US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:52 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:49 pm
 Recount in Wisconsin
And so it begins!
Probably see it in Michigan and Nevada too... we could scalp this for at least a month :lol:
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Biden was 1.01 to win Arizona now 1.5
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:14 pm
 Biden was 1.01 to win Arizona now 1.5
About 500k votes estimated to still be counted and they are mainly in Trump supporting areas apparently.
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Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:15 pm
Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:14 pm
 Biden was 1.01 to win Arizona now 1.5
About 500k votes estimated to still be counted and they are mainly in Trump supporting areas apparently.
Should be interesting!

Trump was 1.01 in Georgia before it drifted out past 2 and is now back at 1.5
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:17 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:15 pm
Trader Pat wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:14 pm
 Biden was 1.01 to win Arizona now 1.5
About 500k votes estimated to still be counted and they are mainly in Trump supporting areas apparently.
Should be interesting!

Trump was 1.01 in Georgia before it drifted out past 2 and is now back at 1.5
Biden was 1.2 and went out to 1.3 - if Arizona goes Trump the odds could move big.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I hope Trump wins WI, and then loses it on the recount that he's requested. :)
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

If the states stay the way they are now apart from Arizona then I get 259 to 279 to Trump, if Arizona continues to tighten then Bidens price will drift.
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Derek27 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:21 pm
 I hope Trump wins WI, and then loses it on the recount that he's requested. :)
There was about 200 votes left to count when they asked for the recount but he was losing by 30k .
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Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:22 pm
Derek27 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:21 pm
 I hope Trump wins WI, and then loses it on the recount that he's requested. :)
There was about 200 votes left to count when they asked for the recount but he was losing by 30k .
I think it might be compulsory if less than 1%
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Jukebox wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:27 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:22 pm
Derek27 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:21 pm
 I hope Trump wins WI, and then loses it on the recount that he's requested. :)
There was about 200 votes left to count when they asked for the recount but he was losing by 30k .
I think it might be compulsory if less than 1%
Not sure, got it from here.
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Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:30 pm
Jukebox wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:27 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:22 pm

There was about 200 votes left to count when they asked for the recount but he was losing by 30k .
I think it might be compulsory if less than 1%
Not sure, got it from here.
That same site shows the split as 49.4Biden 48.8Trump so seems like a compulsory recount
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Jukebox wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:37 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:30 pm
Jukebox wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:27 pm

I think it might be compulsory if less than 1%
Not sure, got it from here.
That same site shows the split as 49.4Biden 48.8Trump so seems like a compulsory recount
So Michigan will more than likely be recounted too then.
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Biden coming up to 1.4 ... another twist :D
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Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:40 pm
 Biden coming up to 1.4 ... another twist :D
Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump, a recount is pointless.

That is interesting; if people know how many ballots are left in PA and GA they could make a fortune either way.
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Naffman wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:45 pm
jamesg46 wrote: ↑
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:40 pm
 Biden coming up to 1.4 ... another twist :D
Michigan and Wisconsin are gone for Trump, a recount is pointless.

That is interesting; if people know how many ballots are left in PA and GA they could make a fortune either way.
Just gives more time to scalp.
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