Football Musings

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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andy28
Posts: 578
Joined: Sat Jan 30, 2021 12:06 am

I see the 0-0 were back in force today in MLS
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3550
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

andy28 wrote:
Sun May 18, 2025 9:40 am
I see the 0-0 were back in force today in MLS

Add in the odd 1-6, 1-4 result!

The only 0-0 that caught me out was Nashville SC v DC United. TG's were predicted @ 3.15 (2.55 v 0.60)

Philadelphia away @ 2.95 was wrongly priced by the market.

The overall stats so far, are quite interesting.
Stats.png
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andy28
Posts: 578
Joined: Sat Jan 30, 2021 12:06 am

End of the season, report will be must try harder but I did learn a lot and that is the main thing. Bring on next season
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3303
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

andy28 wrote:
Mon May 26, 2025 12:33 am
End of the season, report will be must try harder but I did learn a lot and that is the main thing. Bring on next season
only 81 days to go! :)
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wearthefoxhat
Posts: 3550
Joined: Sun Feb 18, 2018 9:55 am

andy28 wrote:
Mon May 26, 2025 12:33 am
End of the season, report will be must try harder but I did learn a lot and that is the main thing. Bring on next season
The main takeaway for me is that anything relating to mathematical prediction modelling, can be achieved, mainly thanks to the GPT.

Kie Miller's poisson distribution Y-T video, helped give me starting point and with a little perserverance, I was able to produce something that logically looks the part and works well.

I've also created a neat horse racing excel sheet that looks at ratings/value, and, currently in the process of a creating a cracking greyhound one too.

All of these are value based, conventional ways of betting and it's surprising how often the market is out of step and exploitable.
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