SKY Soccer Saturday Super 6

[TupleVision]

Rolling into the season with a little numbers-powered cheat code

I’m pulling team data from Understat and the FPL API (fixture difficulty + who’s likely to start), blending last season’s baseline with this season’s form, giving a tiny home/favourite nudge, then running a bivariate Poisson to spit out the most likely exact score for each fixture. Paste matches in, predictions out. Not wizardr! just a tidy, squad aware model to keep things smarter than “1–0 every week

So 0 out of 6 for me the first week.

More advanced than me Tuple, I just have a few beers and pick random results I'd like to see.

I'm always near the top....of the bell curve

Once my model all goes to shit by week 2 I might code this logic into it instead

[TupleVision]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

[Kai]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

[wearthefoxhat]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

Nicely done.

The £Million prize awaits....

[Euler]

Good to see the league up to 260 members now

[greenup]

Last season 347 matches , I had 197 winning picks at average odds of 1.82
After commission , I reckon id be £80 profit at £10 stakes

I had a poor season last year too , Its a hard long slog & so easy to miss a midweek round

My draw picks were my downfall , never landed many at all...1-1..becomes 1-2 in the 97th minutes

Good luck

[TupleVision]

My model has come up with Arsenal vs Leeds 6-0 Stuck £1 on it too, you never know


Edit: it's only 4-0, made a typo in the backend

[Lynskey888]

Sky should have a £1M prize for the outright winner

If no-one wins the jackpot by the end of Round 9 the season leader at the time will get £1 million.

[Euler]

It's amazing how often a 5 pointer at 90 minutes isn't at full time!