US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
Post Reply
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5918
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Jason Trost from smarkets says 'The election is over. The betting companies should settle the market'.

That's why no one uses smarkets.
User avatar
Euler
Posts: 26355
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Found this site, you can't register as it's US only, but worth throwing into the mix: -

https://www.predictit.org/markets
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:08 pm
Jason Trost from smarkets says 'The election is over. The betting companies should settle the market'.

That's why no one uses smarkets.
He obviously doesn't read the terms & conditions. ;)
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:08 pm
Jason Trost from smarkets says 'The election is over. The betting companies should settle the market'.

That's why no one uses smarkets.
Paddy Power paid out early on Hilary in 2016 and she was way shorter.
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

I wish I backed Trump with a Republican bookie in the US. They'd have paid out by now. :D
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:58 pm
I wish I backed Trump with a Republican bookie in the US. They'd have paid out by now. :D
:lol:
User avatar
jimibt
Posts: 4195
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2015 6:42 pm

Archery1969 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 3:34 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:58 pm
I wish I backed Trump with a Republican bookie in the US. They'd have paid out by now. :D
:lol:
:lol: :D :mrgreen:
User avatar
Kafkaesque
Posts: 886
Joined: Fri Oct 06, 2017 10:20 am

Jukebox wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:50 pm
Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 1:08 pm
Jason Trost from smarkets says 'The election is over. The betting companies should settle the market'.

That's why no one uses smarkets.
Paddy Power paid out early on Hilary in 2016 and she was way shorter.
Given that you're mentioning them and their action four years later, I'll argue that publicity stunt (which most of these early payouts are imo) paid well off. Not a jab at you; only a reflection that Paddy, all other things aside, are doing pretty well with their stunts.
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

ChrisF wrote:
Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:30 pm
Leading in the polls mean nothing if you have cheated, prison awaits and in the US of A no normal person would ever risk that so they spiill the beans
If that's true there can't have been much cheating. There can't be much crime in the US either!

Or perhaps most Americans aren't "normal" people, they did after all elect Trump as president four years ago. :lol:
User avatar
ChrisF
Posts: 57
Joined: Mon May 22, 2017 10:48 am

:)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

ChrisF wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:01 pm
:)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.
Where are you seeing this?
User avatar
Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:11 pm
ChrisF wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:01 pm
:)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.
Where are you seeing this?
Probably the same place he got his last fake news. :)
ChrisF wrote:
Wed Nov 11, 2020 8:56 pm
Breaking News:

Whistleblowers from Dominion have come forward.
Trader Pat
Posts: 4327
Joined: Tue Oct 25, 2016 12:50 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:19 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:11 pm
ChrisF wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:01 pm
:)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.
Where are you seeing this?
Probably the same place he got his last fake news. :)
ChrisF wrote:
Wed Nov 11, 2020 8:56 pm
Breaking News:

Whistleblowers from Dominion have come forward.
Fox news also reporting! MY GOD TRUMP'S GONNA WIN! :lol: :P

Biden is over 50,000 ahead in PA, don't think there's many of these type of ballots so won't make much difference
jamesg46
Posts: 3771
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:19 pm
jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:11 pm
ChrisF wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:01 pm
:)
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.
Where are you seeing this?
Probably the same place he got his last fake news. :)
ChrisF wrote:
Wed Nov 11, 2020 8:56 pm
Breaking News:

Whistleblowers from Dominion have come forward.
I like exploring the depths of opinion on both sides of the Isle but I've not come across this one yet.
Jukebox
Posts: 1576
Joined: Thu Sep 06, 2012 8:07 pm

jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 12, 2020 8:11 pm
Where are you seeing this?
Even the slightest positive news for Republicans is buried these days - there can't be many who haven't noticed that. But it was ruled in Pennsylvania that those ballots were to be kept seperately to allow for their exclusion if subsequently ruled illegal:

https://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/u ... /20A84.pdf

I understand that there may more than 300k of them.
Post Reply

Return to “Political betting & arguing”