be miles off because I took it from some random site and as it says "earliest expected" but hopefully with Indiana, Florida & Georgia expected to be first we may see some good movement with them holding good sized electoral votes.

Image

Nice one James
You're more than welcome!
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Considering its election day and at times things can get a little hairy in a politics thread I thought I'd share some humour.

*Lots of swearing*

https://youtu.be/KLODGhEyLvk
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

https://1drv.ms/x/s!AhmHCK9Velk2kBTYRVT ... i?e=gLlgNQ

it's not much because my Excel skills aren't on par with others but for anyone who hasn't got a way of tracking the election here is something basic that I hope will help.

State by time color coded by 2016 results, ones that have grey markers I've got noted as swing states. My idea is to change the colors as the results come out and re sum to count and remaining.

Like I say it's not much but hope it offers some use to somebody.
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Kafkaesque
Posts: 886
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

On the note of states declaring. By wary of trading on the base of it. I saw a few places the past week, that there's alerts in multiple states that the voting public should be cautious with such news, because they (the states) have information that false - early - declarations are likely. Both amateurish and foreign states doing a more pro job of mimicking official channels.

To make people believe their vote doesn't matter and mess with democracy.
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