Most youd risk on one market

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thepressure
Posts: 219
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:01 am

So im looking at the football goal markets, but o4.5 upwards, which tend to mean if i want to lay at odds of say 30+ i have to have a large portion of my bankroll in play, now if a goal goes in I adjust so im not risking the whole amount.

however..

Sometimes, more than i like, BetFair seem to close matches to trading, so I can be stuck with 25% of my roll in a market without the ability to trade out my profit/loss

Do you guys have any expereince with this and any advice?
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Kai
Posts: 7383
Joined: Tue Jan 20, 2015 12:21 pm

thepressure wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2026 12:21 pm
BetFair seem to close matches to trading, so I can be stuck with 25% of my roll in a market without the ability to trade out my profit/loss
Unfortunately it's a part of the risk when trading inplay, don't place bets you can't afford to lose.

Everyone has a different risk tolerance, so might be worth scaling down your stakes to a comfortable level that works for you.
Alpha322
Posts: 1056
Joined: Fri Oct 30, 2009 4:45 pm

Kai wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2026 1:11 pm
thepressure wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2026 12:21 pm
BetFair seem to close matches to trading, so I can be stuck with 25% of my roll in a market without the ability to trade out my profit/loss
Unfortunately it's a part of the risk when trading inplay, don't place bets you can't afford to lose.

100% Agree thats just Reckless, Trading isnt get high returns, the returns look after themselves if you have a proper Strategy in place and Plan maybe watch this Video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZ02GNfdkXc&t=108s
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jamesedwards
Posts: 6025
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Unless you have a reason to think you have an edge over the market then every trade makes you a loss by an average of the cost of the spread. Therefore you're better off putting up a reduced stake and letting it ride rather than planning to exit for a partial loss.
thepressure
Posts: 219
Joined: Thu Aug 19, 2021 11:01 am

The problem is lower markets eg 2.5 / 3.5 have less time decay per minute so its not just a case of lowering the stakes.

I guess the question is why do Betfair block matches?
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jamesedwards
Posts: 6025
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

thepressure wrote:
Tue Jul 14, 2026 1:41 pm
The problem is lower markets eg 2.5 / 3.5 have less time decay per minute so its not just a case of lowering the stakes.

I guess the question is why do Betfair block matches?
Putting up a liability of £100 and planning to limit that liability to £50 through -EV exit will lose you more in the long term than just putting up £50 liability in the first place and letting it ride.

Betfair have nothing to gain from deliberately suspending markets. When a market remains suspended beyond a major event it will either be through manual error, or more likely, a loss of data feed from the match.
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