US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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decomez6
Posts: 695
Joined: Mon Oct 07, 2019 5:26 pm

IT is WHAT it Is... TRUMP you are FIRED
👉💨✨💥.
Very few cases of supreme courts, overturning election results.
Justice cannot be delivered in a discriminatory manner , Therefore they would have to declare the whole Overall presidential election as NOT free and FAIR.
Supreme judges do not work in a vacuum, they look at existing political conditions, as well as the Prevailing dangers of overturning the will of the people.
Donald trump has the burden of proof , he is the incumbent Presidential candidate and possess the instruments of power , how did he allow widespread voter fraud Under his watch?
Is it feasible for a repeat of an election during COVID OUTBREAKS? are you seriously going to ask people to go back on the voting line and put their lives in danger for a second time? doubt , doubt!
My take ;, Donald lost the elections cos he was fed up with the presidency! period!
- he could have easily pass the COVID relief stimulus bill , which would have put money in the pocket of many Americans. This’d have given him enough votes to neutralise the effects of republicans that voted for republican senators and house representatives yet voted for JOE.
The Lincoln project, Anthony scaramuchi, and the never trumpets republicans are the reason why TRUMP lost in such thin MARGINS.

Trump “ Cmon maaaen, Lets play some golf JOE’
It doesn’t matter I am telling the truth or Not !it’s how well I can defend my position ! Please Pardon me !’
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aperson
Posts: 212
Joined: Thu Feb 07, 2013 5:23 pm

What's with the difference in price difference between the winning party market and next president, surely they're the same thing? They've been out most the election but currently over 2k to back rep at 20 while trump is 16 to lay. Am I missing something here? It's not like Trump could leave his party and claim to be an independent. I feel like atm this whole market is a bet for/against conspiracy theories!
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3554
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

greenmark wrote:
Sun Nov 08, 2020 10:15 pm
We'll see how the FTSE views this tomorrow.
Ftse 100 Up by 5.5%.

Oil prices up too by 8%

Bitcoin over $15k for the first time in nearly 3 years..
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Anbell wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 6:08 am

We will only settle the markets when there is certainty around which candidate has the most projected Electoral College votes.


jamesg46 wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 7:01 am
Now that Betfair have clarified this I'm flipping some money on a Biden Lay. Not only has he got to make it to the Whitehouse (the backing of Kemala thing) but there is the re counts of 2 really close calls, then there is the cluster of different legislation issues that are either legitimate or conspiracy (depending on preferred news outlet) & then also the Supreme Court issue in Pennsylvania (the separate counting of late votes) that some county's ignored and instead tabulated as normal.

I think just a bit of uncertainty could creep into the market, especially now Betfair are finding reasons to keep it open.
See above which is also in the rules of the market on the exchange.

If you lay Biden the only way your bet comes in is if Trump gets most EC votes after all these legal challenges. If Biden keels over before January Harris will be the next president but Betfair won't pay out on that . Kamala Harris doesn't have any EC votes.
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Just after a few ticks of uncertainty, the downside should be easy to manage, im only 6 ticks away from rock bottom.
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Kai
Posts: 7071
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

Image
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I typed "has the us supreme court ever overturned an ele" and Google came up with elephant. :lol:

Couldn't find and answer though.
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Kai wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 2:07 pm
Image
Just what the world needs, another poll!
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LeTiss
Posts: 5476
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Kai wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 2:07 pm
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How can Ed Davey be 2nd last?

The only thing he's ever led is a Village People tribute rally
wabash
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2019 1:45 pm

wearthefoxhat wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 12:23 pm
greenmark wrote:
Sun Nov 08, 2020 10:15 pm
We'll see how the FTSE views this tomorrow.
Ftse 100 Up by 5.5%.

Oil prices up too by 8%

Bitcoin over $15k for the first time in nearly 3 years..

oil prices are anticipating a war against Iran?
wabash
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2019 1:45 pm

abgespaced wrote:
Mon Nov 09, 2020 8:56 am
My guess is that right now Trump is considering how best to pull the plug on the whole system.

come on now, the Democrats goals are to destroy the Republic, he is a conservative
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LeTiss
Posts: 5476
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

Interestingly, there's still quite a bit money wanting to back Trump

Clearly, there are some that think this still isn't finished
wabash
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2019 1:45 pm

i am mad at the Deep state and the Democrats for rigging the elections, Wednesday they suddenly found new ballot votes.


if you are not aware that votes are scammed. https://www.amazon.com/Votescam-Stealin ... 1974027066
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

:roll:
wabash
Posts: 53
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2019 1:45 pm

As per usual tommy sotomayor ran a program about voter fraud, tommy is right.

the numbers are not there, there is no way the Republicans lost, look at how black males are against the Democrats. without blacks, there democrats do not have the core vote. the #jewish vote is stronger but blacks are the core vote. black males are blackxit.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybDWmd6N-4U.


Trump is not conceeding defeat, I used to hate Trump, he was so defiant, he does not care. i love it
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