Hi
I dont know if anyone is trading this...
Be careful if you're looking at the book % and thinking it's easy money...
They have a tendency to bring in another contestant part way through..hence the book % now...
regards
Peter
I'm a celebrity 2012
Hi James,
Yes I thought that the two new entries were a bit weak! I cant see either of them being in with a shout! If they had been real contenders it could have upset the book.
Last year my mate and I made a fair bit on this market as I backed Shaun Ryder at 12's for a fair sized sum (we knew him from our younger days at school and knew he was good value at 12's! and that his odds would reduce).
I took the same approach this year on Eric Bristow (but significantly less stakes than last year). He seemed level headed and I though his odds would reduce too (no other reason other than gut feel really). Other than Brian Conelly, no one stood out in my eyes.
I have a nice green on Eric at the moment and will trade out before the end, I still think he has a fair way to go yet.
Is it surprising how much is traded on these events though?
Good luck James if you are in the market!
Regards
Peter
Yes I thought that the two new entries were a bit weak! I cant see either of them being in with a shout! If they had been real contenders it could have upset the book.
Last year my mate and I made a fair bit on this market as I backed Shaun Ryder at 12's for a fair sized sum (we knew him from our younger days at school and knew he was good value at 12's! and that his odds would reduce).
I took the same approach this year on Eric Bristow (but significantly less stakes than last year). He seemed level headed and I though his odds would reduce too (no other reason other than gut feel really). Other than Brian Conelly, no one stood out in my eyes.
I have a nice green on Eric at the moment and will trade out before the end, I still think he has a fair way to go yet.
Is it surprising how much is traded on these events though?
Good luck James if you are in the market!
Regards
Peter
I just hope for all you guys who have backed the 'nice' candidates sakes it doesn't go the same way of many elections of the past - i.e. people say they'll vote for the nice candidate but when it comes down to it they secretly plump for the tory 
Hi Peter,PeterLe wrote:Hi James,
Yes I thought that the two new entries were a bit weak! I cant see either of them being in with a shout! If they had been real contenders it could have upset the book.
Last year my mate and I made a fair bit on this market as I backed Shaun Ryder at 12's for a fair sized sum (we knew him from our younger days at school and knew he was good value at 12's! and that his odds would reduce).
I took the same approach this year on Eric Bristow (but significantly less stakes than last year). He seemed level headed and I though his odds would reduce too (no other reason other than gut feel really). Other than Brian Conelly, no one stood out in my eyes.
I have a nice green on Eric at the moment and will trade out before the end, I still think he has a fair way to go yet.
Is it surprising how much is traded on these events though?
Good luck James if you are in the market!
Regards
Peter
I am in all the Reality markets and in a big way usually.
The volumes aren't what they were a few years back but its still possible to make 5 fig gains. XF and BB still attract the most money (a lot of it insider).
I usually do my research as soon as I get the names and thats where the real value lies. There are so many players with little or no chance of winning and as long as you understand the audiences for each show, its difficult to lose money. I understand Mr Webb is a player.
Eric has a fair shout, so good luck.
James
Taken some good profits on Ashley and David now.freddy wrote:David Haye and Ashlee Roberts were the two i have backed.
quite happy so far
But don't think im going to get too greedy, all can change v quickly on shows like this
.just going to sit back and enjoy the rest of it i think , unless i spot myself another angle that is
.good luck all
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I also layed Rosmary when favorite, she never really seemed a winner to me .
think i should have held out on Haye and Ashley abit longer than i did as they are now 1st and 2nd favorite but never mind been a great series for me, hope everyone else has done ok.
