Trading What I see !?

Learn sports betting strategies and discuss key factors to consider when placing a bet.
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

"Marvel" has got off to a reasonable start, first 10 races, win rate 60%, overall account up 1%, mainly thanks to one stonking winner that ran and ran... A good start.
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

Well that was short lived! string of losses and now in -ve territory... Not totally surprised though, it's its first outing and i've thrown it at all 40+ races today to see what it likes, i'm suspecting it's more of a non-Hcap ruleset.

Having watched some of the Hcaps today, really not sure how you would trade them...? I would describe them as squiggling to no where...!
HorseDark
Posts: 26
Joined: Sun May 06, 2018 2:45 pm

goat68 wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 2:53 pm
Having watched some of the Hcaps today, really not sure how you would trade them...? I would describe them as squiggling to no where...!
If you have identified a pattern, put it in your "edge bag" and find some more based on other factors. It wont be long before you are able to anticipate how a market is likely to move, based on the weight of your bag.
spreadbetting
Posts: 3140
Joined: Sun Jan 31, 2010 8:06 pm

goat68 wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 2:53 pm
Well that was short lived! string of losses and now in -ve territory... Not totally surprised though, it's its first outing and i've thrown it at all 40+ races today to see what it likes, i'm suspecting it's more of a non-Hcap ruleset.

Having watched some of the Hcaps today, really not sure how you would trade them...? I would describe them as squiggling to no where...!
Think you probably need a mentor to focus your approach, goat68, as you seem to jump all over the place at the first sign of trouble. Maybe Peter or some kind soul could take you on as some kind of Eliza Dolittle for the new year to prove it can be done.
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goat68
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One last race for "Marvel", it's make or break....the tensions killing me :-)
(By the way you do know I exaggerate a bit don't you?!)
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goat68
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HorseDark wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 4:35 pm
goat68 wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 2:53 pm
Having watched some of the Hcaps today, really not sure how you would trade them...? I would describe them as squiggling to no where...!
If you have identified a pattern, put it in your "edge bag" and find some more based on other factors. It wont be long before you are able to anticipate how a market is likely to move, based on the weight of your bag.
Yes, I can definitely see a correlation of the squiggling to no where races and certain other aspects...
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

So today's Automation result:
Races selected : 41
Races triggered : 25

Wins: 14
Losses: 11
StrikeRate: 56%

Net: +£0.61

In profit that's a "win" to me.
Last edited by goat68 on Sat Dec 26, 2020 7:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
jamesg46
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"Marvel"ous.
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

jamesg46 wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 5:19 pm
"Marvel"ous.
You're getting the hang of it James !
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goat68
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Just thought i'd admit something you may find funny, but when I came up with my username "goat68", I had no idea what g.o.a.t meant, I was just thinking of a suitable animal name! :lol: :lol:
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

So not so Marvelous today!

Races selected: 28
Races triggered: 12

Wins: 3
Losses: 9
StrikeRate: 25%

Net: -£0.85

Marvel will have some "tweaks" tonight...
LinusP
Posts: 1917
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

goat68 wrote:
Sun Dec 27, 2020 5:42 pm
So not so Marvelous today!

Races selected: 28
Races triggered: 12

Wins: 3
Losses: 9
StrikeRate: 25%

Net: -£0.85

Marvel will have some "tweaks" tonight...
How many orders is this? When automating you want to take advantage of the numbers game and be looking at a large sample, thousands if possible before drawing any conclusions on profitability.
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goat68
Posts: 2038
Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

LinusP wrote:
Sun Dec 27, 2020 6:31 pm
goat68 wrote:
Sun Dec 27, 2020 5:42 pm
So not so Marvelous today!

Races selected: 28
Races triggered: 12

Wins: 3
Losses: 9
StrikeRate: 25%

Net: -£0.85

Marvel will have some "tweaks" tonight...
How many orders is this? When automating you want to take advantage of the numbers game and be looking at a large sample, thousands if possible before drawing any conclusions on profitability.
Not many, ~100. Agree on numbers, but I am in early days of setting this ruleset up, and I have been watching some of the races as orders have gone through, and there are a couple of issues I can see from the price action that I don't want this strategy to trade.
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goat68
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Joined: Tue Jun 30, 2020 3:53 pm

"Marvel-2" is ready, altered what I wanted, but it was a bit tricky given the rules/conditions available, so I am suspecting a few hiccups which I will need to look out for and some minor tweaks likely. As someone else mentioned in another thread, I am also an "Agile Practitioner", so I iterate to my intended target.
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