US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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LeTiss
Posts: 5480
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Loving the fact Betfair's dreaded XM isn't in play

Some great opportunities keep arising to do some bookmaking
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NickH
Posts: 174
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 7:54 am

Never have trade politics, but will do so in 4 years looking how this is going. Very interesting!
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Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

LeTiss wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:29 am
 Whatever your political views, can we all just rejoice as traders in this absolutey EPIC market
It's just going on and on and on. Still a coin toss....

Crazy system that electoral college.
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Lutruwita
Posts: 544
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2015 12:54 pm

It's looking increasingly good for Biden.
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NickH
Posts: 174
Joined: Tue May 21, 2019 7:54 am

sionascaig wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:00 am
 wisconsin I thk
Yup
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LeTiss
Posts: 5480
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

The Melbourne Cup and US Elections have wreaked havoc with my sleeping patterns

I am officially shagged
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Lutruwita
Posts: 544
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2015 12:54 pm

I think I'd rather be Biden now.
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Dallas
Posts: 23532
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Something just happened, Biden crashing back into a 1.7 fav again
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Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Nate Silver says
"Nevada getting very close"
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Emmson wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:25 am
 Nate Silver says
"Nevada getting very close"
9k difference I think, and arizona getting closer but some places have called it early there
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Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Dallas wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:24 am
 Something just happened, Biden crashing back into a 1.7 fav again
Yup, the mail-in votes are getting counted in the key states, and as I said, many more dems voted by mail.

Market now breaking decisively for Biden !
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Zenyatta wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:28 am
Dallas wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:24 am
 Something just happened, Biden crashing back into a 1.7 fav again
Yup, the mail-in votes are getting counted in the key states, and as I said, many more dems voted by mail.

Market now breaking decisively for Biden !
That big break in Wisconsin was from Milwaukee, depends how many left there vs rest of state
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Lutruwita
Posts: 544
Joined: Sun Apr 26, 2015 12:54 pm

Biden will happy with Wisconsin and increasingly Michigan.

North Carolina should go to Trump and Georgia is anyone's guess. Pennevalynia is a complete joke, but if Trump holds there and in Georgia and North Carolina, he is still cooked if he loses both Wisconsin and Michigan. UNLESS the joker is pulled and he someone comes out just ahead in Nevada. This is unlikely, but plausible. I wouldn't discount it despite no attention being placed on Nevada because of expected late Democrat mail-in ballots.
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Good morning! Respect to all of you who stayed awake throughout this mess :D

Looks like the polls were wrong again!
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Zenyatta
Posts: 1143
Joined: Thu Mar 11, 2010 4:17 pm

Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:59 am
 Good morning! Respect to all of you who stayed awake throughout this mess :D

Looks like the polls were wrong again!
OK, so with things continuing to swing Biden's way, prices now almost back to where they were at the start of the election. :roll: Biden might just edge it by the skin of his teeth.
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