.think i should have held out on Haye and Ashley abit longer than i did as they are now 1st and 2nd favorite
but never mind been a great series for me, hope everyone else has done ok.Voting % released was a close one in the end 
Bushtucker Vote 1
Snake Rock
Ashley – 7.61%
Colin – 9.58%
Eric – 4.67%
Hugo – 19.46%
Nadine – 58.68%
Croc Creek
Brian – 4.91%
Charlie – 18.83%
David – 18.73
Helen – 53.32%
Linda – 4.22%
Bushtucker Vote 2
Snake Rock
Ashley – 8.75%
Colin – 9.36%
Eric – 6.31%
Hugo – 16.30%
Nadine – 59.29%
Croc Creek
Brian – 4.04%
Charlie – 16.74%
David – 13.08%
Helen – 63.12%
Linda – 3.02%
Bushtucker Vote 3
Ashley – 3.69%
Brian – 2.67%
Charlie – 11.56%
Colin – 3.67%
David – 11.36%
Eric – 3.01%
Helen – 26.95%
Hugo – 8.95%
Linda – 1.51%
Nadine – 26.63%
Bushtucker Vote 4
Ashley – 5.23%
Brian – 3.34%
Charlie – 21.70%
Colin – 3.56%
David – 10.86%
Eric – 2.45%
Helen – 26.34%
Hugo – 8.35%
Linda – 1.79%
Nadine – 16.38%
Bushtucker Vote 5
Ashley – 5.22%
Brian – 3.20%
Charlie – 10.83%
Colin – 3.01%
David – 12.34%
Eric – 2.17%
Helen – 29.20%
Hugo – 8.68%
Linda – 1.47%
Nadine – 14.71%
Limahl – 2.61%
Rosemary – 6.58%
Bushtucker Vote 6
Ashley – 4.00%
Brian – 7.37%
Charlie – 6.16%
Colin – 1.53%
David – 15.34%
Eric – 3.48%
Helen – 46.07%
Hugo – 3.68%
Linda – 1.22%
Nadine – 5.01%
Limahl – 1.78%
Rosemary – 4.37%
Bushtucker Vote 7
Ashley – 4.38%
Brian – 2.85%
Charlie – 6.37%
Colin – 2.03%
David – 21.60%
Eric – 10.61%
Helen – 28.56%
Hugo – 10.95%
Linda – 0.77%
Nadine – 6.69%
Limahl – 1.29%
Rosemary – 3.90%
Bushtucker Vote 8
Ashley – 6.77%
Brian - Left the jungle
Charlie – 5.09%
Colin - Immune
David – 25.91%
Eric – 3.54%
Helen – 15.08%
Hugo – 31.30%
Linda – 1.10%
Nadine – 5.41%
Limahl – 5.80%
Rosemary – Immune
Eviction Vote 1
Ashley - Immune
Charlie – 28.01%
Colin – 13.32%
David – 22.78%
Eric – 10.94%
Helen – 20.15%
Hugo - Immune
Linda - Immune
Nadine – 4.79%
Limahl - Immune
Rosemary – Immune
Eviction Vote 2
Ashley – 16.24%
Charlie – 14.38%
Colin – 6.42%
David – 13.51%
Eric – 9.79%
Helen – 18.43%
Hugo – 5.98%
Linda – 2.66%
Limahl – 2.24%
Rosemary – 10.33%
Eviction Vote 3
Ashley – 13.82%
Charlie – 15.25%
Colin – 5.39%
David – 12.46%
Eric – 12.01%
Helen – 13.20%
Hugo – 9.30%
Linda – 3.37%
Rosemary – 15.19%
Eviction Vote 4 (Head to head trial)
Ashley – 14.72%
Charlie – 15.78%
Colin – 5.88%
David – 17.63%
Eric – 9.54%
Helen – 11.70%
Hugo – 14.42%
Rosemary – 10.33%
Eviction Vote 5
Ashley – 20.00%
Charlie – 13.54%
David – 13.82%
Eric – 15.92%
Helen – 11.06%
Hugo – 11.86%
Rosemary – 13.81%
Eviction Vote 6
Ashley – 21.39%
Charlie – 15.33%
David – 15.97%
Eric – 15.67%
Hugo – 16.81%
Rosemary – 14.83%
Eviction Vote 7
Ashley – 27.88%
Charlie – 25.93%
David – 17.79%
Eric – 14.79%
Hugo – 13.61%
Eviction Vote 8
Ashley – 33.87%
Charlie – 24.31%
David – 25.30%
Eric – 16.53%
