A Profitable Model For Predicting the Over/Under Market in Football

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
Raskol(nee Kov)
Posts: 12
Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:17 pm

gstar1975 wrote:
Fri Feb 27, 2026 7:25 pm
Ok I did some using stats for the last 12 games for each team and this is my small selection just for fun. Curiously they are all saying to Back Under 2.5 (or lay overs). Did anyone find any where it suggested otherwise to back overs 2.5?


Over Under 2.5 goals Sample Test 270226.png
Which site did you use to get that data?
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gstar1975
Posts: 797
Joined: Thu Nov 24, 2011 11:59 am

Raskol(nee Kov) wrote:
Fri Feb 27, 2026 10:06 pm
gstar1975 wrote:
Fri Feb 27, 2026 7:25 pm
Ok I did some using stats for the last 12 games for each team and this is my small selection just for fun. Curiously they are all saying to Back Under 2.5 (or lay overs). Did anyone find any where it suggested otherwise to back overs 2.5?


Over Under 2.5 goals Sample Test 270226.png
Which site did you use to get that data?
From thestatsdontlie for the shots but then realised you have to pay for the corner data. So I asked Gemini and used that data. Not sure if its correct. I will search for another site.
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gstar1975
Posts: 797
Joined: Thu Nov 24, 2011 11:59 am

There is also the question of timing, when to place bets. Also could this infomation be used to take a position inplay?
Bet79
Posts: 67
Joined: Mon May 08, 2023 10:05 pm

Looking at football data is it case of adding up the last 8-12 games worth of ‘HS’ and finding the average to enter into cell C3?
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gstar1975
Posts: 797
Joined: Thu Nov 24, 2011 11:59 am

Bet79 wrote:
Sun Mar 01, 2026 8:27 pm
Looking at football data is it case of adding up the last 8-12 games worth of ‘HS’ and finding the average to enter into cell C3?
Yes.
Bet79
Posts: 67
Joined: Mon May 08, 2023 10:05 pm

Thanks
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