UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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ForFolksSake
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Euler wrote:
Fri Sep 05, 2025 12:42 pm
Rayner resignation is making Stamer weaker than ever. If the bond markets don't like the budget on the 26th Nov, it could be a major problem for the incumbents.
Farage warns Labour chaos will force Starmer into 2027 general election...
waning confidence in the economy and the rise of Jeremy Corbyn’s left-wing Your Party will force Labour into an early election
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Euler
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Corbyn's involvement is a bit of a curious one. I think the whole election will be unusual.

I realise how Corbyn's rhetoric will appeal to many, but it's something that belongs to a distant era. It could have a wide impact though. The greens seem to be taking that angle as well.

Politics looks increasingly set to be very polarised at the next electrion.

Personally, I can't see an early election being called when the polls are so bad.
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ForFolksSake
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Euler wrote:
Fri Sep 05, 2025 12:56 pm
Corbyn's involvement is a bit of a curious one. I think the whole election will be unusual.

I realise how Corbyn's rhetoric will appeal to many, but it's something that belongs to a distant era. It could have a wide impact though. The greens seem to be taking that angle as well.

Politics looks increasingly set to be very polarised at the next electrion.

Personally, I can't see an early election being called when the polls are so bad.
Personally, I can't see an early election being called when the polls are so bad.
British economy is a 'Ponzi' scheme ...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DedJAEvNO4E
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Euler
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It's true that people don't make difficult decisions until they are forced to by a crisis.
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firlandsfarm
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Euler wrote:
Fri Sep 05, 2025 12:42 pm
Rayner resignation is making Stamer weaker than ever. If the bond markets don't like the budget on the 26th Nov, it could be a major problem for the incumbents.
But will he step down/be forced out or will he become our Biden?
tico
Posts: 61
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

Hi all,
Corbyn gets my vote... :) :) :) But I wouldn't bet or trade him to win outright . :lol:
Tico
tico
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Best market to go for is number of seats won (by each party) .At the moment it's all Farage ,but there is another 4 years to go. I can't see an early election happening ,the establishmnet will want Starmer to wreak havoc with all sorts of draconian measures , then let farage in .It wont be that straight forward and the silent majority will see through Farage and his far right policies . Personally I wouldn't bet on anything yet .(plenty to trade though)
We will have to see how well the left form a party (unless they all start sqaubbling again)...If Corbyn's project fails then I see a hung parliament.
Far better bet is that England will lose the world cup :) :) :)
Tico
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firlandsfarm
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tico wrote:
Sat Sep 06, 2025 11:49 am
... the silent majority will see through Farage and his far right policies ...
If Farage is "far right" then Starmer is far left! There will be many trading opportunities over the next 4 years as the market assesses the weightings to be applied to Farage's chance of maintaining his current advantage. As he does Reform prices will decay similar to the odds for the likely outcome of a football match.
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jamesedwards
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tico wrote:
Sat Sep 06, 2025 11:49 am
Best market to go for is number of seats won (by each party) .At the moment it's all Farage ,but there is another 4 years to go. I can't see an early election happening ,the establishmnet will want Starmer to wreak havoc with all sorts of draconian measures , then let farage in .It wont be that straight forward and the silent majority will see through Farage and his far right policies . Personally I wouldn't bet on anything yet .(plenty to trade though)
We will have to see how well the left form a party (unless they all start sqaubbling again)...If Corbyn's project fails then I see a hung parliament.
Far better bet is that England will lose the world cup :) :) :)
Tico
Corbyn is much farther "far left" than Farage is "far right", imo.
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jamesedwards
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firlandsfarm
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jamesedwards wrote:
Sat Sep 06, 2025 2:27 pm
z224.jpg
Not sure about the colours on that James!
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jamesedwards
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firlandsfarm wrote:
Sat Sep 06, 2025 4:48 pm
jamesedwards wrote:
Sat Sep 06, 2025 2:27 pm
z224.jpg
Not sure about the colours on that James!
Background probably originated from the US.
tico
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Corbyn is much farther "far left" than Farage is "far right", imo.
Top
Not in a million years ,if anything corbyn is more traditional socialist than communist and his objective is a mixed economy and more accountability by politicians than we have now .The bottom up approach although difficult to achieve will reverse the tail wagging the dog typical of the two party system.
Farage on the other hand is radical right wing ,if he ever gets into power then it's goodbye NHS ,goodbye any kind of workers rights ,and certainly goodbye to personal freedoms . :roll:
Kind Regards
Tico
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firlandsfarm
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tico wrote:
Sun Sep 07, 2025 11:02 am
Farage on the other hand is radical right wing ,if he ever gets into power then it's goodbye NHS ,goodbye any kind of workers rights ,and certainly goodbye to personal freedoms . :roll:
Kind Regards
Tico
I can never understand why people spread such fearmongering without any evidence of such. When has he ever said those things? It's like when he is accused of being racist ... I ask for quotes of such but never get a response to that. Tico, would you like to have a go?
sionascaig
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firlandsfarm wrote:
Sun Sep 07, 2025 11:12 am

I can never understand why people spread such fearmongering without any evidence of such. When has he ever said those things? It's like when he is accused of being racist ... I ask for quotes of such but never get a response to that. Tico, would you like to have a go?
Maybe best asking the Daily Telegraph?
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