US Presidential Election 2020

[Derek27]

With all the Republican politicians surrounding DT, and all the Republican voters who attended the rallies and caught the virus dying before voting day, that could tip the balance.

[LinusP]

From the rules:

If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules (Updated - 20/06/2020)

Why do I have this feeling the suspension is to cover some of their own liabilities..

[Naffman]

From the rules:

If any candidate withdraws for any reason, including death, all bets on the market will stand and be settled as per the defined rules (Updated - 20/06/2020)

Why do I have this feeling the suspension is to cover some of their own liabilities..

Exactly if bets even stand as a result of death then no reason to suspend, what happened to a free market

[megarain]

Betdaq mkt still open.

I also don't understand why Betfair suspended their market.

Maybe no one around to make a decision - I would sort of expect it to re-open later.

But really, with Betfair, who knows.

[Anbell]

From Slack:


XXXXX 4:02 PM
What are the triggers to unsuspend it?

Betfair 4:08 PM
We're still looking for clarity there unfortunately

[NickH]

From Slack:


XXXXX 4:02 PM
What are the triggers to unsuspend it?

Betfair 4:08 PM
We're still looking for clarity there unfortunately

Still looking for clarity on how to reduce their own liability

[rik]

what could be reason for suspension?? would it hamper trumps chances if he got through it, why did odds move out so much?

[Naffman]

Seems all senior BF employees cannot be contacted between 5pm-9am

[wearthefoxhat]

what could be reason for suspension?? would it hamper trumps chances if he got through it, why did odds move out so much?

I reckon when he gets through it, he wins, as there would be a swing of empathy towards him with only 2/3 weeks before the election.
(Bojo got a similar short-term lift in popularity when he nearly died from his covid episode)

So my trade maybe a B2L on Trump as we follow his "recovery" progress in the next 7-14 days. (when the market opens again)

[Naffman]

what could be reason for suspension?? would it hamper trumps chances if he got through it, why did odds move out so much?

I reckon when he gets through it, he wins, as there would be a swing of empathy towards him with only 2/3 weeks before the election.
(Bojo got a similar short-term lift in popularity when he nearly died from his covid episode)

So my trade maybe a B2L on Trump as we follow his "recovery" progress in the next 7-14 days. (when the market opens again)

I don't think there will be same empathy, Trump has been downplaying it so if he gets very ill then it proves he was wrong but if he gets through it easily then it proves he was right.

So it's either a big win or a big lose for him

I'll be backing him Sunday morning if his symptoms aren't bad

[Anbell]

what could be reason for suspension?? would it hamper trumps chances if he got through it, why did odds move out so much?

I reckon when he gets through it, he wins, as there would be a swing of empathy towards him with only 2/3 weeks before the election.
(Bojo got a similar short-term lift in popularity when he nearly died from his covid episode)

So my trade maybe a B2L on Trump as we follow his "recovery" progress in the next 7-14 days. (when the market opens again)

I don't think there will be same empathy, Trump has been downplaying it so if he gets very ill then it proves he was wrong but if he gets through it easily then it proves he was right.

So it's either a big win or a big lose for him

I'll be backing him Sunday morning if his symptoms aren't bad

At what price?

[Naffman]

I reckon when he gets through it, he wins, as there would be a swing of empathy towards him with only 2/3 weeks before the election.
(Bojo got a similar short-term lift in popularity when he nearly died from his covid episode)

So my trade maybe a B2L on Trump as we follow his "recovery" progress in the next 7-14 days. (when the market opens again)

I don't think there will be same empathy, Trump has been downplaying it so if he gets very ill then it proves he was wrong but if he gets through it easily then it proves he was right.

So it's either a big win or a big lose for him

I'll be backing him Sunday morning if his symptoms aren't bad

At what price?

With all MSM bashing him I'm sure he will keep above 3.0

[gazuty]

Betdaq mkt still open.

I also don't understand why Betfair suspended their market.

Maybe no one around to make a decision - I would sort of expect it to re-open later.

But really, with Betfair, who knows.

When Boris got Covid Betfair suspended the Next PM market.

I figure Betfair consider as a matter of "decency" it wants to stay away from speculation on illness/ death.

[Anbell]

Smarkets market still open, they haven’t suspended.

Currently : Biden ... 1.52 / 1.54

trump.... 3.15 / 3.2

Pence..... 27 / 40

Smarkets halted

[Naffman]

Betdaq mkt still open.

I also don't understand why Betfair suspended their market.

Maybe no one around to make a decision - I would sort of expect it to re-open later.

But really, with Betfair, who knows.

When Boris got Covid Betfair suspended the Next PM market.

I figure Betfair consider as a matter of "decency" it wants to stay away from speculation on illness/ death.

Boris was in hospital though I think

But yes I think that bellend who owns starsports slated them for keeping it open which has made them think twice here