UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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sionascaig
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Interesting!

Another aspect worth considering are the Scottish & Welsh elections next year.

If labour do badly in Scotland (say come 3rd to Reform) & lose Wales (which they have dominated for so long), then Stammer could be toast & the game is truly afoot !
Screenshot 2025-09-09 101047.png
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ForFolksSake
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Very interesting ...

Manchester United investor Sir Jim Ratcliffe, Ineos, said it has stopped investing in Britain in protest over Labour tax hikes.
sionascaig
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Screenshot 2025-09-11 082025.png

==> close on 50% of those that voted labour last time round thinking of switching.
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ForFolksSake
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sionascaig wrote:
Thu Sep 11, 2025 8:23 am
Screenshot 2025-09-11 082025.png


==> close on 50% of those that voted labour last time round thinking of switching.
... and the majority of those are English flag wavers 🇬🇧

... unlike the new Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood - who isn't hardline at all - how can she be with a name like that

Looks like Labour are up to their 'smokes' and 'mirrors' tricks again
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Euler
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Corbyn/Sultana party is degenerating into a bit of a shit show already. So it looks like the greens will be taking up the 'far left' ideology.

From a neutral viewpoint, I think people would vote green given for their focus on the climate. But lurching towards the far left will remove votes from them, I would hypothesise.
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ForFolksSake
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Euler wrote:
Thu Sep 18, 2025 9:36 pm
Corbyn/Sultana party is degenerating into a bit of a shit show already. So it looks like the greens will be taking up the 'far left' ideology.

From a neutral viewpoint, I think people would vote green given for their focus on the climate. But lurching towards the far left will remove votes from them, I would hypothesise.
Corbyn/Sultana party is degenerating into a bit of a shit show already.
Apart from Reform. all the UK political parties are a 'sh*t' show ♫⋆。♪ ₊˚♬ ゚.🎤 💩 👏🏻 👏🏻 👏🏻 👏🏻
Last edited by ForFolksSake on Fri Sep 19, 2025 9:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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firlandsfarm
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Euler wrote:
Thu Sep 18, 2025 9:36 pm
Corbyn/Sultana party is degenerating into a bit of a shit show already. So it looks like the greens will be taking up the 'far left' ideology.

From a neutral viewpoint, I think people would vote green given for their focus on the climate. But lurching towards the far left will remove votes from them, I would hypothesise.
Yeah but won't the Greens be tarred with the expensive Miliband brush?
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firlandsfarm
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Borrowing up £16.2 billion over same period last year (Jan - Aug). Borrowing in August highest for 5 years. Labour's chances in 2029 will weaken further if they don't control borrowing but to do so will need a combination of reducing spending and/or taxing more ... both vote losers.
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firlandsfarm
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I can't believe it ... Labour's much criticised leader for being dull speaker gives what was probably his best speech in terms of the degree of power but what are the news channels talking about ... not just the criticism of Nigel Farage but the ridiculous attack from our Foreign Secretary claiming a link between Farage and the Hitler Youth!! If I was Starmer I would be livid that Lammy made such a comment and negatively stolen the content of his speech. Here's a bet you won't find a market for ... Nigel Farage is the most mentioned name across all the conferences!
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jamesedwards
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I read that Labour were actually considering adding VAT to private health care services. I mean, do they not have a brain between them?

At least, presumably, someone eventually pointed out the blindingly obvious flaw, and Streeting now claims it's ruled out.
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Euler
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I think that's the problem with Labour governments, they always give me the impression they are just permanently thinking about ways to raise taxes. That's all... It doesn't matter whether it makes sense or not, just can we get away with it.

That's why Gambling taxes are coming, a soft target. They don't think people will object to that.
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jamesedwards
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I see the extremist-ultra-far right infiltrated the end of the Labour conference?

z250.jpg
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firlandsfarm
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jamesedwards wrote:
Tue Sep 30, 2025 8:35 pm
I see the extremist-ultra-far right infiltrated the end of the Labour conference?


z250.jpg
:lol: :lol: :lol:
sionascaig
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Just noticed that Reform are promising a referendum on Proportional Representation after 100 days. Presumably that means start work on.

Would be interesting if that gets done in time for next election...

(also surprised its not higher up the news agenda)

edit - it would certainly be a big change to future trading markets...
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jamesedwards
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sionascaig wrote:
Wed Oct 01, 2025 9:11 am
Just noticed that Reform are promising a referendum on Proportional Representation after 100 days. Presumably that means start work on.

Would be interesting if that gets done in time for next election...

(also surprised its not higher up the news agenda)

edit - it would certainly be a big change to future trading markets...
It feels like the country kind of needs it. First past the post only really worked when elections were two horse races, and as politics becomes increasingly fragmented perhaps it's time to move on?
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