Laying Short priced runners
Hi mugsgame
Cant believe the price,as normally good info,i went back in a 6 (was higher 6.6 etc) .
Good run ,was not sure to stay and went as low as 1.46 for small money..
ALL GOOD,\
You have any for the last few races,im out of ideas for the day?
cheers
Cant believe the price,as normally good info,i went back in a 6 (was higher 6.6 etc) .
Good run ,was not sure to stay and went as low as 1.46 for small money..
ALL GOOD,\
You have any for the last few races,im out of ideas for the day?
cheers
Yes I did Grand Crus yesterday close but no cigar, if the other horse had got upsides I think that would have done the trick.
Eradicate (1.25 Don) today could trade bigger. It made mistakes at Sandown I dont know if one of the other two will be able to put its jumping to the test.
Only its second start over fences as well
Mugsgame your thoughts?
Eradicate (1.25 Don) today could trade bigger. It made mistakes at Sandown I dont know if one of the other two will be able to put its jumping to the test.
Only its second start over fences as well
Mugsgame your thoughts?
Sorry Lagos, missed the race. Just had a look back and a bit unlucky with Eradicate. The reasoning was sound, although races with only 3 or 4 runners are dangerous as I suppose their jumping may not come under much pressure, plus with less runners there is less other factors that come into play. i.e loose horses, bad jumps in front, interference etc.
Here is another angle; I advise anyone interested to have a look back on one of the video replays of this race.
Warwick 1:10. A 4 runner beginners chase. AP on the red hot fav El Mondo trading at around 1.65 as the race started. He was pulling very hard, although jumping well. I know from experience that an inexperienced horse jumping and pulling is a recipe for disaster. I couldn't believe that as he pulled clear (still pulling hard) he dropped to 1.11 with half the race left.
Towards the end of the race he started to run out of steam and by the last fence was 2.0+ when George Nympton came upsides. He fell at the last fence with a very tired fall.
Sincerely hope he is ok.
To me this was another stand out example of risk v reward.
A lay bet of less than 1.2 for an inexperienced horse, pulling and running green jumping fences was too good to pass up. To win in this sort of bet at this price you need a success rate of 2/5. Worth looking at.
Here is another angle; I advise anyone interested to have a look back on one of the video replays of this race.
Warwick 1:10. A 4 runner beginners chase. AP on the red hot fav El Mondo trading at around 1.65 as the race started. He was pulling very hard, although jumping well. I know from experience that an inexperienced horse jumping and pulling is a recipe for disaster. I couldn't believe that as he pulled clear (still pulling hard) he dropped to 1.11 with half the race left.
Towards the end of the race he started to run out of steam and by the last fence was 2.0+ when George Nympton came upsides. He fell at the last fence with a very tired fall.
Sincerely hope he is ok.
To me this was another stand out example of risk v reward.
A lay bet of less than 1.2 for an inexperienced horse, pulling and running green jumping fences was too good to pass up. To win in this sort of bet at this price you need a success rate of 2/5. Worth looking at.