UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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jamesedwards
Posts: 3915
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Two-horse race?
z135.jpg
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sionascaig
Posts: 1603
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Screenshot 2025-05-15 072439.png
Fairly consistent recent polls !

(and a lot of "within margin of error" differentials going on....)
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sionascaig
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Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

From the Hamilton by-election (scottish parliament)
Screenshot 2025-06-06 073418.png
Reform in polls c20%, but secure c26% on the night.

Starting to wonder if (like the conservative "polled" vote shares) the pollsters underestimate support.

(and, without wanting to get political, Reform have not had a good campaign - not even a scottish leader or scottish policies!)
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LeTiss
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Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

You're right, no question

The media in general are completely out of touch with people. They underestimate how many are disillusioned and angry and want something different. The media insist on referring to Reform and their supporters as far-right, which shows how far down their own rabbit-hole they are
unexposed
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Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2022 7:33 am

Reform should be a shoe in, the main issue for them is infighting. Interesting to see who replaces ZiaYusuf now
sionascaig
Posts: 1603
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

LeTiss wrote:
Fri Jun 06, 2025 8:38 am
You're right, no question

The media in general are completely out of touch with people. They underestimate how many are disillusioned and angry and want something different. The media insist on referring to Reform and their supporters as far-right, which shows how far down their own rabbit-hole they are
Screenshot 2025-06-06 093618.png
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