US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Can we have this market or one like it every day please. Even I can scalp this one. :D
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darchas
Posts: 304
Joined: Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:55 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:58 pm
Can we have this market or one like it every day please. Even I can scalp this one. :D
Agree! I've had nothing to do with this market apart from a couple of quid green when I dipped in for a couple of mins week's back. I've had some cracking fun with it today though. Might start looking into the politics and specials markets a bit more. I know this market is a real outlier but still worth while to take a look at something new.
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jamesedwards
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Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

So we are down to the results of 6 states and then legal action.

Biden lead:
Nevada
Arizona
Michigan

Trump lead:
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Georgia

Biden needs all three of the 'Biden leads' to get to 270 and win. Trump needs all the 'Trump leads' and any one of the 'Biden lead' states to win. And then legal action to follow :mrgreen:
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Dallas
Posts: 23532
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

jameegray1 wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm
So we are down to the results of 6 states and then legal action.

Biden lead:
Nevada
Arizona
Michigan

Trump lead:
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Georgia

Biden needs all three of the 'Biden leads' to get to 270 and win. Trump needs all the 'Trump leads' and any one of the 'Biden lead' states to win. And then legal action to follow :mrgreen:
Michigan lead 32k
Nevada lead 7.5k
Arizona lead 94k

Pennsylvania lead 440k
North Carolina lead 77k
Georgia lead 78k
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jamesedwards
Posts: 4057
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Dallas wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:53 pm
jameegray1 wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:44 pm
So we are down to the results of 6 states and then legal action.

Biden lead:
Nevada
Arizona
Michigan

Trump lead:
Pennsylvania
North Carolina
Georgia

Biden needs all three of the 'Biden leads' to get to 270 and win. Trump needs all the 'Trump leads' and any one of the 'Biden lead' states to win. And then legal action to follow :mrgreen:
Michigan lead 32k
Nevada lead 7.5k
Arizona lead 94k

Pennsylvania lead 440k
North Carolina lead 77k
Georgia lead 78k
One interesting point is that all the three Biden lead states are currently Trump incumbents. Yet not one single State across the whole country has yet flipped from 2016 to 2020. It's a bit much to expect all those remaining three Biden lead states to be the only three to flip. Would be a great coincidence!

<edit, just spotted Wisconsin (assuming is confirmed Democrat) has just become the first to flip>
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gazuty
Posts: 2556
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

A market where just about any (non-greedy) strategy would have led to fantastic profits. Both traded well under 2.
Archery1969
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Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Nevada: Biden is facing a tougher-than-expected fight here. He currently has a razor-thin lead
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:12 pm
Nevada: Biden is facing a tougher-than-expected fight here. He currently has a razor-thin lead
Trump is winning Nevada in all of the small county's but Las Vegas & Washoe County that have big turnouts Biden is winning.
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Derek27
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jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Lawsuits in Pennsylvania, Michigan & Arizona filed...

Don't know about corruption or the legitimacy of the accusations but loads of content flying around on sm showing ballots being burned etc etc. Social media is gonna be a vile place, more than usual.
Emmson
Posts: 3577
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Just Awoke!

So old Joe drifted out to 1.4 when I was asleep :o :shock:
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megarain
Posts: 2131
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Contact:

Biden now 1.11

Michigan/Wisconsin Dems 1.02

Penn Dems 1.2 to win state

Arizona Dems 1.16

Nevada Dems 1.11

Just legal issues preventing Biden being sub 1.05
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

If trump is done for why did his price come in from 10s to 9s ? Madness.
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Now 8.6 ?
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

megarain wrote:
Wed Nov 04, 2020 11:38 pm

Just legal issues preventing Biden being sub 1.05
Will the market be settled on the outcome of the court? I've looked at the rules and it's unclear to me.
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