US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Kafkaesque wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:48 pm
On the note of states declaring. By wary of trading on the base of it. I saw a few places the past week, that there's alerts in multiple states that the voting public should be cautious with such news, because they (the states) have information that false - early - declarations are likely. Both amateurish and foreign states doing a more pro job of mimicking official channels.

To make people believe their vote doesn't matter and mess with democracy.
Thanks Kafkaesque.
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Kafkaesque
Posts: 886
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

jamesg46 wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:49 pm
Kafkaesque wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:48 pm
On the note of states declaring. By wary of trading on the base of it. I saw a few places the past week, that there's alerts in multiple states that the voting public should be cautious with such news, because they (the states) have information that false - early - declarations are likely. Both amateurish and foreign states doing a more pro job of mimicking official channels.

To make people believe their vote doesn't matter and mess with democracy.
Thanks Kafkaesque.
No problem. Didn't consider it myself, but once I heard, it does make complete sense, when considering how much they tried last time. Getting people in a state, where the result ends up close, to stay at home, and then posting in big numbers on social media after the fact, that they didn't turn out, but would have voted for one or the other. It would be chaos and the """""real"""" media (yes, multiple " " needed) would lap the Sh!t up, despite it being in the interest of *insert your own foreign state* and a huge win for them (the latter).

Which begs the question, why they wouldn't just, always and in every case, wait until the very last person are out of the line and has voted.
Korattt
Posts: 2405
Joined: Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:46 pm

what was the highest odds Trump hit in 2016 before he won, did he hit 1000?
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Rep. ahead by 157k votes as of 2.30pm in Florida (this doesn't indicate who they voted for but is a good guide).

2.3 million Independent voters (just over 20% of all votes) so Biden really needs these
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Naffman wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:59 pm
Rep. ahead by 157k votes as of 2.30pm in Florida (this doesn't indicate who they voted for but is a good guide).

2.3 million Independent voters (just over 20% of all votes) so Biden really needs these
What channel are you watching?
eightbo
Posts: 2263
Joined: Sun May 17, 2015 8:19 pm

Could be a late one tonight.

Here's my crack at the last, wonder if I can top it
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

eightbo wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:32 pm
Could be a late one tonight.

Here's my crack at the last, wonder if I can top it
◘.PNG
Id love to be a penny behind you :D
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

jamesg46 wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:21 pm
Naffman wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:59 pm
Rep. ahead by 157k votes as of 2.30pm in Florida (this doesn't indicate who they voted for but is a good guide).

2.3 million Independent voters (just over 20% of all votes) so Biden really needs these
What channel are you watching?
@politics_polls
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Naffman wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:45 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:21 pm
Naffman wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:59 pm
Rep. ahead by 157k votes as of 2.30pm in Florida (this doesn't indicate who they voted for but is a good guide).

2.3 million Independent voters (just over 20% of all votes) so Biden really needs these
What channel are you watching?
@politics_polls
Nice one 👍
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I'm missing trading already!
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Crazyskier
Posts: 1288
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

eightbo wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:32 pm
Could be a late one tonight.

Here's my crack at the last, wonder if I can top it
◘.PNG
Nice one! My kind of humour, eightbo! 🤣 I remember that night very well, expecting to make a small loss on Clinton, only to awake to the astonishing news that Trump had won me a few quid.

The rebel in me actually hopes he wins again, though the longer he remains in the White House, the more statesmanlike and gentlemanly Obama seems to have been, by comparison.

CS
arbitrage16
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 7:27 pm

Naffman wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:59 pm
Rep. ahead by 157k votes as of 2.30pm in Florida (this doesn't indicate who they voted for but is a good guide).

2.3 million Independent voters (just over 20% of all votes) so Biden really needs these
Great news for Biden backers
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I'm gonna have the market page open all night just to prove to myself I don't have to trade anything that's in front of me. :D
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

My prediciton is that Biden will win by a landslide. There, sell your kids, partner, home and get your bets on.
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Bog
Posts: 198
Joined: Sat Aug 11, 2018 7:19 am

Derek27 wrote:
Tue Nov 03, 2020 10:01 pm
I'm gonna have the market page open all night just to prove to myself I don't have to trade anything that's in front of me. :D
That's easy, you will fall asleep at some point. Or you can also trade when you are sleeping? :mrgreen:
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