SKY Soccer Saturday Super 6

[TupleVision]

Rolling into the season with a little numbers-powered cheat code

I’m pulling team data from Understat and the FPL API (fixture difficulty + who’s likely to start), blending last season’s baseline with this season’s form, giving a tiny home/favourite nudge, then running a bivariate Poisson to spit out the most likely exact score for each fixture. Paste matches in, predictions out. Not wizardr! just a tidy, squad aware model to keep things smarter than “1–0 every week

So 0 out of 6 for me the first week.

More advanced than me Tuple, I just have a few beers and pick random results I'd like to see.

I'm always near the top....of the bell curve

Once my model all goes to shit by week 2 I might code this logic into it instead

[TupleVision]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

[Kai]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

[wearthefoxhat]

Just as a little warm up to show you all I mean business.

Liverpool vs Palace 2-2 today.

Screenshot from 2025-08-10 11-29-22.png

Nicely done.

The £Million prize awaits....

[Euler]

Good to see the league up to 260 members now

[greenup]

Last season 347 matches , I had 197 winning picks at average odds of 1.82
After commission , I reckon id be £80 profit at £10 stakes

I had a poor season last year too , Its a hard long slog & so easy to miss a midweek round

My draw picks were my downfall , never landed many at all...1-1..becomes 1-2 in the 97th minutes

Good luck

[TupleVision]

My model has come up with Arsenal vs Leeds 6-0 Stuck £1 on it too, you never know


Edit: it's only 4-0, made a typo in the backend

[Lynskey888]

Sky should have a £1M prize for the outright winner

If no-one wins the jackpot by the end of Round 9 the season leader at the time will get £1 million.

[Euler]

It's amazing how often a 5 pointer at 90 minutes isn't at full time!

[Euler]

And again today.

Most of the pelaton was going to make big inroads to the top two.

Last minute goal for Everton and instead of gaining five points on the person in second place, they lose five. We have a new leader.