UK General Election 2024 (or 25)

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:01 pm
Hmm. I mean the word on the street is they are already working out who will replace Truss. Gone by Christmas value ?
She can’t go this year as the current process takes too long to replace her. Wouldn’t be enough time available in parliamentary calendar. Unless they change the rules.
greenmark
Posts: 6265
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:01 pm
Hmm. I mean the word on the street is they are already working out who will replace Truss. Gone by Christmas value ?
It looks like Truss is finished. This year? It would seem unlikely. Next year - they would have to have a slam-dunk replacement.
There isn't a candidate. The Tories have run out of options. Sadly Labour don't inspire me at all either.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Archery1969 wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:18 pm
Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:01 pm
Hmm. I mean the word on the street is they are already working out who will replace Truss. Gone by Christmas value ?
She can’t go this year as the current process takes too long to replace her. Wouldn’t be enough time available in parliamentary calendar. Unless they change the rules.
I think it would be likely that Sunak is unchallenged. Not much point in having another contest and his policies are the opposite of Truss's.
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ShaunWhite
Posts: 10389
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

:) When the King greets you with "Dear oh Dear" you just have to be glad they don't use the Tower anymore.

It's my understanding that Truss had got a min of 12 months unless the 1922 Committee change their rules? She hasn't breached any rules or done anything to bring the party into disrepute, just implemented exactly what she campaigned on so I'm not sure what grounds they'd have for ousting her.
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Dallas
Posts: 23492
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Derek27 wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:42 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:18 pm
Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:01 pm
Hmm. I mean the word on the street is they are already working out who will replace Truss. Gone by Christmas value ?
She can’t go this year as the current process takes too long to replace her. Wouldn’t be enough time available in parliamentary calendar. Unless they change the rules.
I think it would be likely that Sunak is unchallenged. Not much point in having another contest and his policies are the opposite of Truss's.
I also think that's the most likely option no matter when/if they oust her (which will require a rule change), similar to how Howard became the leader leader in early 2000s unopposed after a VNC in IDS was
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

The sad thing about this saga is that it took the Tories two months to select their best leader. :lol: :lol:
sionascaig
Posts: 1612
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

There's talk of "suspending" the rules and putting a caretaker PM in... I think that's what they threatened Johnson & May when things got sticky..

Sunak must be fav for that no?
Archery1969
Posts: 4478
Joined: Thu Oct 24, 2019 8:25 am

Big U turn next week on cutting corporation tax to calm financial markets.

That will be enough to see Truss through to next year at least.

But the chancellor may well have to fall on his sword.
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Dallas wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:48 pm
Derek27 wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:42 pm
Archery1969 wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:18 pm


She can’t go this year as the current process takes too long to replace her. Wouldn’t be enough time available in parliamentary calendar. Unless they change the rules.
I think it would be likely that Sunak is unchallenged. Not much point in having another contest and his policies are the opposite of Truss's.
I also think that's the most likely option no matter when/if they oust her (which will require a rule change), similar to how Howard became the leader leader in early 2000s unopposed after a VNC in IDS was
If they really want to be rid of her they can simply oppose the next budget/mini-budget/fiscal statement. That will be the end of the government and trigger an election. I reckon many Tory MPs will have had enough of the sheer embarrassment of being in the party/government and would rather get another job. :D
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Archangel
Posts: 2008
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 3:03 pm

Kwasi will get the boot quickly. His first budget has blown up spectacularly in his face. No way back

I dont think Truss can hang on either. Shes clearly toxic for the Torys now. Whats the point in letting her stay and probably come up with new ways to lose voters
The Torys have to find a way to remove and replace her quickly. That will clearly require them to change their own rules, and absolutely not allow the 'membership' to chose the next leader. They would probably choose Suella Braverman or someone equally ridiculous
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Derek27
Posts: 25159
Joined: Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:44 am

Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 9:27 pm
Kwasi will get the boot quickly. His first budget has blown up spectacularly in his face. No way back

I dont think Truss can hang on either. Shes clearly toxic for the Torys now. Whats the point in letting her stay and probably come up with new ways to lose voters
The Torys have to find a way to remove and replace her quickly. That will clearly require them to change their own rules, and absolutely not allow the 'membership' to chose the next leader. They would probably choose Suella Braverman or someone equally ridiculous
It would be difficult for Truss to get rid of him and keep her job because she's too close to him politically. She supported and approved everything he's done and the general policy so she can't argue that it's his fault. She's fucked. :D
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Derek27
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Daily-Star-8.jpg

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Dublin_Flyer
Posts: 842
Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2012 10:39 am

GETTING
RITAIN
\OVING
Well said Kwasi!
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greenmark
Posts: 6265
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Archangel wrote:
Thu Oct 13, 2022 9:27 pm
Kwasi will get the boot quickly. His first budget has blown up spectacularly in his face. No way back

I dont think Truss can hang on either. Shes clearly toxic for the Torys now. Whats the point in letting her stay and probably come up with new ways to lose voters
The Torys have to find a way to remove and replace her quickly. That will clearly require them to change their own rules, and absolutely not allow the 'membership' to chose the next leader. They would probably choose Suella Braverman or someone equally ridiculous
Streuth! The very idea of that woman in a position of power makes me shudder, never mind PM.
greenmark
Posts: 6265
Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

Assuming there's a U-turn, the markets are now dictating (correcting) government policy.
It shows what a useless pair they are.
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