traded at 1.01.................. and lost

[Yantraman]

Any lucky punters out there trade the 18.20? The horse that came second traded at 1.01 for over 1k and lost on the line!! Lay of the year foe someone?

[LeTiss]

In my early days of trading, I used to offer £10 at 1.01 on all horses. It was only a 10p loss, but I actually made a profit over a period of time. It's amazing how many events has a 1.01 'in play' favourite that either drifts in price, or actually loses

[gutuami]

here you have a list with all selections that lost at 1,01 between 01.09.2008 - 31.08.2009. 150 in total

[LeTiss]

here you have a list with all selections that lost at 1,01 between 01.09.2008 - 31.08.2009. 150 in total

That's an amazing piece of info gutuami, where did you get that from?

The results spell out what I noticed a while back when trading with silly amounts

Laying 1.01 can be profitable

[Seabird]

Very Interesting.

If we assume only one horse per race lost at 1.01 then that represents about 1.7% of races or very approximately 0.2% of all horses raced in the period.

I don't know if that is good bad or indifferent.

Seabird

[gutuami]

the info I've got is from a database that I made up collecting everyday betfair history prices.
if anybody wants to make some calculations here are some additional info: nr of races: 12830, nr of horses from those races: 140514. In the file 2 stands for dead heat. Don't forget 4-5% bf charge. The 1.01 in the total {150} counts only if it was matched minimum £100...the actual dates are 31.08.09-30.09.09

[Cran]

Matches my data for roughly the same period.

Odds 1.01
Horses 10539
Won 10395
Lost 144

1-9-08 to 6-9-09

[Seabird]

Thanks for the further info guys.

That looks like about a 40 point profit over 12 months for Cran's figures. Not bad if you could be sure of matching them all with a bot.

Seabird

[coin2202]

@gutuami

another question: how many horses won with odds higher than 500, machted pre race, i googled but found nothing.
Thank you very much

Regards
Coin

[Iron]

Hi Gutuami

Did your research teach you anything about the market efficiency of Betfair prices?

Regards

Jeff

the info I've got is from a database that I made up collecting everyday betfair history prices.
if anybody wants to make some calculations here are some additional info: nr of races: 12830, nr of horses from those races: 140514. In the file 2 stands for dead heat. Don't forget 4-5% bf charge. The 1.01 in the total {150} counts only if it was matched minimum £100...the actual dates are 31.08.09-30.09.09

[Yoshiii]

My website, www.gubbage.com may have some info for you. I will soon finish all the statistics of 2009 (and add previous years) when i have more time. Feel free to ask any questions.

[gutuami]

to coin2202:
sorry I did not read your post up untill today. here's the list for the same period stated above 31.08.09-30.09.09.
to Ferru123: every little info helps more or less. So the answer is yes.