Eviction Vote 9
Ashley – 40.57%
Charlie – 32.17%
David – 27.26%
Eviction Vote 10
Ashley – 49.44%
Charlie – 50.56% - Winner
Bushtucker Vote 1
Snake Rock
Ashley – 7.61%
Colin – 9.58%
Eric – 4.67%
Hugo – 19.46%
Nadine – 58.68%
Croc Creek
Brian – 4.91%
Charlie – 18.83%
David – 18.73
Helen – 53.32%
Linda – 4.22%
Bushtucker Vote 2
Snake Rock
Ashley – 8.75%
Colin – 9.36%
Eric – 6.31%
Hugo – 16.30%
Nadine – 59.29%
Croc Creek
Brian – 4.04%
Charlie – 16.74%
David – 13.08%
Helen – 63.12%
Linda – 3.02%
Bushtucker Vote 3
Ashley – 3.69%
Brian – 2.67%
Charlie – 11.56%
Colin – 3.67%
David – 11.36%
Eric – 3.01%
Helen – 26.95%
Hugo – 8.95%
Linda – 1.51%
Nadine – 26.63%
Bushtucker Vote 4
Ashley – 5.23%
Brian – 3.34%
Charlie – 21.70%
Colin – 3.56%
David – 10.86%
Eric – 2.45%
Helen – 26.34%
Hugo – 8.35%
Linda – 1.79%
Nadine – 16.38%
Bushtucker Vote 5
Ashley – 5.22%
Brian – 3.20%
Charlie – 10.83%
Colin – 3.01%
David – 12.34%
Eric – 2.17%
Helen – 29.20%
Hugo – 8.68%
Linda – 1.47%
Nadine – 14.71%
Limahl – 2.61%
Rosemary – 6.58%
Bushtucker Vote 6
Ashley – 4.00%
Brian – 7.37%
Charlie – 6.16%
Colin – 1.53%
David – 15.34%
Eric – 3.48%
Helen – 46.07%
Hugo – 3.68%
Linda – 1.22%
Nadine – 5.01%
Limahl – 1.78%
Rosemary – 4.37%
Bushtucker Vote 7
Ashley – 4.38%
Brian – 2.85%
Charlie – 6.37%
Colin – 2.03%
David – 21.60%
Eric – 10.61%
Helen – 28.56%
Hugo – 10.95%
Linda – 0.77%
Nadine – 6.69%
Limahl – 1.29%
Rosemary – 3.90%
Bushtucker Vote 8
Ashley – 6.77%
Brian - Left the jungle
Charlie – 5.09%
Colin - Immune
David – 25.91%
Eric – 3.54%
Helen – 15.08%
Hugo – 31.30%
Linda – 1.10%
Nadine – 5.41%
Limahl – 5.80%
Rosemary – Immune
Eviction Vote 1
Ashley - Immune
Charlie – 28.01%
Colin – 13.32%
David – 22.78%
Eric – 10.94%
Helen – 20.15%
Hugo - Immune
Linda - Immune
Nadine – 4.79%
Limahl - Immune
Rosemary – Immune
Eviction Vote 2
Ashley – 16.24%
Charlie – 14.38%
Colin – 6.42%
David – 13.51%
Eric – 9.79%
Helen – 18.43%
Hugo – 5.98%
Linda – 2.66%
Limahl – 2.24%
Rosemary – 10.33%
Eviction Vote 3
Ashley – 13.82%
Charlie – 15.25%
Colin – 5.39%
David – 12.46%
Eric – 12.01%
Helen – 13.20%
Hugo – 9.30%
Linda – 3.37%
Rosemary – 15.19%
Eviction Vote 4 (Head to head trial)
Ashley – 14.72%
Charlie – 15.78%
Colin – 5.88%
David – 17.63%
Eric – 9.54%
Helen – 11.70%
Hugo – 14.42%
Rosemary – 10.33%
Eviction Vote 5
Ashley – 20.00%
Charlie – 13.54%
David – 13.82%
Eric – 15.92%
Helen – 11.06%
Hugo – 11.86%
Rosemary – 13.81%
Eviction Vote 6
Ashley – 21.39%
Charlie – 15.33%
David – 15.97%
Eric – 15.67%
Hugo – 16.81%
Rosemary – 14.83%
Eviction Vote 7
Ashley – 27.88%
Charlie – 25.93%
David – 17.79%
Eric – 14.79%
Hugo – 13.61%
Eviction Vote 8
Ashley – 33.87%
Charlie – 24.31%
David – 25.30%
Eric – 16.53%
Eviction Vote 9
Ashley – 40.57%
Charlie – 32.17%
David – 27.26%
Eviction Vote 10
Ashley – 49.44%
Charlie – 50.56% - Winner