Today's Horse Racing

The sport of kings.
Post Reply
Emtaxx
Posts: 299
Joined: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:00 pm

jeez bet you wished u lumped on more!

Wonder how much you've lost over the time of backing at such high odds tho.
User avatar
ForFolksSake
Posts: 869
Joined: Sat May 11, 2024 2:51 pm

Emtaxx wrote:
Mon Mar 03, 2025 3:45 pm
jeez bet you wished u lumped on more!

Wonder how much you've lost over the time of backing at such high odds tho.
There are so many other relevant questions to ask that you are not asking 🤔
Emtaxx
Posts: 299
Joined: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:00 pm

ForFolksSake wrote:
Mon Mar 03, 2025 5:13 pm
Emtaxx wrote:
Mon Mar 03, 2025 3:45 pm
jeez bet you wished u lumped on more!

Wonder how much you've lost over the time of backing at such high odds tho.
There are so many other relevant questions to ask that you are not asking 🤔
Very good job of you to elaborate :lol: well done xD
LinusP
Posts: 1917
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

For some more context I have recently updated my pricing algo for jumps, a lot more confident in its accuracy I have become more aggressive in staking (getting closer to Kelly) PNL becomes a bit more volatile but considerably more profitable.

Only expecting a decent win like this maybe once a season however it happened twice over the weekend, both times at Newbury.
User avatar
ForFolksSake
Posts: 869
Joined: Sat May 11, 2024 2:51 pm

I guess that explains the £8.70 "matched"
Emtaxx
Posts: 299
Joined: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:00 pm

Very cool linus keep up the good work !
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10416
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Cheltenham, the Burj Khalifa of the racing year
2024mv.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10416
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

This isn't so pretty though, 38th straight month down vs the same month in the previous year.

The decay looked like it was slowing but Jan and Feb have been back to the previous 15-20% reductions.

Half the size it was 4yrs ago.

Pre-race
hruk-pp.jpg
In running
hruk-ip.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5911
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

So the Expert Fee has done nothing to stop the slide? I think it needed a lot of a bigger change to get people back and even if people wanted to return they’re not going to hand over bank statements and payslips to get £500 in.
Emtaxx
Posts: 299
Joined: Mon Feb 10, 2025 10:00 pm

Joint efforts between a few things... They need to remarket themselves to suit the new generation style and step up their game, to actually bring down the commission charge, the prev gens are knocking on the door and also no one has any money since the pandemic. :|
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5911
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Emtaxx wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 9:40 am
Joint efforts between a few things... They need to remarket themselves to suit the new generation style and step up their game, to actually bring down the commission charge, the prev gens are knocking on the door and also no one has any money since the pandemic. :|
And even if people do have money they can't deposit it anyway, I can only deposit £100 p/m, if I were to lose my Betfair bank then I wouldn't be able to come back, its ridiculous.
User avatar
jamesedwards
Posts: 4011
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Naffman wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 10:19 am
Emtaxx wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 9:40 am
Joint efforts between a few things... They need to remarket themselves to suit the new generation style and step up their game, to actually bring down the commission charge, the prev gens are knocking on the door and also no one has any money since the pandemic. :|
And even if people do have money they can't deposit it anyway, I can only deposit £100 p/m, if I were to lose my Betfair bank then I wouldn't be able to come back, its ridiculous.
Isn't the £100 limit only the arbitrary value for those who refuse to cooperate with a proof of income request?
User avatar
Naffman
Posts: 5911
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

jamesedwards wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 10:57 am
Naffman wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 10:19 am
Emtaxx wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 9:40 am
Joint efforts between a few things... They need to remarket themselves to suit the new generation style and step up their game, to actually bring down the commission charge, the prev gens are knocking on the door and also no one has any money since the pandemic. :|
And even if people do have money they can't deposit it anyway, I can only deposit £100 p/m, if I were to lose my Betfair bank then I wouldn't be able to come back, its ridiculous.
Isn't the £100 limit only the arbitrary value for those who refuse to cooperate with a proof of income request?
Yes but how are you meant to get that increased unless you give statements etc that many will not give, and if you’re doing this full time you’re also screwed unless you have a large pot of investments making income elsewhere.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10416
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Naffman wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 7:37 am
So the Expert Fee has done nothing to stop the slide? I think it needed a lot of a bigger change to get people back and even if people wanted to return they’re not going to hand over bank statements and payslips to get £500 in.
I don't think it's been going long enough to tell, and I haven't got comparable stats for other sports so I don't know how's it's affected them.

Betfair can't do anything about the proof of income checks, that's an industry wide issue caused by the GC.
User avatar
ShaunWhite
Posts: 10416
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Emtaxx wrote:
Tue Mar 04, 2025 9:40 am
Joint efforts between a few things... They need to remarket themselves to suit the new generation style and step up their game, to actually bring down the commission charge.
An exchange is way more expensive to run than a bookmaker so they need to generate the income somewhere. Fees feel harsh but bookies charge it via the 30% overrounds on winners and losers, vs the 0% Betfair overround and fees just on the winners.
Post Reply

Return to “Trading Horse racing”