Today's Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
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Step93
Posts: 40
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2020 12:50 am

Today was a good day for those who use the purple exchange!
Betdaq "new site" :shock:
Finally a website done well, 100 times better than the previous one
PapaShango
Posts: 85
Joined: Thu Apr 29, 2021 2:41 pm

adamkirby wrote:
Wed Feb 02, 2022 10:04 am
Did anyone trade the 1950 Wolverhampton last night? It was clear from the feed on Betfair and Sporting Life in fact published it was a dead heat but the horses were still trading, Havanah Goldrush was trading at 2.6-3.4 so i stuck a win bet on at 3.35 and got paid out half stakes when betfair eventually settled as a dead heat.
My question is why was the exchange still trading even after the result and could I have lost money? as I was unsure I went low stakes but just wondering for the future
There was a stewards enquiry. Sounds like the betting opened again when that was announced.

P.s congratulations on winning the derby !
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Realrocknrolla
Posts: 1910
Joined: Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:15 pm

Off to Newbury meeting today. Anyone for any fancies?
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MobiusGrey
Posts: 294
Joined: Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:10 pm

Realrocknrolla wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:50 am
Off to Newbury meeting today. Anyone for any fancies?
Eldorado Allen

I've not been to Newbury but I've heard 'Tom's Pies' is some of the best food you can get at a racetrack. Enjoy
deestar
Posts: 179
Joined: Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:17 pm

MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 10:39 am
Realrocknrolla wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:50 am
Off to Newbury meeting today. Anyone for any fancies?
Eldorado Allen

I've not been to Newbury but I've heard 'Tom's Pies' is some of the best food you can get at a racetrack. Enjoy
Nice shout.
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MobiusGrey
Posts: 294
Joined: Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:10 pm

deestar wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 2:32 pm
MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 10:39 am
Realrocknrolla wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:50 am
Off to Newbury meeting today. Anyone for any fancies?
Eldorado Allen

I've not been to Newbury but I've heard 'Tom's Pies' is some of the best food you can get at a racetrack. Enjoy
Nice shout.
Good value if you got on early enough
jamesg46
Posts: 3772
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 1:05 pm

Moonacura’s price looks a little off track.
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beermonsterman
Posts: 539
Joined: Sun Dec 25, 2016 2:47 pm

Is it just me or has pre race trading been like finding bird shit in a Cuckoo clock lately ? is it the time of year or are the markets more efficient whats your take on it pre racers ?
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alexmr2
Posts: 768
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2018 12:32 am

beermonsterman wrote:
Sun Feb 13, 2022 3:46 pm
Is it just me or has pre race trading been like finding bird shit in a Cuckoo clock lately ? is it the time of year or are the markets more efficient whats your take on it pre racers ?
This graph from Peter might explain it
pw.png
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MobiusGrey
Posts: 294
Joined: Fri Nov 23, 2018 8:10 pm

I gave up trying to crack the pre-race game a while ago, I know people have answered to the contrary in another thread but to me those markets seem so heavily botted you don't stand a chance. The only thing left for me horse racing wise is a very small edge of around 2-4% taking straight up value bets.
verance
Posts: 95
Joined: Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:59 am

alexmr2 wrote:
Sun Feb 13, 2022 7:02 pm

This graph from Peter might explain it

pw.png
Interesting, what does this graph show?
PapaShango
Posts: 85
Joined: Thu Apr 29, 2021 2:41 pm

verance wrote:
Mon Feb 14, 2022 10:32 am
alexmr2 wrote:
Sun Feb 13, 2022 7:02 pm

This graph from Peter might explain it

pw.png
Interesting, what does this graph show?

Think it just shows that there is less racing in the winter months, and more racing and opportunities in the summer.

I used to prefer the winter months as you could take things a bit easier and still do o.k. I don’t like this new winter schedule though. Especially when it’s two day time jumps and one evening A.W.

I much prefer 3 day time cards. Even when they used to stagger it on a Monday and Tuesday and have the A.W starting around 2pm with the jumps starting about midday.

