Over 0.5 goal accumulator

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
burdo77
Posts: 351
Joined: Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:13 am

enter matches where 2.5 goals below 1.75 before match

How about bet 5 bob

@50% loss recovery

Entry point 1.15

Go for 5 in a row, If I win 5 in row I start at 6.

If loss occurs 50% loss recovery kicks in, therefore I start at 7.5

Is that a staking plan?
marko236
Posts: 737
Joined: Fri Jul 12, 2013 11:54 am

Sounds like a martingale plan, bad choice.

If your plan works there is no need to increase your bet.

It's all about making the right choices on the odds and the percentage chance of you getting it right.
burdo77
Posts: 351
Joined: Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:13 am

I know all about the martingale and I am under no illusion to how shit if is. Most people employ martingale at low probability eg, red or black = 0.5 prob, however I like my chances at 0.95prob. Anyway it's a fiver not my savings.
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LeTiss
Posts: 5485
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

burdo77 wrote:enter matches where 2.5 goals below 1.75 before match

How about bet 5 bob

@50% loss recovery

Entry point 1.15

Go for 5 in a row, If I win 5 in row I start at 6.

If loss occurs 50% loss recovery kicks in, therefore I start at 7.5

Is that a staking plan?
Terrible idea

In order for any strategy to be considered successful, the winners have to outweigh the losers

If you decided to lay 'in play' horses at 1.10 - then you would need 1 winner every 10 races to break even (it's actually 1 in 9 due to commission). What you don't do is start doubling up etc after 10 losses!

You are committing the cardinal sin of failed traders - and that's the inability to accept a losing trade

IMO, the biggest reason for people failing at this game, has nothing to do with reading markets, graphs, having an edge etc.......it's everything to do with the mental barrier of moving on from a red screen with a clear head
burdo77
Posts: 351
Joined: Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:13 am

Le tiss, u have tested ur strategy 1000 times stats show you win 60% of the time.

U finally cough up some dollars to test ur strategy.... U loose ten times in row, what do you do??? Accept a loss or have a staking plan to recover?
steven1976
Posts: 1744
Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2010 6:28 am

Make sure you can turnover your bank more times than what is on offer to find value. :o
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