Football Musings
- wearthefoxhat
- Posts: 3550
- Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am
Add in the odd 1-6, 1-4 result!
The only 0-0 that caught me out was Nashville SC v DC United. TG's were predicted @ 3.15 (2.55 v 0.60)
Philadelphia away @ 2.95 was wrongly priced by the market.
The overall stats so far, are quite interesting.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- firlandsfarm
- Posts: 3303
- Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am
- wearthefoxhat
- Posts: 3550
- Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am
The main takeaway for me is that anything relating to mathematical prediction modelling, can be achieved, mainly thanks to the GPT.
Kie Miller's poisson distribution Y-T video, helped give me starting point and with a little perserverance, I was able to produce something that logically looks the part and works well.
I've also created a neat horse racing excel sheet that looks at ratings/value, and, currently in the process of a creating a cracking greyhound one too.
All of these are value based, conventional ways of betting and it's surprising how often the market is out of step and exploitable.