I hate this new schedule. I don’t trade Irish, and they don’t race there everyday anyway. With just two jump meetings I find opportunities hard to come by. Especially with all the bumpers, hunter chases, and uncompetitive races with a 1/8 fav. There are only a handful of races over midweek jumps that even appeal to have a look at, if I decide to pass or can’t find anything in those it feels like I’m sat at my desk twiddling my thumbs doing nothing all afternoon.

Then by the time the A.W starts at night I’ve lost interest, lost money, got bored, or can’t be bothered.

There has barely been a cancellation this winter either, weather has been kind to racing, but the schedule just makes it feel dead. I’d rather when it’s frosty and it gets abandoned so you can have a proper day off without worrying that you’re going to miss something.

Does look to pick up from next week in though. Lots more days with 3 daytime and an A.W, then Cheltenham is in 4 weeks too. Things usually pick up in the run up to the festival.

And April is absolutely mental. Scottish National on first weekend, before English National which comes a week after this year. Craven week comes before Easter and A.W finals days, night racing starts that week too, and the final Saturday of April is 2000 gns day.

So might as well make the most of it being quiet, as it looks to get pretty hectic from here on in.
verance
Posts: 95
Joined: Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:59 am

PapaShango wrote:
Mon Feb 14, 2022 11:16 am

Think it just shows that there is less racing in the winter months, and more racing and opportunities in the summer.

I used to prefer the winter months as you could take things a bit easier and still do o.k. I don’t like this new winter schedule though. Especially when it’s two day time jumps and one evening A.W.

I much prefer 3 day time cards. Even when they used to stagger it on a Monday and Tuesday and have the A.W starting around 2pm with the jumps starting about midday.

I hate this new schedule. I don’t trade Irish, and they don’t race there everyday anyway. With just two jump meetings I find opportunities hard to come by. Especially with all the bumpers, hunter chases, and uncompetitive races with a 1/8 fav. There are only a handful of races over midweek jumps that even appeal to have a look at, if I decide to pass or can’t find anything in those it feels like I’m sat at my desk twiddling my thumbs doing nothing all afternoon.

Then by the time the A.W starts at night I’ve lost interest, lost money, got bored, or can’t be bothered.

There has barely been a cancellation this winter either, weather has been kind to racing, but the schedule just makes it feel dead. I’d rather when it’s frosty and it gets abandoned so you can have a proper day off without worrying that you’re going to miss something.

Does look to pick up from next week in though. Lots more days with 3 daytime and an A.W, then Cheltenham is in 4 weeks too. Things usually pick up in the run up to the festival.

And April is absolutely mental. Scottish National on first weekend, before English National which comes a week after this year. Craven week comes before Easter and A.W finals days, night racing starts that week too, and the final Saturday of April is 2000 gns day.

So might as well make the most of it being quiet, as it looks to get pretty hectic from here on in.
I find it fascinating, here's my own bets showing pretty much exactly the same thing. I don't think it's that there's so much less racing, my total staked in Decemebr is about half compared to June, but I'd expect the same ROI.

Some possible reasons:
1. Winter markets are more efficient - Doubtful

2. I should just stick to flat racing - Possible but summer jumps and AW are generally good

3. Winter markets are less liquid causing me to overstake and impact the market - Possible but I don't think so

4. My bets are predominantly lays at the top end of the market, maybe these don't work as well on winter markets?
Picture1.jpg
EDIT: Peter's seems to be proportion of profit, mine is ROI :oops:
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Last edited by verance on Tue Feb 15, 2022 9:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Realrocknrolla
Posts: 1910
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MobiusGrey wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 10:39 am
Realrocknrolla wrote:
Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:50 am
Off to Newbury meeting today. Anyone for any fancies?
Eldorado Allen

I've not been to Newbury but I've heard 'Tom's Pies' is some of the best food you can get at a racetrack. Enjoy
Missed that post, but had four winners on the day... including the 20/1. Great track!
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xtrader16
Posts: 430
Joined: Sun Feb 26, 2017 1:00 pm

Bay of Intrigue backers getting smashed in the first.
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