I have been creating horse racing ratings for Victoria and NSW.
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example below
RACE 1 – CAULFIELD (20 DECEMBER 2025)
RACE ANALYSIS
TOUCHDOWN (4)
Rating: 78 | Peak: 84 | Performance Edge: +4.2 | Ceiling Edge: +5.0
A lightly raced gelding who is trending sharply the right way, having put space on his rivals in consecutive wins. He
showed authority at the mile two runs back before repeating the dose here last start with sustained strength through
the line. His ratings profile suggests he is still building toward his ceiling rather than plateauing. The ability to absorb
pressure and keep extending is a major asset in this grade. Maps to get a clean stalking run and, if he maintains his
recent progression, he sets the standard again. Clear top-rated runner on both current and peak measures.
SIGIRIYA ROCK (3)
Rating: 75 | Peak: 81 | Performance Edge: +3.1 | Ceiling Edge: +3.8
Has been racing consistently without winning, but the form around him remains solid. His last two efforts suggest he
is holding his shape well against comparable opposition, just lacking the final knockout punch. Drawn to potentially
adopt a more assertive role, which could see him control the race shape if he rolls forward early. His peak rating
keeps him firmly in the contest if things fall his way. Needs to dictate or sit outside the leader to maximise his
chance.
TRAPALANDA (5)
Rating: 73 | Peak: 80 | Performance Edge: +3.0 | Ceiling Edge: +4.1
Returned in excellent order at Ballarat, producing a strong first-up run that suggested he had come back more
furnished. The extra distance is a clear positive given his sustained closing sectionals, and his peak rating hints
there is improvement still to come second-up. Likely to settle midfield and build momentum rather than sprint
sharply. If the tempo is genuine, his strength late could see him loom as a serious threat. One of the better upside
profiles in the race.
ASEVENTY SEVEN (7)
Rating: 71 | Peak: 76 | Performance Edge: +2.4 | Ceiling Edge: +2.9
Steps up in grade but brings honest recent form and a reliable work rate. He has been finding the line well without
winning, indicating his fitness base is solid. While his ratings sit slightly below the main hopes, his consistency and
tactical versatility keep him in the mix for minor money. Likely to be prominent without overdoing it early. Needs
others to underperform to threaten for the win but profiles as a sound exotics runner.
NAINA (8)
Rating: 69 | Peak: 75 | Performance Edge: +2.1 | Ceiling Edge: +3.0
Forgive her last run where she failed to fire, as it followed a performance that showed genuine promise. Her peak
rating comes from that earlier win, which suggests she can be competitive if she rebounds to that level. The key is
whether she can re-establish rhythm early in the run. Likely to be ridden with cover and saved for one late effort. Not
without hope, but needs to rediscover her best to feature strongly.
