Does anyone know what % of 2nd Fav's Win?

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Mattlindsay
Posts: 69
Joined: Fri Jul 10, 2015 1:51 pm

Hi All,

It's commonly known that around 33% of fav's win in a horse race but does anyone know the win rate of 2nd fav's or where I can get the information from.

I look forward to hearing from you all :D
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Euler
Posts: 26250
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

The reason about 1/3rd of favorites win is because the average SP of a favorite is around 3.3

Just divide one by the odds and there is your answer! The market is remarkably efficient.
convoysur-2
Posts: 1110
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

hi matt message me your email ill send u something
Marc
Xion
Posts: 11
Joined: Fri Jul 04, 2014 1:32 pm

Mattlindsay wrote:Hi All,

It's commonly known that around 33% of fav's win in a horse race but does anyone know the win rate of 2nd fav's or where I can get the information from.

I look forward to hearing from you all :D
Based on my own records its around 20% for 2nd Fav and 14% 3rd Fav.

I make the average price offered on Fav's the equivalent to 34.4% (2.91) with a win rate of 34.8%.
lord
Posts: 51
Joined: Sun Apr 19, 2009 2:26 pm

Position of winners in the horse racing market
over the last 12 months.

1 33.38%
2 19.73%
3 14.27%

All other positions were under 10%.

So you can see around 66% of favs got beat.
Mattlindsay
Posts: 69
Joined: Fri Jul 10, 2015 1:51 pm

Many thanks for the information.
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NatterJack
Posts: 3
Joined: Mon Apr 27, 2015 12:15 pm

You find this site is v useful

adrianmassey.no-ip.org/web1/

It appears that approx 20% of 2nd favs win and 14% 3rd favs.

Good luck
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